Post by Gooba on Oct 20, 2023 9:27:09 GMT -5
Saturday’s College Football Games
Penn State @ Ohio State
Penn State (6-0)
— Penn State is 2-0 on road: 30-13 @ Illinois, 41-13 @ NW’ern.
— Nittany Lions were favored by 14+ points in all six games.
— since 2019, Penn State is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +27 in turnovers (+10 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 64.6% of passes, with 9 TD’s, no INTs.
— in his career, Franklin is 12-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, PSU is 15-6-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.
Ohio State (6-0)
— Ohio State is 2-0 at home vs I-A foes, winning 63-10/37-17.
— Buckeyes are 16-11 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Last 10+ years, Buckeyes are 122-15 SU/71-63-2 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord has completed 64.1% of his passes, with 11 TD’s, one INT.
— Buckeyes are 23-18 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Ohio State is 21-15-1 ATS in last 37 conference games.
— Under is 4-1 in Ohio State’s I-A games.
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.
— Ohio State won six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Penn State covered its last three visits to Columbus.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— Big 14 home favorites are 6-7 ATS.
Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Mississippi State (3-3)
— Miss State lost first three SEC games, giving up 41-37-40 points.
— Bulldogs lost only road game, 37-30 at South Carolina.
— Miss State scored 31-41 points in its I-A wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 14-23 ATS in last 37 SEC games.
— last four Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Arkansas (2-5)
— Hogs lost last five games, four of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 236.7 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 16 sacks the last three games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-10-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 577-178.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
— Miss State won eight of last 11 series games.
— Bulldogs covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 12-4 in last sixteen meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS.
Memphis @ UAB
Memphis (4-2)
— Tigers lost two of last three games, giving up 34-32-31 points.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (0-2 score less than 28)
— Last four games, Memphis allowed 432-542-519-403 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis won its only road game, 37-3 (-21) at Arkansas State.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tigers are 9-17 ATS in last 26 AAC games.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
Alabama-Birmingham (2-5)
— Blazers lost five of their six I-A games, giving up 41.7 ppg.
— Blazers’ one win was 56-35 over USF; they ran for 253 yards.
— UAB has allowed 472.7 yards/game against I-A teams.
— 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 11 starts back on offensive line- not much experience.
— junior QB had 2 career starts before this year
— since 2019, UAB is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— this season, Blazers are 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.
— Blazers split two bowls the last two seasons.
— Trent Dilfer is in his first year as a college head coach.
— Teams haven’t met since 2012.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-4 ATS.
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest
Pittsburgh (2-4)
— Pitt lost four of its five I-A games (beat Louisville, 38-21)
— Last two weeks, Panthers gave up 427-444 TY.
— Pitt lost its two road games (17-6 @ WV, 38-21 @ Va Tech)
— Panthers gained less than 290 total yards in four of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back.
— senior QB Jurkovec started 24 games at Boston College
— since 2018, Panthers are 6-7 ATS as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.
Wake Forest (3-3)
— 4-year starting QB Hartman bolted to Notre Dame (45 starts).
— Wake Forest was 19-8 SU the last 2 years; why would he leave?
— Deacons are 0-3 in ACC, scoring 16-12-13 points.
— Wake Forest scored 36-27 points in its I-A wins.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 58.6% of passes (9 TD’s, 7 INT’s).
— since 2017, Deacons are 18-10 ATS as home favorite (1-1 TY).
— last 3+ years, Wake is 14-10 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, Clawson is 31-22 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wake won bowl games the last two years, 38-10/27-17.
— Pitt won both ACC meetings, 45-21/34-13.
— ACC home favorites are 6-6 ATS.
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Oklahoma State (4-2)
— OSU allowed 32+ points in three of its last four games.
— Okla State is 2-1 in Big X games (average total, 60.7).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— since 2018, Cowboys are 8-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 Big X games.
— Under is 3-2 in their five I-A games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
West Virginia (4-2)
— WVU gave up 38-41 points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
— WVU is 2-1 in Big X, losing 41-39 at Houston LW.
— WVU outgained Cougars 546-393 LW, lost on 49-yard Hail Mary at gun.
— Three of WVU’s last four games stayed under the total.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— since 2020, WVU is 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Brown, WVU is 17-21 ATS in the Big X (2-1 TY).
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games
— Oklahoma State won seven of last eight series games.
— Cowboys won/covered last four visits to Morgantown.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Wisconsin @ Illinois
Wisconsin (4-2)
— QB Mordecai is OFY; freshman QB Locke is transfer from Miss State.
— This will be Locke’s first college start.
