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Post by Gooba on Jun 13, 2016 6:19:49 GMT -5
'Jays heavy favorites'
Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays June 13, 7:05 EST
Totonto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies open a four-game home-home interleague series with the first two north of the border. Blue Jays have enjoyed home cooking of late, compiling an 8-2 record before the home audience and have also won thirteen of their last seventeen overall. As for Philadelphia, the Phillies have hit a rough patch going 4-15 the past nineteen on the diamond, including 1-8 in an opposing park.
In the opener, R.A. Dickey toes the rubber for John Gibbons' troops, bringing a 4-6 record to the hill with a 4.15 ERA. Dickey beat Detroit in his last outing, winning back-to-back starts for the first time this season with the knuckler giving up just 2 runs over those 12.0 innings of work. Jays have won each of Dickey's three starts vs Philadelphia and have won five of his last seven interleague starts.
Jerad Eickhoff gets the call for Philadelphia. In his last start, Eickhoff tossed a seven inning gem of one run ball in home victory over Cubs bringing his record to 3-8 with a 3.68 ERA. Looking at the home and away splits for the hurler is illuminating, since it shows Eickhoff 3-3 at home with a 2.12 ERA, 0-5 away from Citizens Bank Park with a whopping 6.41 ERA.
Those team/pitcher numbers, it's no surprise to see the Toronto pegged a hefty -$2.35 moneyline favorite.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 13, 2016 6:20:25 GMT -5
Monday's games
National League games
Cubs @ Nationals
Hendricks is 2-1, 2.05 in his last three starts; six of his last eight stayed under.
Scherzer is 4-2, 2.56 in his last six starts; his last four all went over.
Washington won five of last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Cubs won 13 of last 17 games; five of their last seven road games went over.
Reds @ Braves
Wright allowed four runs in 5.1 IP (87 PT) in his first MLB start.
Blair is 0-1, 6.43 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.
Atlanta lost seven of last nine games; six of their last nine games stayed under. Reds are 8-4 in their last 12 games, five of their last seven home games went over the total.
Marlins @ Padres
Chen is 0-0, 5.32 in his last four starts, three of which went over.
Rea is 0-1, 6.26 in his last five starts; six of his last nine went over.
Padres lost nine of last 11 road games; seven of last nine San Diego road games went over. Marlins lost five of last eight games; six of last seven Miami road games went over.
Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Bolsinger is 1-3, 5.76 in his four starts (over 2-2). .
Former Dodger Greinke is 5-0, 1.95 in his last five starts; under is 7-4-1 in his last 12.
Arizona lost 16 of last 23 home games; eight of last ten Arizona home games went over the total. Dodgers lost nine of last 14 road games; nine of last 12 LA games stayed under total.
Brewers @ Giants
Anderson is 2-0, 1.04 in his last three starts; five of his last six stayed under.
Cain is 1-1, 1.59 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
San Francisco won seven of last nine home games; under is 5-2-1 in its last eight home games. This game is 5:30 local time first pitch; are shadows an issue? Milwaukee is 6-4 in its last ten games; under is 6-3 in its last nine.
American League games
Tigers @ White Sox
Boyd is 0-2, 4.24 in his three starts (over 1-1-1).
Shields allowed seven runs in two IP (84 PT) in his White Sox debut.
Tigers won six of their last eight games; seven of its last eight road games stayed under. Chicago is 8-21 in its last 29 games; under is 9-5 in White Sox' last 14 home games.
Indians @ Royals
Carrasco is 0-1, 5.11 in his last three starts (over 3-3).
Volquez is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts (under 8-4-1).
Indians won eight of last 11 games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road tilts. Royals lost nine of last ten road games; under is 5-2-1 in KC's last eight games.
Twins @ Angels
Nolasco is 1-3, 6.67 in his last five starts (over 10-1 in his last 11 starts).
Weaver is 2-3, 5.17 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over.
Angels lost five of their last six games; six of their last seven home games stayed under. Minnesota lost nine of last twelve games; ten of Twins' last 12 home games went over the total.
Rangers @ A's
Ramos 1-1, 3.00 in his two starts (under 2-0); his last start was May 21.
Manaea is 1-3, 4.91 in his last four starts (under 4-0-1 in his last five).
Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 games; five of their last seven road tilts stayed under. A's lost their last nine road games; under is 4-0-1 in their last five.
Interleague
Phillies @ Blue Jays
Eickhoff is 2-2, 2.36 in his last four starts (under is 7-1 in his last eight).
Dickey is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts (under 3-0-1 in his last four).
Phillies lost 16 of last 21 games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Toronto won seven of last nine home games; under is 8-4-1 in their last 13.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Chi-Wsh-- Hendricks 5-6; Scherzer 8-5
Cin-Atl-- Wright 0-1; Blair 1-7
LA-Az-- Bolsinger 1-3; Greinke 9-4
Mia-SD-- Chen 6-6; Rea 6-5
Mil-SF-- Anderson 5-7; Cain 3-7
Det-Chi-- Boyd 1-2; Shields 0-1/2-9
Cle-KC-- Carrasco 5-1; Volquez 7-6
Min-LA-- Nolasco 5-7; Weaver 5-7
Tex-A's-- Ramos 1-1; Manaea 3-5
Phil-Tor-- Eickhoff 4-8; Dickey 4-9
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Chi-Wsh-- Hendricks 3-11; Scherzer 5-13
Cin-Atl-- Wright 1-1; Blair 4-8
LA-Az-- Bolsinger 1-4; Greinke 2-13
Mia-SD-- Chen 5-12; Rea 6-11
Mil-SF-- Anderson 4-12; Cain 2-10
Det-Chi-- Boyd 0-3; Shields 5-12
Cle-KC-- Carrasco 0-6; Volquez 2-13
Min-LA-- Nolasco 7-12; Weaver 4-12
Tex-A's-- Ramos 0-2; Manaea 1-8
Phil-Tor-- Eickhoff 4-12; Dickey 5-13
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Post by Gooba on Jun 13, 2016 6:20:46 GMT -5
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | CINCINNATI at ATLANTA
Play Against - Any team (ATLANTA) with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season against opponent with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.50 or worse on the season
46-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.9% | 27.8 units )
17-15 this year. ( 53.1% | 6.8 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | TEXAS at OAKLAND
TEXAS is 122-93 (+49.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.4)
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