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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:14:56 GMT -5
'Halos in good hands '
Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros June 22, 2:10 EST
When Los Angeles Angels hand the ball to Matt Shoemaker in the finale vs Astros many in the sports gaming community will tend to overlook the righthander. That's because he has authored just three wins in thirteen starts with a 4.50 ERA. However, those digging deeper into performance will be quick to note, the past six on the mound Shoemaker has posted a impressive 1.83 ERA over 44 1/3 innings with an eye-opening 55-2 strike-walk-ratio. They'll also have noted, Shoemaker handcuffed Astros earlier tossing 8 1/3 innings fo 2 run ball in a win.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:15:12 GMT -5
'Giants on a roll'
San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates June 22, 7:05 EST
San Francisco and Pittsburgh play the third of a four-game series at PNC Park with both teams having notched one victory. Giants have Jeff Samardzija starting, carrying a 8-4 record, 3.14 ERA to the hill. In his last start, Samardzija allowed one run on four hits while striking out four to earn the win. Samardzija facing Pirates for the first time wearing a Giant uniform may not bring about much confidence among bettors, the righthander heads to the mound sporting a 0-7 team start record vs Pirates tossing for Cubbies/Pale Hose.
Pirates send out southpaw Francisco Liriano, who gave up six hits, four earned runs, five walks in a loss to the Cubs in his last outing. Nothing seems to be going right for the southpaw, he's lost four straight, six of his last seven starts overall bringing the mark to 4-7 with a 5.03 ERA on the campaign. He'll try to stop the bleeding vs a team he has had success against winning three of four chucking for Bucs.
The visiting Giants are listed as -$1.80 favorites.
Taking a road favorite can be a perilous road in baseball betting, but there appears to be enough in Giants favor to counteract such concerns. The Giants are hot, winning 9 of they're last 10 and 12 of 17 in June. The Pirates are not, losing 11 of the past 13 and 15 of 20 in the month of June. Additionally, Giants facing a lefthanded starter is good news, they're on a solid 9-2 stretch swinging away at a southpaw.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:15:54 GMT -5
MLB
Wednesday's games
National League games
Giants @ Pirates Samardzija is 1-2, 5.32 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts went over.
Liriano is 0-4, 8.57 in his last four starts, four of which stayed under.
Giants are 19-7 in last 26 road games,under is 14-8 in last 22 Giant road games. Pirates lost 11 of last 13 games; over is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.
Braves @ Marlins Wisler is 1-4, 6.83 in his last five starts; five of his last six went over.
Conley is 1-2, 4.91 in his last six starts; four of his last five stayed under.
Braves won their last six games; under is 10-2 in last 12 Atlanta road games. Miami won five of last eight games; under is 8-3 in their last eleven home games.
Cardinals @ Cubs Wacha is 0-1, 1.84 in his last two starts; seven of his last eight went over.
Arrieta is 2-1, 1.80 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
Cardinals lost five of last seven games; six of their last seven games stayed under total. Chicago is 11-4 in its last 15 home games but lost last two (under 10-2 in last 12).
Nationals @ Dodgers Ross is 3-0, 3.77 in his last three starts, last three of which went over.
Urias is 0-1, 1.88 in his last three starts, which all stayed under.
Washington lost its last four games; 10 of their last 13 road games went over the total. Dodgers won 13 of last 16 at home; under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
American League games
Mariners @ Tigers Iwakuma is 5-1, 4.39 in his last six starts (over 6-1 in last seven).
Fulmer is 5-1, 0.45 in his last six starts (over 7-3).
Mariners lost nine of last 11 road games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Tigers won seven of last eight home games; six of last nine Detroit games went over the total.
Rays @ Indians Archer is 1-5, 6.14 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. .
Bauer is 1-0, 1.99 in his last three starts; six of his last eight starts stayed under.
Rays lost their last six games; over is 17-4-1 in last 22 Tampa road games. Cleveland won its last ten home games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games
White Sox @ Red Sox Quintana is 0-6, 3.86 in his last seven starts; his last 13 starts stayed under.
Rodriguez is 1-2, 6.97 in four starts, three of which stayed under.
Boston is 4-8 in last 12 home games; seven of its last nine home games stayed under. Chicago lost 13 of last 18 road games; five of their last six road games stayed under.