— Wisconsin scored 24+ points in its wins, 22-6 in losses.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 97 starts back on offensive line.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— last 10+ years, Badgers are 24-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— last three years, Badgers were 12-15 ATS in the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s 7-6 record LY was their worst since 2008.
— Wisconsin won/covered its last three bowls.
Illinois (3-4)
— Illini scored 30-23-27 points in its wins, 15.5 ppg in losses.
— Illinois allowed 30+ points in three of its four losses.
— Illini is 1-6 against spread this season.
— Last year was Illinois’ first winning season since 2011.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— new QB started one game at Ole Miss.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 3-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Bielema is 14-13 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 13-10 ATS in conference games.
— Illinois is 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of the 5 games.
— Wisconsin is 14-3 in last 17 series games, 2-2 in last four.
— Badgers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Illinois
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played at Illinois.
Washington State @ Oregon
Washington State (4-2)
— Wazzu lost last two games: 25-17 at UCLA, 44-6 to Arizona.
— In those games, Coogs were outgained, 986-450.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— since 2019, Wazzu is 6-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 14 TD’s, 3 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-6-1 ATS in last 20 conference games.
— Last four games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
Oregon (5-1)
— Oregon got its first loss LW, 36-33 at Washington.
— Ducks scored 44.3 ppg in their I-A wins.
— Ducks’ I-A home wins: 55-10 over Hawai’i, 42-6 over Colorado.
— Last four games, Oregon ran ball for 215.5 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 50-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in Oregon’s four games vs I-A teams.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.
— Oregon won last four series games, scoring 40.5 ppg.
— Coogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Eugene.
— Over is 14-5 in last nineteen meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 8-4 ATS.
Tennessee @ Alabama
Tennessee (5-1)
— Tennessee lost its only true road game, 29-16 at Florida.
— Vols’ I-A wins are by 36-31-21-7 points.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols are 16-3 SU in last 19 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— since 2020, Tennessee is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Heupel, Tennessee is 10-9 ATS in SEC games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
Alabama (6-1)
— Alabama allowed 7-3-10-17-21 points in its wins.
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite
— Bama completed only 10-21 passes in LW’s 24-21 win over Arkansas.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 10-11-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Vols upset Alabama 52-49 LY, first win over Bama since 2006.
— Tennessee is 3-5 ATS in its last eight visits to Alabama.
— Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.
South Carolina @ Missouri
South Carolina (2-4)
— South Carolina is 1-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 34.4 ppg.
— Gamecocks beat Miss State 37-30 for its one I-A win.
— Carolina allowed 477 yards/game in its five I-A tilts.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 9-11 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
— Coach Beamer broke his foot kicking something after LW’s 41-39 loss.
Missouri (6-1)
— Mizzou is 5-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 27.3 ppg.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in five of six I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 12-9 ATS as a favorite.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14 ATS in SEC games.
— Last five Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
— Missouri won/covered last four series games.
— Gamecocks are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Columbia.
— Under is 9-2 in last eleven meetings.
TCU @ Kansas State
TCU (4-3)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-2 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-3 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU has gained 396+ TY in all of its games this year.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— under Dykes, Frogs are 8-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
Kansas State (4-2)
— K-State won its I-A home games, 42-13 (-15), 44-31 (-6.5).
— Its in three Big X games, K-State ran for 281-220-272 yards.
— Wildcats are 3-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 12-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 16-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 26-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-13 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— K-State beat TCU 31-28 in OT, in Big X title game LY.
— K-State won/covered four of last five series games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Ole Miss @ Auburn
Ole Miss (5-1)
— Ole Miss scored 37-48-55-27 points in its I-A wins.
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Ole Miss are 1-1 on road (37-20 @ Tulane/24-10 @ Alabama)
— Rebels are +6 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in last six years as a road favorite.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 11-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 12-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Auburn (3-3)
— Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 27-27-48 points.
— In those three losses, Auburn was 35-70/297 passing, combined.
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-22 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 26-12 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, Auburn is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
— Auburn won six of last seven series games.
— Ole Miss covered three of last four visits to Auburn.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Clemson @ Miami
Clemson (4-2)
— Tigers gave up 28-31 points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Last 10+ years, Clemson is 125-20 SU.
— Clemson is 4-0 if they allow less than 300 TY (374-311 in losses)
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 31-15-1 ATS in ACC games (1-3 TY).
— Tigers are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Clemson’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
Miami FL (4-2)
— Miami lost last two games, 23-20/41-31, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes scored 38+ points in all of their wins.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 16-14 SU, 11-18 ATS.
