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Post by Gooba on Nov 24, 2021 8:37:58 GMT -5
Week 12 NFL
Thursday games
Chicago (3-7) @ Detroit (0-9-1)
— QB Fields (ribs) got KO’d Sunday vs Ravens. Check status.
— Dalton started in Weeks 1-2; he was 11-23/201 passing Sunday.
— Bears lost last five games (1-4 ATS), last two by 2-3 points.
— Last four games, Chicago was outscored 64-19 in first half.
— Bears are 1-4 SU on road this year, winning in Las Vegas.
— Last five games, Bears are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Bears are 3-1-1 ATS last five games as road favorites.
— Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Chicago games.
— Lions lost last four Thanksgiving games (0-4 ATS)
— Detroit is winless, but is 6-4 ATS (3-1 last four).
— Last seven games, Lions were outscored 104-32 in first half.
— Detroit has seven TD’s on its last 64 drives.
— Detroit threw for 77-77 yards in last two games. Not good.
— Goff missed LW with oblique injury (check status)
— Detroit’s backup QB is Boyle; LW was his first NFL start.
— Seven of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
— Last 11 years, Detroit is 12-24-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Lions have three losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Chicago (-3) beat Lions 24-14 at home in Week 4.
— Bears ran ball for 188 yards, lost field position by 16 yards.
— Chicago won six of last seven series games.
— Bears covered four of last five visits to Detroit.
— Favorites are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine series games.
Las Vegas (5-5) @ Dallas (7-3)
— Raiders lost last three games, outscored 59-17 in second half.
— Las Vegas scored 14.3 ppg in those games, since WR Ruggs was cut.
— Raiders scored 34-33 points in two games before that.
— Raiders converted only 13 of last 48 third down plays.
— Raiders are 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
— Raiders are 8-17-2 ATS last 27 games vs NFC opponents.
— Las Vegas allowed 20+ points in nine of ten games this year.
— Three of their four road games TY stayed under total.
— Cowboys split last four games SU, after a 6-0 run.
— Dallas is 8-2 ATS; they gave up 26.7 ppg points in losses.
— Cowboys are 3-4 SU in last seven Thanksgiving games.
— Last six years, Cowboys are 13-10-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
— This season, Dallas is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Last three years, Cowboys are 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
— NFC East teams are 6-3 ATS as non-divisional favorites.
— Cowboys won last three meetings, by 3-7-17 points.
— Raiders lost 31-24/24-7 in last two visits to Dallas.
Buffalo (6-4) @ New Orleans (5-5)
— Bills lost three of last five games, after a 4-1 start.
— Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
— Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 8.1 first half points.
— Buffalo turned ball over nine times in last three games (-3).
— Bills are 7-5 ATS last dozen games as road favorites.
— Colts ran ball for 264 yards against Buffalo LW.
— Bills’ last four opponents converted only 12-49 on third down.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Buffalo games.
— Saints lost last three games, giving up 30 ppg.
— Last three weeks, New Orleans was outscored 50-13 in first half.
— Payton is 10-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Underdogs won/covered all three New Orleans home games.
— Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in New Orleans games this season.
— Last three years, Saints are 8-2-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— New Orleans has 30 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 44.
— Six of their last seven games went over the total.
— Saints won last five meetings, all by 12+ points.
— Bills lost 35-17/19-7 in last two visits to Bourbon Street.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 24, 2021 8:38:52 GMT -5
Thursday’s games
Ole Miss (9-2) @ Mississippi State (7-4)
— Ole Miss won six of last seven games, gaining 464+ TY in all seven.
— Rebels allowed 200+ rushing yards in six of last eight games.
— Ole Miss gave up 42-31 points in its two losses (Bama/Auburn)
— Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
— Rebels’ soph QB has started 26 games.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 3-4 ATS on the road.
— Last six Rebel games stayed under the total
— Three of Miss State’s four losses were by 2 or 3 points.
— Miss State won three of last four I-A games, scoring 36.8 ppg
— Bulldogs are 2-4 when they give up more than 22 points.
— Miss State threw for 344+ yards in seven of last eight games.
— Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
— Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 18 starts.
— Last three Miss State games went over the total.
— Underdog is 6-2 ATS in last eight Egg Bowls.
— Teams split last ten games in this rivalry.
— Rebels covered their last three visits to Starkville.
Fresno State (8-3) @ San Jose State (5-6)
— Fresno won four of its last five games.
— Bulldogs were held to 24 or fewer points in their losses.
— Fresno is 3-2 SU on road, winning by 3-17-10 points.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s QB has 21 career starts.
— Bulldogs are 8-5 ATS last 13 games as road favorites.