Angels @ Astros Shoemaker is 1-2, 2.03 in his last six starts, five of which stayed under.
McCullers is 3-1, 3.34 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under. .
Angels lost seven of last nine road games; four of last five Angel games stayed under total. Houston won 11 of last 13 home games; under is 11-2 in Astros' last 13 games.
Interleague
Rockies @ Bronx Gray is 3-1, 3.24 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.
Sabathia is 4-2, 1.23 in his last seven starts; seven of his last eight starts went under. .
Rockies lost three of last four games; seven of their last nine road games stayed under. New York won three of last five games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine at home. .
Padres @ Orioles Johnson is 0-2, 8.44 in two starts for San Diego (over 1-1).
Jimenez is 1-4, 11.86 in his last six starts; his last seven starts went over.
Padres lost 10 of their last 13 road games; last six San Diego games went over the total. Baltimore won nine of last 12 home games; over is 9-5 in their last fourteen home games.
Diamondbacks @ Blue Jays Ray is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight.
Happ is 3-1, 3.66 in his last five starts; his last three starts went over.
Arizona won its last six road games; under is 8-1 in last nine Arizona road games. Toronto won nine of last 13 home games; seven of last ten Blue Jay games went over.
Royals @ Mets Duffy is 2-1, 3.09 in his last four starts (under 4-3).
Syndergaard is 5-0, 1.97 in his last seven starts; his last four starts went over.
Royals won eight of last ten games; under is 7-2-1 in last ten KC road games. Mets lost eight of last 12 games; six of last eight New York home games stayed under.
Reds @ Rangers Straily is 2-2, 4.88 in his last five starts; five of his last seven went over. .
Hamels is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four starts; six of his last eight starts went over.
Rangers are 23-7 in their last 30 games; four of last six Texas games stayed under total. Cincinnati lost four of last six games; over is 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
Phillies @ Twins Morgan is 0-6, 8.35 in his last seven starts (over 6-1).
Gibson is 0-5, 6.68 in six starts this season (under 4-2).
Phillies lost their last eight games; over is 10-3 in last 13 Philly road games. Minnesota lost five of last seven games; over is 15-3 in Twins' last 18 home games.
Brewers @ A's Guerra is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts (under 4-2-1 in his last seven). .
Mengden is 0-2, 3.00 in his first two MLB starts (under 2-0).
Milwaukee lost eight of last nine road games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games. Oakland lost 12 of last 16 games; under is 4-0-1 in A's last five games.
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
SF-Pitt-- Samardzija 9-5; Liriano 6-7 Atl-Mia-- Wisler 3-10; Conley 7-7 StL-Chi-- Wacha 6-8; Arrieta 12-2 Wsh-LA-- Ross 9-4; Urias 2-3
Sea-Det-- Iwakuma 8-6; Fulmer 8-2 Chi-Bos-- Quintana 6-8; Rodriguez 2-2 TB-Clev-- Archer 5-10; Bauer 5-5 LA-Hst-- Shoemaker 4-9; McCullers 4-3
Col-NYY-- Gray 5-6; Sabathia 6-5 SD-Balt-- Johnson 0-2/0-2; Jimenez 6-7 Az-Tor-- Ray 5-9; Happ 9-5 KC-NYM-- Duffy 5-2; Syndergaard 9-4 Cin-Tex-- Straily 6-6; Hamels 10-4 Phil-Minn-- Morgan 2-8; Gibson 1-5 Mil-A's-- Guerra 7-2; Mengden 0-2
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
SF-Pitt-- Samardzija 2-14; Liriano 4-13 Atl-Mia-- Wisler 7-13; Conley 5-14 StL-Chi-- Wacha 4-14; Arrieta 1-14 Wsh-LA-- Ross 3-13; Urias 1-5
Sea-Det-- Iwakuma 2-14; Fulmer 2-10 Chi-Bos-- Quintana 2-14; Rodriguez 1-4 TB-Clev-- Archer 7-15; Bauer 3-10 LA-Hst-- Shoemaker 3-13; McCullers 3-7
Col-NYY-- Gray 4-11; Sabathia 0-11 SD-Balt-- Johnson 2-4; Jimemez 5-13 Az-Tor-- Ray 2-14; Happ 4-14 KC-NYM-- Duffy 0-7; Syndergaard 9-4 Cin-Tex-- Straily 2-12; Hamels 3-14 Phil-Minn-- Morgan 4-10; Gibson 3-3 Mil-A's-- Guerra 2-9; Mengden 0-2
Umpires
Atl-Mia-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Cuzzi games. SF-Pitt-- Last three Reynolds games stayed under. StL-Chi-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Wolcott games. Wsh-LA-- Underdogs are 10-8 in last 18 Nelson games.
