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Post by Gooba on Jun 25, 2016 6:46:26 GMT -5
'Jays in tough spot'
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago White Sox June 25, 2:10 EST
The Chicago White Sox and Toronto Blue Jays get ready to duel again at U.S. Cellular Field after White Sox held on for a 3-2 victory last night. According to opening odds the White Sox are +$1.15 home underdogs with the total set at 9.5 runs.
White Sox count on Miguel Gonzalez to help the club notch consecutive victories over Toronto. In his last outing, Gonzalez earned a no-decision tossing 6 2/3 innings of one run ball in a White Sox extra inning victory over Boston. The righhander heads to the hill 1-2 with a 4.29 ERA in nine starts with Chicago 5-4 in those games.
Toronto sends R.A. Dickey to the bump looking to even the current series. The knuckle-baller off back-2-back losses carries 4-8 record, 4.08 ERA to the rubber along with a 4-11 team start record over his fifteen trips to the mound.
Toronto handing the ball to Dickey serves as an alarm, since the Blue Jays are 2-7 in Dickey's last 9 starts. Additionally, Dickey off a loss does not bode well for Toronto as the Blue Jays sport a 1-6 skid in his subsequent appearance on the mound. A couple of other telling baseball betting stats leap out against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in Dickey's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series, 0-4 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record, 1-4 when he tosses in daylight hours. Taking all those numbers into account, there is still one more fact playing against Toronto. Since Dickey arrived on the scene for the Blue Jays the knuckler is 0-4 in five starts vs White Sox with Jays 1-4 over the span.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 25, 2016 6:47:22 GMT -5
MLB
Saturday's games
National League games
Dodgers @ Pirates
Maeda is 3-1, 2.12 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Locke is 3-2, 6.03 in his last five starts; nine of his last ten went over.
Pirates lost 13 of last 16 games; over is 13-5 in their last 18 home games. Dodgers won eight of last ten games; under is 17-7 in Dodgers' last 24 games.
Padres @ Reds
Pomeramz is 1-2, 6.19 in his last three starts; eight of his last ten stayed under. .
Finnegan is 2-1, 2.96 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six.
Padres won five of last six games; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 road games. Cincinnati lost seven of last nine games; seven of its last nine games went over the total.
Cubs @ Marlins
Lackey is 3-1, 1.97 in his last seven starts; six of his last eight stayed under.
Clemens allowed three runs in five IP (98 PT) in his first '16 start.
Cubs lost four of last five games; seven of their last 11 games stayed under. Miami won seven of its last 11 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
Mets @ Braves
deGrom is 0-3, 2.81 in his last five starts, last four of which stayed under. .
Teheran is 2-1, 1.88 in his last three starts; seven of his last eight stayed under. .
Mets are 5-7 in their last 11 games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Braves won seven of their last nine games; six of last eight Atlanta home games went over total.
Nationals @ Brewers
Gonzalez is 0-5, 7.86 in his last six starts; five of his last seven went over.
Garza is 0-0, 0.90 in two starts this year (under 2-0). .
Nationals lost their last six games; three of last four Washington games stayed under the total. Milwaukee lost eight of its last ten games; five of last eight Milwaukee home games stayed under.
Diamondbacks @ Rockies
Miller is 1-3, 5.09 in his last four starts; five of his last six stayed under.
De la Rosa is 2-0, 2.45 in his last two starts (over 6-2).
Diamondbacks won seven of last eight games; nine of their last 12 road games stayed under the total. Colorado lost its last three games; its last four games went over.
Phillies @ Giants
Hellickson is 0-5, 4.97 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.
Bumgarner is 5-0, 1.07 in his last eight starts; six of his last seven stayed under.
Phillies are 3-12 in their last 15 road games; eight of their last ten road games went over. San Francisco won 12 of its last 13 games; three of its last four games went over.
American League games
Rays @ Orioles
Andriese is 5-0, 3.15 in seven starts this year (under 4-2-1). Odorizzi is 1-1, 4.37 in his last four starts (under 10-5).
Gausman is 0-4, 6.61 in his last six starts; six of his last seven stayed under. Tillman is 9-0, 2.76 in his last 11 starts (under 10-5).
Rays lost their last eight games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Baltimore is 11-3 in its last 14 home games; three of their last four games stayed under.
Twins @ Bronx
Santana is 1-5, 6.88 in his last six starts, five of which went over.
Pineda is 1-2, 5.20 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.