— Miami has gained 451+ TY in all five I-A games this year.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2013, Miami is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 10-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 1-9 ATS in ACC games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.
— Clemson won last four series games, by a combined 170-30
— Tigers won/covered their last three visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series meetings.
Utah @ USC
Utah (5-1)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first six games (check status)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— Utes are 1-1 on road: W20-13 at Baylor, L7-21 at Oregon State.
— Utah was held under 275 TY in three of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 39-14 SU.
— last 2+ years, Utah was 2-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 43-23 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in their I-A games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
USC (6-1)
— USC was minus-5 in turnovers LW, got waxed 48-20 at Notre Dame.
— Trojans won their first six games, scoring 51.8 ppg (2-4 ATS).
— USC was favored by 20+ points in their first six games.
— Trojans are 2-2 ATS at home TY.
— Last three games, USC gave up 41-41-48 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, is favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— In his career, Riley is 25-17 ATS as a road underdog, 7-4 at USC.
— under Riley, Trojans are 6-8 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Utah won last three series games, scoring 43-47-42 points.
— Utes (+2.5) beat USC 47-24 in Pac-12 title game LY.
— Utah is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to the LA Coliseum.
— Over is 7-1-1 in last nine meetings.
Penn State @ Ohio State
Penn State (6-0)
— Penn State is 2-0 on road: 30-13 @ Illinois, 41-13 @ NW’ern.
— Nittany Lions were favored by 14+ points in all six games.
— since 2019, Penn State is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +27 in turnovers (+10 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 64.6% of passes, with 9 TD’s, no INTs.
— in his career, Franklin is 12-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last two years, PSU is 15-6-1 ATS in conference games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.
Ohio State (6-0)
— Ohio State is 2-0 at home vs I-A foes, winning 63-10/37-17.
— Buckeyes are 16-11 ATS in last 27 games as a home favorite.
— Last 10+ years, Buckeyes are 122-15 SU/71-63-2 ATS.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line; had 3 starters drafted last spring.
— junior QB McCord has completed 64.1% of his passes, with 11 TD’s, one INT.
— Buckeyes are 23-18 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Ohio State is 21-15-1 ATS in last 37 conference games.
— Under is 4-1 in Ohio State’s I-A games.
— Ohio State split last six bowls, giving up 52-45-42 points in last three.
— Ohio State won six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Penn State covered its last three visits to Columbus.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— Big 14 home favorites are 6-7 ATS.
Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Mississippi State (3-3)
— Miss State lost first three SEC games, giving up 41-37-40 points.
— Bulldogs lost only road game, 37-30 at South Carolina.
— Miss State scored 31-41 points in its I-A wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— Bulldogs are 14-23 ATS in last 37 SEC games.
— last four Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
Arkansas (2-5)
— Hogs lost last five games, four of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 236.7 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 16 sacks the last three games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-10-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 577-178.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
— Miss State won eight of last 11 series games.
— Bulldogs covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 12-4 in last sixteen meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 9-6 ATS.
Memphis @ UAB
Memphis (4-2)
— Tigers lost two of last three games, giving up 34-32-31 points.
— Tigers scored 28+ points in wins (0-2 score less than 28)
— Last four games, Memphis allowed 432-542-519-403 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line- 3 starters are back.
— junior QB has 24 career starts
— Memphis won its only road game, 37-3 (-21) at Arkansas State.
— under Silverfield, Memphis is 2-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Tigers are 9-17 ATS in last 26 AAC games.
— Tigers have been bowl eligible nine years in row (’21 bowl cancelled)
Alabama-Birmingham (2-5)
— Blazers lost five of their six I-A games, giving up 41.7 ppg.
— Blazers’ one win was 56-35 over USF; they ran for 253 yards.
— UAB has allowed 472.7 yards/game against I-A teams.
— 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 11 starts back on offensive line- not much experience.
— junior QB had 2 career starts before this year
— since 2019, UAB is 1-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— this season, Blazers are 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in their I-A games.
— Blazers split two bowls the last two seasons.
— Trent Dilfer is in his first year as a college head coach.
— Teams haven’t met since 2012.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— AAC home underdogs are 2-4 ATS.
Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest
Pittsburgh (2-4)
— Pitt lost four of its five I-A games (beat Louisville, 38-21)
— Last two weeks, Panthers gave up 427-444 TY.
— Pitt lost its two road games (17-6 @ WV, 38-21 @ Va Tech)
— Panthers gained less than 290 total yards in four of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; 3 starters are back.
— senior QB Jurkovec started 24 games at Boston College
— since 2018, Panthers are 6-7 ATS as a road underdog (0-1 TY).
