Bettors had no luck with the Irish on Saturday night but lucked out with the Patriots on Sunday in the two biggest decisions of the four-day Thanksgiving weekend at Las Vegas sports books.
Notre Dame closed as a 14-point favorite over Southern California amid an avalanche of money on it after the line opened as low as 9.
After trailing 10-0 early, the Fighting Irish fought back and gave their backers what appeared to be an unlikely cover when Tony Jones Jr. turned a short pass on third-and-5 into a 51-yard touchdown for a 24-10 lead with 3:09 left.
But the euphoria didn’t last long for Notre Dame bettors, as the Trojans promptly drove down the field for the dreaded backdoor cover. After JT Daniels threw two incompletions from the Irish 20, the true freshman found Tyler Vaughns for a 20-yard TD that made it 24-17 with 48 seconds left.
The finish resulted in a swing of more than $550,000 for the Duffel Bag Bettor at MGM Resorts, where he needed the Irish to close a $50,000 three-team parlay, a $10,000 four-teamer and a $50,000 straight bet.
A CG Technology bettor also lost a $100,000 straight wager on Notre Dame.
Double-digit favorites went 3-0 ATS as the Chargers crushed the Cardinals 45-10 as 14-point favorites and the Ravens whipped the Raiders 34-17 as 13-point favorites.
But Sunday was a mixed bag for bettors, as underdogs went 5-5 ATS with three outright upsets by the Bills, Seahawks and Broncos.
Denver held off the Steelers 24-17 when Ben Roethlisberger threw an interception in the end zone from the 2 with 1:07 left.
“The Broncos saved us from a beating,” William Hill sports book director Nick Bogdanovich said.
Sharps (Mooch) back Browns
Sharp bettors lived up to their name by backing the Browns in a big way over the Bengals in a game that closed at pick after Cleveland opened as a 3-point underdog. Baker Mayfield threw four TD passes as the Browns rolled to a 35-20 win to snap a 25-game road losing streak.
Cleveland closed as a 1½-point favorite at MGM Resorts, which took two wagers close to six figures each on the Browns.
“That was the worst game for us,” Stoneback said. “I don’t remember the last time the Browns went off as road favorites.”
MGM loses on Tiger
MGM also took a six-figure hit on Phil Mickelson’s win over Tiger Woods in Friday’s match at Shadow Creek Golf Club. It took two wagers close to six figures apiece on Mickelson at plus 180 and plus 165. Woods closed as a minus 150 favorite after the line was minus 210 on Thursday.
“The day of the match was nothing but money on Phil,” Stoneback said.
NFL season-long betting stats through Week 12: Underdogs lead 90-76-7 ATS (55.3%) with 3 pick'ems not counted. Home teams lead 85-81-7 ATS with 3 London games not counted. Home dogs 31-23-1 ATS (57.4%); in totals wagering, Unders lead Overs 88-87-1.
Early numbers have begun to settle in the coming college football conference championship games. Alabama will be laying close to two touchdowns to Georgia in Atlanta in the SEC title tilt. Ohio State will be near that same spread vs. Northwestern in the Big Ten after a 62-39 upset of Michigan (winning yardage 567-401 on 8.5 to 5.1 yards-per-play after imposing its preferred pace). Oklahoma will be about a TD favorite over Texas in the Big 12 after surviving West Virginia 59-56 (losing total yardage 704-668 but winning yards-per-play 10.3 to 7.8 and scoring two defensive touchdowns).