Twins won three of last five games; over is 15-3 in last 18 Minnesota games. New York lost three of last fiver home games; five of their last six games went over.
Indians @ Tigers
Carrasco is 0-2, 3.96 in his last four starts; five of his last seven stayed under.
Sanchez is 0-4, 7.91 in his last six starts; seven of his last eight went over.
Indians won their last seven games; under is 6-4 in last ten Cleveland games. Detroit won nine of last 11 home games; four of last six Tiger games stayed under the total.
Red Sox @ Rangers
Wright is 5-0, 2.62 in his last six starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six road starts.
Griffin is 3-0, 3.21 in six starts this year (over 4-2).
Red Sox are 5-7 in last 12 games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Rangers are 26-9 in its last 35 home games; five of last seven Texas home games stayed under total.
Blue Jays @ White Sox
Dickey is 0-2, 4.38 in his last two starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six.
Gonzalez is 1-2, 4.05 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under.
Blue Jays lost four of last five games; over is 6-4-1 in their last 11 road games. Chicago won four of last five games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games.
Astros @ Royals
Fiers is 2-0, 2.63 in his last four starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
Young is 0-3, 5.93 in his last six starts; five of his last seven stayed under.
Astros won eight of last nine games; under is 12-3 in last 15 Houston games. Kansas City is 16-4 in its last 20 home games; over is 10-3-1 in Royals' last 14 home games.
A's @ Angels
Overton is makimg MLB debut; he is 8-4, 3.01 in 13 AAA starts this year.
Chacin is 1-2, 9.35 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1).
Angels are 5-13 in their last 18 games; seven of their last eight home games went over. Oakland won three of last four games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.
Interleague
Cardinals @ Mariners
Leake is 2-1, 4.45 in his last five starts, last four of which went over. .
Karns is 0-1, 7.36 in his last four starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.
Cardinals won eight of last nine road games; seven of last nine St Louis games stayed under. Seattle lost six of last seven games; six of last seven Mariner games stayed under the total. .
Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
LA-Pitt-- Maeda 8-6; Locke 6-8
SD-Cin-- Pomeranz 6-8; Finnegan 4-11
Chi-Mia-- Lackey 9-5; Clemens 0-1
NY-Atl-- deGrom 5-7 (0-4 last 4); Teheran 4-11
Wsh-Mil-- Gonzalez 5-9 (0-6 last 6); Garza 0-2
Az-Col-- Miller 4-7; De la Rosa 4-4
Phil-SF-- Hellickson 6-9 (0-6 last 6); Bumgarner 11-4
TB-Balt-- Andriese 5-2 Odorizzi 8-7; Gausman 4-8 Tillman 13-2
Min-NY-- Santana 2-11; Pineda 6-8
Clev-Det-- Carrasco 6-2; Sanchez 3-8
Bos-Tex-- Wright 8-6 (5-1 last 6); Griffin 5-1
Tor-Chi-- Dickey 4-11; Gonzalez 5-4
Hst-KC-- Fiers 7-6; Young 4-6
A's-LA-- Overton 0-0; Chacin 4-4/2-3
StL-Sea-- Leake 7-7; Karns 8-6 (0-4 last 4)
Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
LA-Pitt-- Maeda 3-14 (3 of last 4); Locke 4-14
SD-Cin-- Pomeranz 4-14 (3 of last 3); Finnegan 3-15
Chi-Mia-- Lackey 3-14; Clemens 0-1
NY-Atl-- deGrom 2-12; Teheran 3-15
Wsh-Mil-- Gonzalez 2-14; Garza 0-2
Az-Col-- Miller 3-11; De la Rosa 3-8
Phil-SF-- Hellickson 6-15; Bumgarner 2-15
TB-Balt-- Andriese 2-7 Odorizzi 2-15; Gausman 4-12 Tillman 3-15
Min-NY-- Santana 5-13; Pineda 6-14
Clev-Det-- Carrasco 2-8; Sanchez 4-11
Bos-Tex-- Wright 5-14; Griffin 1-6
Tor-Chi-- Dickey 6-15; Gonzalez 5-9
Hst-KC-- Fiers 3-13; Young 5-10
A's-LA-- Overton 0-0; Chacin 4-13
StL-Sea-- Leake 4-14; Karns 4-14
Umpires
LA-Pitt-- Five of last six Kulpa games went over the total.
SD-Cin-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Hallion games.
Chi-Mia-- Over is 9-2-2 in BWelke games this season.