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Pitt split its last four bowls; 3 of the 4 were decided by 4 or less points.
Wake Forest (3-3)
— 4-year starting QB Hartman bolted to Notre Dame (45 starts).
— Wake Forest was 19-8 SU the last 2 years; why would he leave?
— Deacons are 0-3 in ACC, scoring 16-12-13 points.
— Wake Forest scored 36-27 points in its I-A wins.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 58.6% of passes (9 TD’s, 7 INT’s).
— since 2017, Deacons are 18-10 ATS as home favorite (1-1 TY).
— last 3+ years, Wake is 14-10 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, Clawson is 31-22 ATS as a home favorite.
— Wake won bowl games the last two years, 38-10/27-17.
— Pitt won both ACC meetings, 45-21/34-13.
— ACC home favorites are 6-6 ATS.
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia
Oklahoma State (4-2)
— OSU allowed 32+ points in three of its last four games.
— Okla State is 2-1 in Big X games (average total, 60.7).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +6 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— since 2018, Cowboys are 8-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— OSU is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 Big X games.
— Under is 3-2 in their five I-A games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
West Virginia (4-2)
— WVU gave up 38-41 points in losses, 21 or less in wins.
— WVU is 2-1 in Big X, losing 41-39 at Houston LW.
— WVU outgained Cougars 546-393 LW, lost on 49-yard Hail Mary at gun.
— Three of WVU’s last four games stayed under the total.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— since 2020, WVU is 8-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Under Brown, WVU is 17-21 ATS in the Big X (2-1 TY).
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games
— Oklahoma State won seven of last eight series games.
— Cowboys won/covered last four visits to Morgantown.
— Under is 8-2 in last ten meetings.
Wisconsin @ Illinois
Wisconsin (4-2)
— QB Mordecai is OFY; freshman QB Locke is transfer from Miss State.
— This will be Locke’s first college start.
— Wisconsin scored 24+ points in its wins, 22-6 in losses.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 97 starts back on offensive line.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— last 10+ years, Badgers are 24-13 ATS as a road favorite.
— last three years, Badgers were 12-15 ATS in the Big 14.
— Wisconsin’s 7-6 record LY was their worst since 2008.
— Wisconsin won/covered its last three bowls.
Illinois (3-4)
— Illini scored 30-23-27 points in its wins, 15.5 ppg in losses.
— Illinois allowed 30+ points in three of its four losses.
— Illini is 1-6 against spread this season.
— Last year was Illinois’ first winning season since 2011.
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— new QB started one game at Ole Miss.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 3-3 ATS as a home underdog.
— in his career, Bielema is 14-13 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Bielema, Illinois is 13-10 ATS in conference games.
— Illinois is 3-2 in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of the 5 games.
— Wisconsin is 14-3 in last 17 series games, 2-2 in last four.
— Badgers are 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Illinois
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games played at Illinois.
Washington State @ Oregon
Washington State (4-2)
— Wazzu lost last two games: 25-17 at UCLA, 44-6 to Arizona.
— In those games, Coogs were outgained, 986-450.
— Coogs scored 50-31-38 points in their I-A wins.
— since 2019, Wazzu is 6-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB started 13 games LY; he’s thrown 14 TD’s, 3 INTs TY.
— Wazzu is 14-6-1 ATS in last 20 conference games.
— Last four games, Coogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
— Wazzu went bowling five of last six years (1-4 SU/0-5 ATS)
Oregon (5-1)
— Oregon got its first loss LW, 36-33 at Washington.
— Ducks scored 44.3 ppg in their I-A wins.
— Ducks’ I-A home wins: 55-10 over Hawai’i, 42-6 over Colorado.
— Last four games, Oregon ran ball for 215.5 yards/game.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 96 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB Nix QB has 47 career starts, 34 of them at Auburn.
— Last 5+ years, Ducks are 50-17 SU.
— under Lanning, Ducks are 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Lanning, Oregon is 8-3-1 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in Oregon’s four games vs I-A teams.
— Ducks are 3-2 in last five bowl games; all three wins were by one point.
— Oregon won last four series games, scoring 40.5 ppg.
— Coogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to Eugene.
— Over is 14-5 in last nineteen meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 8-4 ATS.
Tennessee @ Alabama
Tennessee (5-1)
— Tennessee lost its only true road game, 29-16 at Florida.
— Vols’ I-A wins are by 36-31-21-7 points.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols are 16-3 SU in last 19 games (27-33 from 2017-21)
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— since 2020, Tennessee is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Under Heupel, Tennessee is 10-9 ATS in SEC games.