Chi-Bos-- Six of last seven Estabrook games stayed under. Sea-Det-- Eight of last ten Danley games went over total. TB-Clev-- Nine of last ten TBarrett games went over. LA-Hst-- Eight of last ten Cooper games stayed under.
Col-NYY-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Diaz games. KC-NYM-- Underdogs won last six Hirschbeck games. Mil-A's-- Last four Kellogg games stayed under total. Az-Tor-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Everitt games. SD-Balt-- Over is 29-13-1 in Meals games since LY. Cin-Tex-- Home side won seven of last nine Rackley games; two losses came in games of 13 and 17 innings. Phil-Min-- Three of last four Torres games stayed under.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:16:16 GMT -5
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | SAN DIEGO at BALTIMORE Play Against - Home teams (BALTIMORE) with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts 58-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 28.9 units ) 9-8 this year. ( 52.9% | 0.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | SAN DIEGO at BALTIMORE BALTIMORE is 22-7 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in Home games against right-handed starters this season. The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.5) , OPPONENT (3.9)
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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:16:32 GMT -5
Wednesday's six-pack
-- This is the first time a full moon happened on the first day of sunmer since 1967.
-- Texas Rangers are 16-4 in one-run games this season.
-- Since May 13, Mariners are 3-10 in games where winning run scores from the 7th inning on-- over is 12-2-1 in their last fifteen series openers.
-- Jay points out that the last time an SEC team didn't win a game in the College World Series was in 2007.
-- Cal-Hawai'i are opening college football season in Australia; Georgia Tech will be playing Boston College in Ireland.
-- Orioles played at home Sunday, flew to Texas for a makeup game Monday, then back to Baltimore for Tuesday night's game with San Diego.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 22, 2016 6:17:21 GMT -5
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, June 22, 2016, Opening Line Report by Alan Matthews
No major American sport seems to have more of a love affair with statistics. Just about every day, you hear some random stat that has never happened before in MLB. That was the case on Monday night when the Colorado Rockies won 5-3 in Miami. All eight runs in the game were from solo homers. That's an MLB record for most runs in a game via a solo dinger. The previous mark was five, completed seven times. I did not know that. It also tied an NL record for most solo homers in a game. But the MLB record is a whopping 10 set by the Tigers and White Sox on May 28, 1995. Finally, the eight homers were the most ever hit in a game at Marlins Park, which has been around since 2012. So there you go!
Braves at Marlins (-163, 8.5)
First pitch of the day at 12:10 p.m. ET. About the last thing the offensively-challenged Braves could afford was an injury to an every-day player, not that they really care about winning this season, but outfielder Mallex Smith is expected to miss at least six weeks with a broken thumb. He was hit by a pitch Sunday. Smith, one of the Braves' top position player prospects, is hitting .241 with three homers, 21 RBIs and 14 steals. Atlanta starts Matt Wisler (3-7, 4.23) on the mound for this game. He ended a four-start losing streak last Thursday against Cincinnati, allowing two runs in 6.2 innings. Wisler has thrown one scoreless inning this year against the Marlins. Christian Yelich is 3-for-4 career off him with a double and RBI. The Marlins counter with lefty Adam Conley (3-4, 3.94), who is looking for his first win since May 16. He took a no-decision in Atlanta on May 27, allowing two runs and eight hits in 4.1 innings.
Key trends: The Braves are 0-7 in Wisler's past seven starts on five days of rest. The Marlins are 4-1 in Conley's past five at home vs. teams with a losing record. The "over/under" is 8-3 in Wisler's past 11 on the road.
Early lean: Marlins and over.