NY-Atl-- Four of last five Blakney games stayed under.
Wsh-Mil-- Underdogs won four of last six Gibson games.
Az-Col-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Porter games.
Phil-SF-- Five of last seven Blaser games stayed under.
TB-Balt-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Fairchild games.
Min-NY-- Underdogs won four of last five Guccione games.
Clev-Det-- Home side won ten of last twelve Culbreth games.
Bos-Tex-- Over is 8-4 in Johnson games this season.
Tor-Chi-- Eight of last ten Hernandez games went over.
Hst-KC-- Under is 11-3 in Ripperger games this season.
A's-LA-- Last six Dimuro games went over the total.
StL-Sea-- Six of last nine Davis games went over the total.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 25, 2016 6:47:55 GMT -5
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday, June 25, 2016, Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews
Entering the weekend, the Texas Rangers have a 10-game lead in the AL West Division and are -700 to repeat. But I'd now be a bit concerned about that wager. For one, 60 percent of the Rangers' rotation is on the DL in Yu Darvish, Colby Lewis and Derek Holland. While Darvish is expected back soon, you still never know how a guy will respond to Tommy John surgery, and he lasted only three starts off that. Lewis and Holland landed on the DL this week, with Lewis expected to miss two months due to a strained lat muscle in his pitching shoulder. He was 6-1 with a 3.21 ERA and ranks among the AL leaders in starts and innings. Holland has shoulder inflammation, and that could be longer than a 15-day DL stint. He was 5-5 with a 5.20 ERA. So now the Rangers have Cole Hamels, Martin Perez and injury-plagued A.J. Griffin, who will be activated off the DL for Saturday's game vs. Boston. They have to patch together two other starters. The other reason that Rangers backers might be nervous: the Astros are starting to play up to expectations. This race isn't over.
Twins at Yankees (-193, 9)
First pitch of 1:05 p.m. and on the MLB Network, so live betting should be available. New York expects to activate first baseman Mark Teixeira off the disabled list for this one. He has been on the disabled list since June 4 with a knee injury. Tex is hitting just .180 with three homers in 167 at-bats. In an ideal world, the Yankees probably trade him by the deadline for a prospect, but no one will touch him until he proves healthy and that he can still hit. The Yankees have been using a platoon of Ike Davis and Rob Refsnyder at first base of late. New York starts Michael Pineda (3-7, 5.82) on the mound. After nearly being sent to the bullpen, Pineda has been better over his past four starts, not allowing more than three earned in any. He pitched at Minnesota last Saturday and took a no-decision in allowing three earned and striking out nine in 5.1 innings. Minnesota's Ervin Santana (2-7, 4.83) faced the Yankees on Sunday and allowed two earned over 7.1 innings in a win. Alex Rodriguez is a career .310 hitter off him with four homers in 42 at-bats. Teixeira is 6-for-38 off him with eight strikeouts.
Key trends: The Twins are 2-12 in Santana's past 14 starts. The Yankees are 4-1 in Pineda's past five vs. teams with a losing record. The "over/under" is 4-0 in Santana's past four. The over is 3-1-1 in Pineda's past five at home vs. teams with a losing record.
Early lean: Yankees and over.
Padres at Reds (-117, 9)
This 4:10 p.m. ET game is nationally televised on Fox Sports 1 and should have live betting at sportsbooks. Fox Sports 1 must be pretty desperate since these are two last-place teams. Probably will be plenty of scouts on hand to watch Padres lefty Drew Pomeranz (6-7, 3.00). I know the Orioles are among the teams looking at him. Pomeranz beat the Nationals last time out, allowing three runs (all solo homers) in six innings. He has a 2.61 ERA in two career starts vs. the Reds. Jay Bruce is 0-for-4 against him. The Reds start lefty Brandon Finnegan (3-5, 3.81). He lost in Houston on Sunday, giving up four runs over five innings. That ended a string of three straight quality starts. Finnegan has never faced the Padres.
Key trends: The Padres are 1-5 in Pomeranz's past six on the road. The Reds are 2-10 in Finnegan's past 12. The under is 8-2 in Pomeranz's past 10. The under is 4-0-2 in Finnegan's past six.
Early lean: Reds and under.
