Post by Gooba on Nov 14, 2023 8:08:06 GMT -5
Tuesday’s games
Akron @ Eastern Michigan
Akron (2-8, 1-5)
— Akron is 1-7 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Zips are 2-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-7 scoring less than 24.
— Akron has a minus-9 turnover ratio.
— last 5+ years, Zips are minus-50 in turnovers
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 64 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 10 games LY, after playing JC ball.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-6-1 ATS in conference games.
— Akron is 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Akron hasn’t gone bowling since 2017.
— last 4+ years, Akron is 7-45 SU/18-32-1 ATS
Eastern Michigan (4-6, 2-4)
— EMU lost last three games, giving up 45-49 points in last two.
— Eagles are 3-0 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 24.
— EMU won three of its four I-A home games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 58 starts back on offensive line; only two starters are back.
— soph QB Smith is completing 55.2% of passes, with 7 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— EMU is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite (2-1 TY).
— under Creighton, EMU is 9-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 3+ years, Eagles are 17-11 ATS in MAC games.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Eagles were 7-6/9-4 last two years, after going 32-61 from 2013-20.
— EMU won bowl game 41-27 LY, snapping 4-game bowl losing skid.
— Eastern Michigan won last three series games (2-1 ATS)
— Zips covered three of last four visits to Ypsilanti.
— Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 14-11 ATS
Toledo @ Bowling Green
Toledo (8-1, 4-0)
— Toledo is 6-0 in MAC, winning by 2-18-7-4-18-26 points (3-3 ATS).
— Toledo covered its last three games.
— Rockets’ only loss was 30-28 at Illinois in season opener.
— Toledo has run ball for 196.5 yards/game in MAC play.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line— 4 starters are back
— junior QB has 19 starts, was 2nd-team all-MAC last year.
— Toledo is 2-6 ATS last eight games as road favorites (1-2 TY).
— under Candle, Toledo is 28-33-1 ATS in MAC games (3-3 TY).
— since 2018, Rockets are 14-25 ATS coming off a win (3-5 TY).
— three of Rockets’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Toledo is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls- they beat Liberty 21-19 LY.
Bowling Green (6-4, 4-2)
— Bowling Green won last four games, scoring 24-41-24-49 points.
— Last six games, Bowling Green has a +12 turnover ratio.
— Falcons scored 6-7-0 points in their last three losses.
— Falcons held three of last four opponents under 290 total yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line, are expected to improve.
— junior QB Bazelak started 29 games at Missouri/Indiana.
— BG is 8-16 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— since 2016, Falcons are 8-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Bowling Green lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS)
— Falcons went bowling LY, but have had 7 straight losing seasons.
— Toledo is 11-2 in last 13 series games (2-2 in last four)
— Rockets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Bowling Green.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— MAC home underdogs are 4-11 ATS.
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois
Western Michigan (4-6, 3-3)
— Broncos won last two games, after a 2-6 start.
— Broncos are 4-0 scoring 35+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 35.
— Last four games, WMU is +5 in turnovers.
— 8 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 22 games at Old Dominion; LY’s QB’s also return.
— new HC Taylor was OC at Louisville last year.
— Broncos are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
— since 2017, Broncos are 23-27-2 ATS in MAC tilts (5-1 TY).
— over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— WMU is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls, after losing first six bowls.
— WMU was 5-7 last year, their first losing season since 2013.
Northern Illinois (4-6, 3-3)
— Huskies lost last two games, 37-31/20-17.
— NIU is 3-1 giving up 14 or fewer points, 1-5 giving up 20+ points.
— NIU gave up 14-13-13 points in MAC wins, 35-37-20 in losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 117 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— senior QB made 16 starts before this year.
— Last two years, NIU is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
— Under Hammock, NIU is 17-20 ATS in MAC games (3-3 TY)
— Under Hammock, NIU is 15-14 ATS coming off a loss.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— NIU went to one bowl the last four years.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Broncos are 3-10 ATS in last 13 visits to DeKalb (3-2 last five).
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 14-11 ATS
Akron @ Eastern Michigan
Akron (2-8, 1-5)
— Akron is 1-7 vs I-A teams, with three losses by 3 or fewer points.
