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Post by Gooba on Jun 19, 2016 7:24:40 GMT -5
'Rubber match'
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles June 19, 1:55 EST
Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays conclude their three-game set with both teams having notched one victory. The Orioles will count on Chris Tillman (9-1 2.87 ERA) while the Blue Jays turn to Marcus Stroman (6-2 4.76 ERA). Oddsmakers have opened Orioles -$1.20 favorite with the total set at 9.5 runs.
Tillman in great form allowing three or fewer runs in nine of his last eleven eleven starts heads to the hill undefeated over the span (8-0) with his team 10-1 in those games. Tillman also carries a sparkling 16-2 June team start record to the mound including 9-2 TSR at Camden Yards. However, facing Blue Jays with Tillman has not been good for Orioles as they've compiled a 3-10 record his last thirteen starts. Even worse are Orioles numbers at Camden Yards where they're 1-7 with the hurler.
As for Stroman, the righthander shook off three bad starts in his last outing tossing seven innings of two run ball in a win against Phillies. Stroman knows how to follow up a strong performance with another stellar effort. In his last eight after allowing two or fewer runs, the Blue Jays are 6-2 in his subsequent appearance on the mound. Blue Jays have also made their mark facing a division opponent with Stroman. In his last sixteen starts the result has been 13 wins, 3 losses. Jays have split a pair vs Orioles this season w/stroman and are 2-2 in his four career starts vs Baltimore.
Going against Tillman at home might be considered sacrilege, but getting an underdog price on Blue Jays who have found their stroke winning seven of nine, platting 65 runs behind 103 hits, 23 long-ball is too good to pass up. Additionally, Jays are in the midst of a 17-7 spurt, 13-4 streak against the A.L. East, 7-2 stretch handing the ball to Stroman on the road.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 19, 2016 7:25:28 GMT -5
MLB
Sunday's games
National League games
Pirates @ Cubs
Taillon is 1-0, 1.93 in his first two MLB starts (over 1-1).
Hendricks is 0-2, 5.23 in his last two starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine.
Pirates lost 14 of their last 18 games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 road games. Chicago won ten of last 12 home games; eight of last nine Wrigley games stayed under.
Diamondbacks @ Phillies
Bradley is 0-3, 5.19 in his last three starts (over 5-1).
Eflin allowed nine runs in 2.2 IP (77 PT) in his MLB debut.
Arizona won five of last seven games; five of their last six games stayed under total. Phillies are 1-9 in last ten games; eight of last ten Philly home games went over.
Rockies @ Marlins
Anderson allowed one run in 6.1 IP (92 PT) in his MLB debut. .
Koehler is 3-1, 3.60 in his last four starts, three of which went over.
Rockies won six of last nine games; six of their last eight road games stayed under the total. Miami won four of last five games; over is 10-4 in their last 14 games.
Braves @ Mets
Teheran is 1-3, 3.81 in his last four starts; seven of his last eight starts stayed under.
deGrom is 0-2, 2.42 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under; New York scored total of two runs in his last three starts.
Braves won their last four games; eight of last ten Atlanta road games stayed under. New York lost seven of last nine home games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
Nationals @ Padres
Gonzalez is 0-4, 7.45 in his last five starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.
Pomeranz is 1-3, 5.73 in his last four starts; eight of his last nine stayed under.
Washington won 10 of last 13 games; nine of their last ten road games went over the total. Padres lost seven of their last ten games; their last four games went over.
Brewers @ Dodgers
Garza allowed one run in four IP (87 PT) in his first '16 start.
Maeda is 3-1, 2.31 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.
Milwaukee lost seven of last nine road games; eight of its last nine road games went over the total. Dodgers won 10 of last 13 at home; under is 7-3 in their last 10 at home.
American League games
Blue Jays @ Orioles
Stroman is 1-1, 7.33 in his last four starts, which all went over. .
Tillman is 5-0, 2.72 in his last seven starts (under 5-2).
Toronto won eight of last 11 games; seven of their last ten games went over. Orioles won eight of last ten home games; four of their last six home games stayed under. .
White Sox @ Indians
Rodon is 0-2, 3.71 in his last three starts; four of his last six starts went over.
Carrasco is 0-2, 3.98 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.
White Sox lost 11 of last 13 road games; over is 18-6 in their last 24 road games. Cleveland won its last seven home games. Under is 9-4-2 in their last fifteen games.
Mariners @ Red Sox
Walker is 1-4, 6.55 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.
Price is 0-3, 3.13 in his last three starts; his last four starts went over.
Mariners lost six of last eight road games; over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Boston lost six of last nine home games; over is 15-7 in their last 22 home games.
Tigers @ Royals
Zimmerman is 4-1, 7.50 in his last five starts (over 4-0-1); Detroit scored 42 runs in those five games. .
Young is 0-3, 7.17 in his last five starts; four of his last six stayed under.
Tigers lost four of last six games; five of their last six games went over. Royals won 11of last 12 home games; their last four games went over.
Bronx @ Twins
Eovaldi is 0-1, 9.82 in his last three starts, which all went over.
Santana is 0-5, 7.71 in his last five starts; seven of his last nine went over.