— Under is 4-2 in last six Fresno games.
— San Jose lost four of its last six games SU.
— San Jose covered four of its last five games.
— Spartans are minus-11 in turnovers this season.
— Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— San Jose has 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have senior QB with 17 starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— Under Brennan, San Jose is 9-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven San Jose games.
— Spartans need win here to be bowl eligible.
— Teams split last six meetings.
— Bulldogs are 0-4-1 ATS in last five visits to San Jose.
— Underdogs are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight series games.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 24, 2021 18:19:24 GMT -5
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Post by Gooba on Nov 24, 2021 18:19:50 GMT -5
BetOnline
Bet count
57% Lions +3
69% Cowboys -7½
79% Bills -6
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Post by Gooba on Nov 25, 2021 8:41:32 GMT -5
Thursday’s games
UConn vs Michigan State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— UConn (5-0) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #29
— UConn won in double OT Wednesday; 4 guys played 31:00+
— Huskies shot 15-26 on arc, needed double OT to win.
— UConn blew 15-point lead with 11:00 left to play.
— Huskies are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#13)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #349
— bench minutes: #64
— Michigan State (4-1) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #196
— MSU won last four games, giving up 54.5 ppg.
— Spartans’ one loss was 87-74 to Kansas on a neutral floor.
— MSU has #16 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans led 9-0 yesterday, won 63-61 (trailed by 9 in 2nd half)
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #49
Loyola vs Auburn (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Loyola (4-1) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #55
— Continuity: #52
— Loyola led by nine in 2nd half, lost 63-61 to Michigan St yesterday.
— Ramblers best win so far: 89-77 over #196 Florida Gulf Coast
— Loyola is shooting 43.5% on arc (#7)
— Ramblers have #8 eFG% in country.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #344
— bench minutes: #137
— Auburn (3-1) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #280
— Auburn lost in 2 OT’s Wednesday (five guys 32:00+).
— Best team Tigers have beaten: #177 Morehead State.
— Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#41)
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#62)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #178
— bench minutes: #77
VCU vs Baylor (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— VCU (3-2) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #190
— Continuity: #193
— VCU held Syracuse to 0.77 ppp yesterday.
— Rams are scoring only 54 ppg.
— VCU is turning ball over 25.6% of time (#343)
— Rams are shooting 29.3% on arc (#263)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #160
— Baylor (5-0) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #219
— Continuity: #247
— Baylor played only two guys more than 26:00 yesterday.
— Bears beat Stanford/Arizona St last two games.
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 28.7% of time (#7)
— Bears are grabbing 38.7% of their missed shots (#17)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #325
— bench minutes: #73
Syracuse vs Arizona State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Syracuse (2-2) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #268
— Syracuse lost to Colgate/VCU by 15-12 points.
— Best Syracuse win was 75-60 over #173 Drexel.
— Four Orangemen played 36:00+ yesterday.
— 52.4% of opponents’ shots have been 3’s (36.4%, #268)
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #243
— bench minutes: #314
— Arizona State (2-3) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #313
— ASU is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 1-2-12 points.
— Sun Devils are shooting 31.4% on arc (#230)
— Sun Devils played nine guys 13:00+ yesterday.
— ASU’s two wins are over teams ranked #306/244.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #143
— bench minutes: #102
Dayton vs Miami (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Dayton (1-3) ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #358
— Continuity: #293
— Dayton is least experienced team in country.
— Flyers lost last three games, all to teams outside top 200.
— Dayton’s only win was over #253 Ill-Chicago.
— Flyers are shooting 22.8% on arc (#352)
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #341
— bench minutes: #47
— Miami (3-1) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #206
— Miami’s only top 200 game: 95-89 home loss to UCF.
— Hurricanes are getting 27.8% of points on foul line (#5)
— Miami is shooting 28.8% on arc (#276)
— Hurricanes’ best win: 68-66 at #205 Florida Atlantic.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #263
— bench minutes: #248
Alabama vs Iona (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Alabama (4-0) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #9
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #229
— Alabama beat So Dakota St by 16, Oakland by 27.
— Crimson Tide is shooting 61.4% inside arc (#7)
— Alabama is grabbing 38.3% of their missed shots (#19)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #187
— bench minutes: #245
— This is Alabama’s first game away from home.
— Iona (5-0) ranked #143 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #39
— Iona is getting 26.6% of points on foul line (#9)
— Pitino’s Gaels have #26 eFG% defense.
— Iona has three wins by 8 or fewer points.
— Gaels won two games on this site last weekend.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #276
— bench minutes: #335
Belmont vs Drake (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Belmont (3-2) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #17
— Belmont lost its last game 83-53 to LSU.