— Zips are 2-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-7 scoring less than 24.
— Akron has a minus-9 turnover ratio.
— last 5+ years, Zips are minus-50 in turnovers
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 64 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 10 games LY, after playing JC ball.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Moorhead, Akron is 7-6-1 ATS in conference games.
— Akron is 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Akron hasn’t gone bowling since 2017.
— last 4+ years, Akron is 7-45 SU/18-32-1 ATS
Eastern Michigan (4-6, 2-4)
— EMU lost last three games, giving up 45-49 points in last two.
— Eagles are 3-0 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 24.
— EMU won three of its four I-A home games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 58 starts back on offensive line; only two starters are back.
— soph QB Smith is completing 55.2% of passes, with 7 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— EMU is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite (2-1 TY).
— under Creighton, EMU is 9-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 3+ years, Eagles are 17-11 ATS in MAC games.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Eagles were 7-6/9-4 last two years, after going 32-61 from 2013-20.
— EMU won bowl game 41-27 LY, snapping 4-game bowl losing skid.
— Eastern Michigan won last three series games (2-1 ATS)
— Zips covered three of last four visits to Ypsilanti.
— Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 14-11 ATS
Toledo @ Bowling Green
Toledo (8-1, 4-0)
— Toledo is 6-0 in MAC, winning by 2-18-7-4-18-26 points (3-3 ATS).
— Toledo covered its last three games.
— Rockets’ only loss was 30-28 at Illinois in season opener.
— Toledo has run ball for 196.5 yards/game in MAC play.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line— 4 starters are back
— junior QB has 19 starts, was 2nd-team all-MAC last year.
— Toledo is 2-6 ATS last eight games as road favorites (1-2 TY).
— under Candle, Toledo is 28-33-1 ATS in MAC games (3-3 TY).
— since 2018, Rockets are 14-25 ATS coming off a win (3-5 TY).
— three of Rockets’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Toledo is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls- they beat Liberty 21-19 LY.
Bowling Green (6-4, 4-2)
— Bowling Green won last four games, scoring 24-41-24-49 points.
— Last six games, Bowling Green has a +12 turnover ratio.
— Falcons scored 6-7-0 points in their last three losses.
— Falcons held three of last four opponents under 290 total yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line, are expected to improve.
— junior QB Bazelak started 29 games at Missouri/Indiana.
— BG is 8-16 ATS last 24 games as a home underdog.
— since 2016, Falcons are 8-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Bowling Green lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS)
— Falcons went bowling LY, but have had 7 straight losing seasons.
— Toledo is 11-2 in last 13 series games (2-2 in last four)
— Rockets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Bowling Green.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— MAC home underdogs are 4-11 ATS.
Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois
Western Michigan (4-6, 3-3)
— Broncos won last two games, after a 2-6 start.
— Broncos are 4-0 scoring 35+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 35.
— Last four games, WMU is +5 in turnovers.
— 8 starters back on offense, 2 on defense
— 81 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 22 games at Old Dominion; LY’s QB’s also return.
— new HC Taylor was OC at Louisville last year.
— Broncos are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
— since 2017, Broncos are 23-27-2 ATS in MAC tilts (5-1 TY).
— over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— WMU is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls, after losing first six bowls.
— WMU was 5-7 last year, their first losing season since 2013.
Northern Illinois (4-6, 3-3)
— Huskies lost last two games, 37-31/20-17.
— NIU is 3-1 giving up 14 or fewer points, 1-5 giving up 20+ points.
— NIU gave up 14-13-13 points in MAC wins, 35-37-20 in losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 117 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— senior QB made 16 starts before this year.
— Last two years, NIU is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
— Under Hammock, NIU is 17-20 ATS in MAC games (3-3 TY)
— Under Hammock, NIU is 15-14 ATS coming off a loss.
— Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
— NIU went to one bowl the last four years.
— Teams split last eight series games.
— Broncos are 3-10 ATS in last 13 visits to DeKalb (3-2 last five).
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— MAC home favorites are 14-11 ATS