New York is 10-6 in its last 16 games; six of their last eight road games went over the total. Minnesota lost eight of its last10 games; over is 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
Angels @ A's
Weaver is 1-3, 6.94 in his last four starts; four of his last five went over.
Surkamp is 0-4, 7.80 in seven starts; his last three starts went over.
A's lost 12 of last 15 games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Angels lost eight of last 11 road games; over is 10-4-1 in their last fifteen games.
Interleague
Giants @ Rays
Peavy is .2-1, 1.82 in his last four starts; five of his last seven starts stayed under.
Odorizzi is 3-1, 3.74 in his last six starts (under 9-5).
Giants won their last seven games; seven of last 11 SF road games went over. Tampa Bay lost last three games; under is 22-10 in Rays' last 32 home games.
Reds @ Astros
Finnegan is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.
Fiers is 1-2, 4.97 in his last five starts; three of his last four went over.
Cincinnati is 11-8 in its last 18 games, over is 10-3 in their last 13 road games. Astros won eight of last ten home games; nine of last ten Houston games stayed under.
Rangers @ Cardinals
Perez is 5-0, 3.19 in his last five starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. .
Leake is 5-1, 2.85 in his last seven starts; eight of his last ten went over.
Rangers are 21-6 in their last 27 games; nine of their last 13 road tilts went over. St Louis lost seven of last nine home games; their last four games stayed under.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Pitt-Chi-- Taillon 1-1; Hendricks 6-6
Az-Phil-- Bradley 3-3; Eflin 0-1
Col-Mia-- Anderson 1-0; Koehler 5-8
Atl-NY-- Teheran 3-11; deGrom 5-6
Mil-LA-- Garza 0-1; Maeda 7-6
Wsh-SD-- Gonzalez 5-8; Pomeranz 5-8
Tor-Balt-- Stroman 8-6; Tillman 12-2
Chi-Clev-- Rodon 3-9; Carrrasco 5-2
Sea-Bos-- Walker 5-8; Price 8-6
NY-Min-- Eovaldi 8-5; Santana 1-11
Det-KC-- Zimmerman 9-3; Young 3-6
LA-A's-- Weaver 5-8; Surkamp 3-4
SF-TB-- Peavy 6-7; Odorizzi 8-6
Cin-Hst-- Finnegan 4-10; Fiers 6-6
Tex-StL-- Perez 7-7; Leake 7-6
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Pitt-Chi-- Taillon 0-2; Hendricks 3-12
Az-Phil-- Bradley 2-6; Eflin 1-1
Col-Mia-- Anderson 0-1; Koehler 4-13
Atl-NY-- Teheran 3-14; deGrom 2-11
Mil-LA-- Garza 0-1; Maeda 2-13
Wsh-SD-- Gonzalez 1-13; Pomeranz 3-13
Tor-Balt-- Stroman 3-14; Tillman 2-14
Chi-Clev-- Rodon 4-12; Carrrasco 1-7
Sea-Bos-- Walker 2-13; Price 5-14
NY-Min-- Eovaldi 3-13; Santana 5-12
Det-KC-- Zimmerman 3-12; Young 5-9
LA-A's-- Weaver 5-13; Surkamp 2-7
SF-TB-- Peavy 6-7; Odorizzi 2-14
Cin-Hst-- Finnegan 3-14; Fiers 3-12
Tex-StL-- Perez 5-14; Leake 3-13
Umpires
Pitt-Chi-- Six of last seven Wolf games stayed under total.
Az-Phil-- Three of last four Hudson games went over.
Col-Mia-- Last three Barber games stayed under total.
Atl-NY-- Last nine Wegner games went over the total.
Mil-LA-- Five of last six Timmons games went over.
Wsh-SD-- Road team won four of last five Holbrook games.
Tor-Blt-- Road team won eight of last eleven Scott games.
Chi-Clev-- Seven of last nine Woodring games went over.
Sea-Bos-- Four of last five May games went over total.
NY-Min-- Last six Emmel games stayed under the total.
Det-KC-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Morales games.
LA-A's-- Four of last six Lemtz games stayed under.
SF-TB-- Underdogs won four of last six Nauert games.
Cin-Hst-- Four of last five Reyburn games stayed under.
Tex-StL-- Six of last eight Fletcher games went over.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 19, 2016 7:25:54 GMT -5
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | COLORADO at MIAMI
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) good offensive team (>=5.0 runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA= 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game
66-35 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 31.9 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.3 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | DETROIT at KANSAS CITY
DETROIT is 23-12 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in Road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: DETROIT (4.9) , OPPONENT (4.5)
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Post by Gooba on Jun 19, 2016 7:26:18 GMT -5
Sunday's six-pack
-- James Shields has now allowed 31 runs in 11 IP in his last four starts.
-- 10 Cincinnati Reds have made their major league debut this year.
-- Patricia Ford was named Miss Georgia; she is a former Weather Channel intern.
-- Mets are 5-17 this season when they do not hit a home run.
-- Stuart Appleby's golf bag weighed in at 36.35 pounds; caddying is tough.
-- Miami Marlins have had five no-hitters, but never had a guy hit for the cycle
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