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Post by Gooba on Nov 16, 2023 9:08:13 GMT -5
Thursdayβs NFL game
Bengals (5-4) @ Ravens (7-3)
β Bengals won/covered four of last five games, scoring 26.6 ppg. β Last five games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5) β Cincinnati split its four road games SU this season. β Cincinnati is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog. β Bengals are 15-7-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss. β Last three games, Cincy averaged 7.6/7.6/7.1 yards/pass attempt. β Last two games. Cincy had ten TDβs on 30 drives. β Bengals are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven AFC North road games. β Last five games, Bengals scored TD on their first drive of game. β Under is 5-4 in their games this season. β Team total: under 6-3. Opponentsβ team total: under 5-4
β Ravens won four of last four games (3-2 ATS). β Last seven games, Ravens outscored foes 125-28 in first half. β Baltimore is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as home favorite (3-2 TY) β Ravens are 7-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not. β Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC North home games. β Ravens are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss. β Baltimore is minus-6 in TOβs in its losses, +4 in wins. β Lamar Jackson is 53-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games) β over is 3-1 in Baltimoreβs last four games. β Team total: over 7-3. Opponentsβ team total: under 6-3-1
β Ravens (+3) won 27-24 in Cincinnati, in Week 3 β Cincinnati won four of last six series games. β Bengals are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Baltimore. β Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 16, 2023 9:09:06 GMT -5
Thursdayβs College game
Boston College @ Pitt
Boston College (6-4, 3-3) β Eagles won five of last six games, after a 1-3 start. β Last two games, BC gave up 209-363 rushing yards. β Seven of their ten games were decided by 7 or less points. β Last four games, BC ran ball for 268.5 yards/game. β 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense β 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved. β soph QB has completed 57.3% of passes (13 TDβs, 9 INT) β under Hafley, BC is 7-9 ATS as a road underdog (2-1 TY). β under Hafley, Eagles are 16-16 ATS in ACC games (3-3 TY). β over is 6-3 in their I-A games. β BC hasnβt played in a bowl since 2019 (one in β21 was cancelled).
Pittsburgh (2-8, 1-5) β Pitt lost four in row, eight of nine I-A games (beat Louisville, 38-21) β Pitt scored 11 ppg in its last four games. β Last three weeks, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers. β Panthers gained less than 290 total yards in six of nine I-A games. β 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense β 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back. β soph QB has completed 51.1% of passes (7 TDβs, 8 INT) β Panthers are 2-6 ATS last eight games as home favorites. β Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. β Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.
β Teams havenβt met since 2020. β Boston College won last two meetings. 31-30/26-19. β BC is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Pitt. β Over is 2-2 in last four series games. β ACC home favorites are 12-15 ATS.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 16, 2023 9:15:59 GMT -5
Baltimore opened as 2.5-point home chalk Sunday night at PointsBet, a Fanatics Experience. Within about 30 minutes, that number leapt up to Ravens -4, and it's since toggled between -4/-3.5 a couple times.
The Ravens are now -3.5 on solid two-way action with a lean toward the Bengals. Cincy is drawing 54% of early spread tickets/53% of early spread money.
"The line moved in the direction of the Ravens, despite unexpected losses from both teams last week," PointsBet trader Jack Meenan said, while noting injuries are key in this matchup. "The Ravens seemed to escape significant damage, with Marlon Humphrey and Ronnie Stanley, cornerstone vets on both sides of the ball, being designated as day-to-day going into Thursday Night Football. Ja'Marr Chase played what most would call a reduced role on Sunday vs. the Texans, but seemingly will be back to 100 percent this week.
"But Tee Higgins seems a major doubt and is looking pretty unlikely to go, along with star edge rusher Trey Hendrickson."
Higgins (hamstring) missed last week's loss to Houston. Hendrickson suffered a hyperextended knee against Houston.
"We have similar money on both sides. But when the spread reached Ravens -4 here, we saw some resistance, and Bengals +4 was popular among bettors, settling back at -3.5," Meenan said. "It's unlikely to see a movement through the key 3 here before Thursday, but stranger things have happened. Injuries are still one thing to watch.
"With [Browns QB] Deshaun Watson out for the rest of the season, these teams have renewed hope of winning the toughest division in football. This matchup will be pivotal.β
PointsBet opened the total at 44 and got to 46 by Tuesday morning. Early ticket count is 2/1 and early money almost 8/1 on the Over.
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