— Bruins’ best win was in OT over Furman.
— Belmont is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#29)
— Bruins get 36.9% of points on arc (#77)
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #113
— bench minutes: #207
— Drake (3-0) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #173
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #36
— Drake beat Richmond by 3, their only top 200 game.
— Bulldogs have made 42.3% of their 3’s (#15)
— Drake has #24 eFG% defense in country.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #196
— bench minutes: #16
— This is Drake’s first game away from home.
UAB vs New Mexico (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
— UAB (4-1) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #202
— UAB’s only loss was 66-63 at South Carolina.
— Blazers’ best win is 85-71 over #175 Morehead State.
— UAB is forcing turnovers 27.9% of time (#9)
— Blazers have made 39.3% of their 3’s (#33)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #37
— New Mexico (4-1) ranked #260 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #343
— New Mexico lost only top 100 game 87-76 at #59 Colorado.
— Lobos scored 85.5 ppg in their D-I games.
— New Mexico is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#41)
— Lobos are shooting 38.5% on arc (#45)
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #281
— bench minutes: #288
San Francisco vs Towson (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
— USF (6-0) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #102
— USF has top 100 wins over Davidson, Nevada.
— Dons are shooting 63% inside arc (#3)
— 51.9% of USF’s shots are 3’s (37.1%, #75)
— USF’s schedule, to this point: #282
— bench minutes: #217
— This is their first game away from home.
— Towson (3-2) ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #230
— Towson lost its two top 200 games, by 8-4 points.
— Tigers’ best win was 76-61 over #210 Penn.
— Towson is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#66)
— Tigers are shooting only 27.5% on arc (#296)
— Towson’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #112
Maryland vs Richmond (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Maryland (4-1) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #251
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #216
— Maryland’s only loss: 71-66 to #141 George Mason.
— Terps’ best win: 68-57 over #102 Vermont.
— Maryland is shooting 25.4% on arc (#329)
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #275
— bench minutes: #156
— This is Maryland’s first game away from home.
— Richmond (3-2) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #30
— Richmond lost its two top 100 games, by 11-3 points.
— Spiders’ best win: 94-78 over #106 Georgia State.
— Richmond is shooting 40.9% on arc (#23)
— Spiders are shooting 60.3% on foul line (#339)
— Richmond’s schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #242
Louisville vs Mississippi State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Louisville (3-1) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #188
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #277
— These are last two games of Louisville coach Mack’s suspension.
— This is Cardinals’ first top 100 game this season.
— Louisville’s loss was 80-72 at home to Furman, in OT.
— Louisville’s schedule, to this point: #302
— bench minutes: #54
— This is Louisville’s first game away from home.
— Mississippi State (4-0) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #129
— Best team Miss State has played so far: #165 Montana.
— Bulldogs are shooting 45.7% on arc (#3)
— Miss State is giving up only 52 ppg, vs a weak schedule.
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #338
— bench minutes: #236
— This is Miss State’s first game away from home.
USC vs St Joe’s (@ Anaheim, CA)
— USC (4-0) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #131
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #87
— USC scored 85.3 ppg in its first four games.
— Trojans are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#17)
— Opponents are shooting 38.4% inside arc (#9).
— Trojans already have road wins at Temple, FGCU.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #282
— bench minutes: #149
— St Joe’s (2-2) ranked #238 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #110
— St Joe’s lost last two games, to Drexel/Monmouth.
— Opponents are shooting 48.2% on arc (#356)
— St Joe’s two wins are over teams #353/#295
— St Joe’s schedule, to this point: #347
— bench minutes: #193
— This is St Joe’s first game away from home.
Georgetown vs San Diego State (@ Anaheim, CA)
— Georgetown (2-1) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #276
— Georgetown hasn’t played team ranked higher than #261
— Georgetown lost 69-60 at home to #261 Dartmouth
— Hoyas are shooting 41.5% on arc (#18)
— Georgetown’s schedule, to this point: #354
— bench minutes: #122
— This is Georgetown’s first game away from home.
— San Diego State (3-1) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #121
— San Diego State lost by 6 at BYU, beat Arizona State by 2.
— Aztecs are shooting 24.6% on arc (#334)
— San Diego State is getting 29.3% of points on foul line (#2)
— Aztecs are giving up only 61 ppg.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #119
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Post by Gooba on Nov 25, 2021 8:42:55 GMT -5
NBA Trends
Hawks (10-9):
— Won their last six games.
— 7-2 ATS at home, 1-9 on road.
— favorites 8-1 ATS at home
— 1-3 ATS if they played night before.