Diamondbacks at Rockies (-138, 12)
Perhaps Arizona can go on a wild-card push in the second half of the season if Shelby Miller has finally fixed himself. Miller (2-6, 6.36), acquired from Atlanta this offseason, was maybe the worst pitcher in the National League before he was placed on the disabled list following a May 24 start in Pittsburgh. The Diamondbacks said he had a finger injury, but I'm pretty sure he was just put on the DL for mental reasons. It might have worked as Miller returned on Monday and had his best start of the year, allowing one run and five hits over 6.2 innings in a victory. Miller is 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA in two starts vs. the Rockies in 2016. DJ LeMahieu is 6-for-13 off him with a homer and three RBIs. Nolan Arenado is 2-for-14. Colorado counters with lefty Jorge De La Rosa (4-4, 7.17). He was demoted to the bullpen but has been much better in two starts since coming back to the rotation, allowing three runs and eight hits over 11 innings in back-to-back wins. His season debut was in Arizona, and De La Rosa took a no-decision, allowing five runs in 4.2 innings. Yasmany Tomas is 3-for-7 off him with a homer and four RBIs.
Key trends: The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Miller's past five on four days of rest. The Rockies are 8-3 in De La Rosa's past 11 vs. the NL West. The over is 4-0 in his past four at home.
Early lean: Rockies and over (not sure I've seen a 12 yet this year).
Astros at Royals (+111, 8.5)
Kansas City is expected to activate All-Star left fielder Alex Gordon from the DL for this game. He has been out since May 22 with a broken bone in his hand. Gordon was batting .211 with a .319 on-base percentage and four homers in 42 games with the Royals before his injury. Gordon will face Houston righty Mike Fiers (5-3, 4.42). In four starts since June 1, he's 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Fiers had to leave his last start Sunday vs. Cincinnati after taking a comebacker in the leg but apparently is fine. Gordon is 2-for-4 career off him with an RBI. Lorenzo Cain is 2-for-5 with a homer and four RBIs. The Royals throw 6-foot-10 Chris Young (2-6, 5.61). He comes off a strong outing, allowing one run and three hits over six innings in a no-decision vs. Detroit. Young was bombed in Houston on April 11, allowing six runs and nine hits in 4.2 innings. Jose Altuve is 3-for-12 off him with two RBIs. Carlos Correa is 2-for-3 with a double.
Key trends: The Astros are 1-5 in Fiers' past six on the road. The Royals are 4-0 in Young's past four at home. The under is 5-2 in Young's past seven.
Early lean: Royals and under.
Phillies at Giants (-300, 6.5)
The Giants could activate top set-up man Sergio Romo from the DL this weekend. He has been on the disabled list since April 15 after being diagnosed with a strained flexor tendon. The former closer had a 2.70 ERA in four appearances. Last year, he made 70 appearances with a 2.98 ERA. San Francisco might not need any relievers in this one with ace lefty Madison Bumgarner (8-3, 1.85) on the mound. The Giants had won 10 straight of his starts before Bumgarner was a tough-luck loser Monday in Pittsburgh, allowing one run and five hits over eight innings. He was 2-0 with a 4.61 ERA last year vs. the Phillies. They go with trade candidate Jeremy Hellickson (4-6, 4.41). Philadelphia has lost his past six, but Hellickson pitched pretty well in four of those. Last time out he gave up three runs in seven innings vs. Arizona. That terrible Phillies offense isn't scoring at all for him. The Giants' Brandon Crawford is 4-for-7 career against him. Buster Posey is 0-for-7.
Key trends: The Phillies have lost four straight vs. lefties. The Giants are 6-0 in Bumgarner's past six at home. The under is 4-1 in his past five vs. teams with a losing record.
Early lean: Giants on runline and under.
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Post by Gooba on Jun 25, 2016 6:48:24 GMT -5
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at MIAMI
Play On - Home teams (MIAMI) excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
382-248 since 1997. ( 60.6% | 113.3 units )
23-22 this year. ( 51.1% | 1.3 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | HOUSTON at KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 71-32 (+30.4 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.7)
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Post by Gooba on Jun 25, 2016 6:49:09 GMT -5
Saturday's six-pack
-- NHL does its draft the best of any league; all the teams' executives are under one roof. Imagine if the NFL did that?
-- Houston 13, Kansas City 4-- Houston led 12-0.......in the second inning.
-- Boston 8, Texas 7-- Red Sox scored four runs in the top of the ninth.
-- Johnny Manziel's life story is going to be a very depressing movie someday.
-- Five players from St Louis were taken in first round of the NHL Draft. Wow.
-- Guy proposed to his girlfriend on the scoreboard at the Marlins' game last night; that takes some onions. What if she says no?
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