Cardinals at Cubs (-270, TBA)
First pitch at 2:20 p.m. ET from Wrigley. Chicago has placed center fielder and leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler on the 15-day disabled list. He's dealing with a hamstring injury. Fowler is having a good year, hitting .290 with seven homers, 28 RBIs and a .398 on-base percentage. He also might be voted a starter for the All-Star Game. The Cardinals start Michael Wacha (2-7, 4.56). It seems like he's finally on the right track with back-to-back quality outings. Wacha gave up a run and six hits over 7.2 innings last time out vs. Texas but took the loss. He hasn't won since April 23. Wacha lost to the Cubs on May 24, allowing a season-high eight runs in just four innings. Anthony Rizzo is 11-for-25 career off Wacha with two homers. It's Cubs ace Jake Arrieta (11-1, 1.74). He improved to 11-0 with a 1.20 ERA in his past 13 starts vs. NL Central teams by throwing six shutout innings against the Pirates on Friday. Arrieta's worst start of the year was May 25 in St. Louis, allowing four runs in five innings. He still won. Matt Adams is 6-for-18 off him with four RBIs. Matt Holliday is only 1-for-18.
Key trends: The Cardinals are 1-7 in Wacha's past eight road starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Cubs are 4-0 in Arrieta's past four at home in the series. The under is 4-1 in his past five at home overall.
Early lean: Cubs and under regardless of number unless there's a major wind blowing out.
Giants at Pirates (+107, 8)
San Francisco had to put third baseman Matt Duffy on the DL Monday after an MRI showed an Achilles strain. So a day after he inherited the longest consecutive games played streak in the majors, Duffy passed that title along to someone else. Duffy is hitting .253 with 21 RBIs, not close to the level he played as a rookie in 2015. The Giants go with Jeff Samardzija (8-4, 3.14). He comes off one of his best starts as a Giant, throwing a complete game against Tampa Bay and giving up one run. The former Cub has a 2.25 ERA in 21 career games (10 starts) against Pittsburgh. Andrew McCutchen is a .406 hitter off him in 32 at-bats. It's lefty Francisco Liriano (4-7, 5.03) for the Bucs. He has lost four straight outings and allowed at least four runs in each of them. Liriano leads the majors with 46 walks. Buster Posey is 5-for-12 career off him. Brandon Crawford is 0-for-10.
Key trends: The Giants are 4-1 in Samardzija's past five vs. teams with a losing record. The Pirates are 0-4 in Liriano's past four against teams with a winning record. The over is 9-4-1 in his past 14 at home.
Early lean: Giants and over.
Rays at Indians (-124, 8)
Monday wasn't a good day for the Rays as outfielder Mikie Mahtook was hit by a pitch on his left hand and diagnosed with a fracture. First baseman/second baseman Steve Pearce, the team's leading hitter, might go to the DL with a hamstring injury suffered Monday. You hear talk the decimated Rays might bring Carl Crawford back to Tampa now that he's cleared waivers. The Rays start Chris Archer (4-9, 4.60) here. He has allowed three earned runs in each of his past three starts, going 1-2 in them. Archer lost at home to Cleveland on April 14, giving up three runs in 5.1 innings. Mike Napoli can't hit the guy, going 1-for-16 with 10 strikeouts. The Tribe go with Trevor Bauer (4-2, 3.46). He took a no-decision in his last start, allowing a run in seven innings vs. the White Sox. Bauer threw a scoreless inning of relief vs. Tampa on April 14.
Key trends: The Rays are 1-10 in Archer's past 11 on Wednesday. The Indians are 5-2 in Bauer's past seven on the day. The under is 8-2 in Bauer's past 10 on four days of rest.
Early lean: Indians and under.
Nationals at Dodgers (-128, 7.5)
ESPN game and will have live betting at sportsbooks. What a bummer that Stephen Strasburg was scratched from his scheduled mega-start against fellow Cy Young contender Clayton Kershaw on Monday. Strasburg (back) thinks he will be able to make his next scheduled outing, which would be Sunday. The Nats start Joe Ross (6-4, 3.13) in this one. He hasn't lost since May 21. Only a few Dodgers have seen him. Yasiel Puig, activated off the DL on Tuesday, is 2-for-3 with a homer and five RBIs off Ross. L.A. goes with lefty Julio Urias (0-2, 4.50), the franchise's top pitching prospect and by some accounts the best in MLB. His last start was his fifth career and his best, shutting out the Brewers on five hits over five innings. This could be his final start of the year in the majors as the team wants to limit his innings.
Key trends: The Nats are 6-2 in Ross' past eight on the road. The under is 5-1-1 in his past seven vs. teams with a winning record.
Early lean: Nationals and under.
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