— Three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
Alabama (6-1)
— Alabama allowed 7-3-10-17-21 points in its wins.
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite
— Bama completed only 10-21 passes in LW’s 24-21 win over Arkansas.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 10-11-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Vols upset Alabama 52-49 LY, first win over Bama since 2006.
— Tennessee is 3-5 ATS in its last eight visits to Alabama.
— Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.
South Carolina @ Missouri
South Carolina (2-4)
— South Carolina is 1-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 34.4 ppg.
— Gamecocks beat Miss State 37-30 for its one I-A win.
— Carolina allowed 477 yards/game in its five I-A tilts.
— 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they added two I-AA transfers, too.
— Junior QB has 30 starts, 13 of them at Oklahoma.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 9-11 ATS in the SEC.
— Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 4-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— SC’s new offensive coordinator has been an OC in the NFL.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five bowls.
— Coach Beamer broke his foot kicking something after LW’s 41-39 loss.
Missouri (6-1)
— Mizzou is 5-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 27.3 ppg.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in five of six I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 12-9 ATS as a favorite.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14 ATS in SEC games.
— Last five Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
— Missouri won/covered last four series games.
— Gamecocks are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Columbia.
— Under is 9-2 in last eleven meetings.
TCU @ Kansas State
TCU (4-3)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-2 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-3 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU has gained 396+ TY in all of its games this year.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
— under Dykes, Frogs are 8-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
Kansas State (4-2)
— K-State won its I-A home games, 42-13 (-15), 44-31 (-6.5).
— Its in three Big X games, K-State ran for 281-220-272 yards.
— Wildcats are 3-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 12-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 16-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 26-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-13 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— K-State beat TCU 31-28 in OT, in Big X title game LY.
— K-State won/covered four of last five series games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Ole Miss @ Auburn
Ole Miss (5-1)
— Ole Miss scored 37-48-55-27 points in its I-A wins.
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Ole Miss are 1-1 on road (37-20 @ Tulane/24-10 @ Alabama)
— Rebels are +6 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS in last six years as a road favorite.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 11-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 12-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Auburn (3-3)
— Auburn lost its last three games, giving up 27-27-48 points.
— In those three losses, Auburn was 35-70/297 passing, combined.
— Tigers beat UMass 59-14/Cal Bears 14-10 for their I-A wins.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 20-22 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 26-12 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, Auburn is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Freeze is 10-4 ATS as a home dog.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
— Auburn won six of last seven series games.
— Ole Miss covered three of last four visits to Auburn.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Clemson @ Miami
Clemson (4-2)
— Tigers gave up 28-31 points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Last 10+ years, Clemson is 125-20 SU.
— Clemson is 4-0 if they allow less than 300 TY (374-311 in losses)
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— Tigers are 14-9-2 ATS in last 25 games as a road favorite.
— last 5+ years, Clemson is 31-15-1 ATS in ACC games (1-3 TY).
— Tigers are 9-14 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Clemson’s last three games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
Miami FL (4-2)
— Miami lost last two games, 23-20/41-31, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes scored 38+ points in all of their wins.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 16-14 SU, 11-18 ATS.
— Miami has gained 451+ TY in all five I-A games this year.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2013, Miami is 5-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 10-10 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 1-9 ATS in ACC games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.
— Clemson won last four series games, by a combined 170-30
— Tigers won/covered their last three visits to Miami.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series meetings.
Utah @ USC
Utah (5-1)
— Utah QB Rising (knee) missed first six games (check status)
— Utes played two QBs so far; one is more of a runner.
— Utes are 1-1 on road: W20-13 at Baylor, L7-21 at Oregon State.
— Utah was held under 275 TY in three of five I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— senior QB (Rising) has started 24 games, none this year.
— last 4+ years, Utes are 39-14 SU.
— last 2+ years, Utah was 2-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— Since 2016, Utah is 43-23 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Under is 4-1 in their I-A games.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
USC (6-1)
— USC was minus-5 in turnovers LW, got waxed 48-20 at Notre Dame.
— Trojans won their first six games, scoring 51.8 ppg (2-4 ATS).
— USC was favored by 20+ points in their first six games.
— Trojans are 2-2 ATS at home TY.
— Last three games, USC gave up 41-41-48 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, is favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— In his career, Riley is 25-17 ATS as a road underdog, 7-4 at USC.
— under Riley, Trojans are 6-8 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Utah won last three series games, scoring 43-47-42 points.
— Utes (+2.5) beat USC 47-24 in Pac-12 title game LY.
— Utah is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to the LA Coliseum.
— Over is 7-1-1 in last nine meetings.