Celtics (10-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 0ver 4-1 last five home games.
— 3-5 ATS as home favorite, 4-0 ATS as road favorite.
— 4-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.
Nets (14-5):
— won seven of last eight games.
— 4-5 ATS as home favorite, 4-3 ATS as road favorite.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— All five losses were by 13+ points.
Hornets (12-8):
— won six of last seven games
— 1-7 ATS last eight road games.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— 5-1 ATS as home underdog.
— 0-4 ATS if they played night before.
Bulls (12-7):
— Lost three of last five games.
— 6-3 ATS at home, 6-4 ATS on road.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— 3-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.
Cavaliers (9-10):
— Lost their last five games SU.
— 13-4 vs spread in last 17 games
— over 3-1 last four games
— 7-3 ATS at home, 6-3 on road.
Mavericks (10-7):
— Lost three of last four games SU.
— Over 5-2 last seven games overall.
— Under 4-2-1 at home.
— 4-1 ATS last five road games.
Nuggets (9-9):
— Lost their last five games
— 2-6 ATS on the road.
— over 5-1 last six games.
— 3-5 ATS as a favorite.
Pistons (4-14):
— Lost five of last six games
— 4-5 ATS as home underdog, 3-5 as road underdog.
— under 5-3 last eight home games.
— 6-4 ATS in last ten games overall.
Warriors (16-2):
— won 12 of last 13 games SU
— covered last five games.
— 9-1-1 ATS as home favorite
— 5-2 ATS on the road.
Rockets (2-16):
— Lost 15 of their last 16 games.
— Under 6-1 last seven games.
— 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— 2-7 ATS last nine games overall.
Pacers (8-12):
— Lost four of last six games.
— 0-5 ATS as a road favorite, 5-2 as a road dog.
— under 8-1 last nine road games.
— 4-1 ATS last five home tilts.
Clippers (10-8):
— Lost four of last six games
— under 4-2 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven home games.
— 0-2 ATS if they played night before.
Lakers (10-10):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-1 last five home games
— 4-0 SU in overtime games.
Grizzlies (9-9):
— won three of last five games SU.
— last five games went over total.
— 2-4 ATS last six road games.
— 6-4 ATS at home
Heat (9-5):
— won four of last six games SU
— under 3-0-1 last four road games.
— 6-1 ATS at home
— 5-0 ATS as an underdog.
Bucks (11-8):
— won last five games SU, all at home.
— 3-7 ATS at home, 5-4 on road
— under 5-1 last six games overall
— 0-3 ATS on front end of a back/back.
Timberwolves (9-9):
— won last five games, covered last six.
— All five of those wins were by 10+ points.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— 2-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.
Pelicans (4-16):
— split last four games SU
— 4-4 ATS last eight games
— 6-3 ATS home underdog, 2-8 ATS road underdog
— under 8-1 last nine road games
Knicks (10-8):
— lost four of last six games SU.
— under last five games overall
— 1-5 ATS last six home games
— 3-9 ATS last dozen games overall.
Thunder (6-12):
— covered their last six road games
— 5-4 ATS at home
— last three games overall went over total.
— under 7-2 in their road games.
Magic (4-15):
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— covered four of last five games
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.
76ers (10-9):
— lost seven of last nine games SU
— under 4-1 last five games
— 3-5 ATS at home, 7-4 ATS on road
— 5-2 ATS when favored, 5-7 as underdog.
Suns (15-3):
— won last 14 games SU
— Despite that, they’re 1-5 ATS last six games
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games
— over 4-0 last four games overall
Trailblazers (10-9):
— won four of last five games SU
— 1-8 ATS on the road
— 7-3 ATS at home
— over 4-1 last five road games
Kings (7-12):
— lost eight of last ten games
— under 7-3 at home
— 3-7 ATS at home
— 1-4 ATS as home underdog, 3-2 as road dog.
Spurs (4-13):
— lost last six games SU
— over 7-0-1 at home, 2-7 on road.
— 2-6 ATS last eight games
— 5-7 ATS as an underdog
Raptors (9-10):
— lost seven of last ten games (3-7 ATS)
— 1-7 ATS at home, 7-4 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite
Jazz (12-6):
— won four of last five games
— over 5-1 last six games
— 5-4 ATS as home favorite, 5-3 as road favorite
— Scored 110+ points in last five games.
Wizards (10-3):
— lost four of last five games (1-4 ATS)
— under 6-0 last six home games
— 1-5 ATS last six home games
— 4-0 ATS as home dogs, 2-4 as road dogs
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Post by Benny33 on Nov 25, 2021 9:04:45 GMT -5
Thanks T
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