|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 1, 2023 19:34:46 GMT -5
NFL Thursday’s game
Titans (3-4) @ Steelers (4-3)
— Rookie QB Levis threw for 238 yards, 4 TD’s, in his first NFL start.
— Tennessee is 0-3 SU in true road games, losing by 1-24-7 points (1-2 ATS)
— Titans scored 27-27-28 points in wins; they scored 15-3-16-16 in losses.
— Last two games, Tennessee converted 6-24 on third down.
— Titans are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Tennessee is 12-7 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win (0-2 TY)
— Titans are minus-3 in turnovers (2-5) so far this season.
— Levis is 1-0 as an NFL starter.
— AFC South underdogs are 11-5 ATS outside the division.
— Five of their seven games stayed under total.
— Team total: under 4-3. Opponents’ team total: over 4-2-1
— QB Pickett was hurt last week (check status)
— Steelers split their four home games SU (underdog in all four).
— Last four games, they were outscored 44-9 in first half.
— Steelers scored 26-23-17-24 points in wins, 7-6-10 in losses.
— Pittsburgh is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained by 126.4 yards/game this season.
— Last six games, Steelers have a +8 turnover margin.
— Six of seven Steeler games stayed under the total.
— Pitt is 29-16-1 ATS in last 46 games when spread was 3 or fewer points.
— QB Pickett is 11-8 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 3-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
— Steelers won four in row, seven of last nine series games.
— Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last ten visits to Pittsburgh.
— Over is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
|
|
|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 2, 2023 8:38:06 GMT -5
NCAAF Thursday’s games
TCU @ Texas Tech
TCU (4-4)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14-3 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-3 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-3 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU gave up 343 RY last week, 212.5 RY/game in last four games.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
— under Dykes, Frogs are 8-6-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
Texas Tech (3-5)
— Tech lost last two games, with a minus-8 turnover ratio.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 0-5 in I-A games if they score less than 39 points.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 57.1% of passes (8 TD’s, 2 INTs)
— Tech is 5-4 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite.
— Red Raiders are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
— TCU won last four series games, scoring 38.3 ppg.
— Horned Frogs won their last four visits to Lubbock (2-2 ATS)
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.
|
|
|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 2, 2023 8:38:37 GMT -5
Wake Forest @ Duke
Wake Forest (4-4)
— 4-year starting QB Hartman bolted to Notre Dame (45 starts).
— Wake Forest lost four of last five games, after a 3-0 start.
— Deacons are 1-4 in ACC, scoring 16-12-13-21-16 points.
— Wake Forest scored 36-27-21 points in its I-A wins.
— Deacons scored 16 or fewer points in its four losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 56.8% of passes (9 TD’s, 7 INT’s).
— since 2016, Deacons are 5-6 ATS as road underdog (1-1 TY).
— In his career, Clawson is 32-22 ATS as an underdog.
— Wake is 16-13 ATS in last 29 ACC games (2-3 TY)
— under is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Wake won bowl games the last two years, 38-10/27-17.
Duke (5-3)
— Duke QB Leonard has been banged up (check status)
— Blue Devils completed less than 50% of passes four games in row.
— Duke lost three of last four games, after 4-0 start.
— Duke scored 24+ points in its wins, 14-20-0 in losses.
— Blue Devils covered their last eight tries as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line, with 4 starters back
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— under Elko, Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS as a home favorite (2-0 TY).
— under Elko, Duke is 8-4 ATS in ACC games.
— under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Duke won/covered its last four bowls; last bowl loss was in 2014.
— Wake Forest won four of last six series games.
— Deacons are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Duke.
— under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— ACC home favorites are 10-9 ATS.
|
|
|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 2, 2023 8:39:06 GMT -5
South Alabama @ Troy
South Alabama (4-4)
— USA is 4-0 when it scores 33+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t.
— All four Jaguar wins have been by 18+ points.
— USA is 0-3 in games decided by 13 or less points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 13 career starts coming into this year.
— Last three games, Jaguars gained 589-647-498 TY.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Four of Jaguars’ last five games went over the total.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 9-11 ATS in conference games.
— South Alabama is 0-3 in bowl games (’14, ’16, last year)
Troy (6-2)
— Troy won last five games, giving up 23 points in last four games.
— Trojans were held to 13-14 points in their two losses.
— Troy is 8-12 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite (1-2 TY).
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 88 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 28 career starts coming into this year.
— Troy’s last four wins were all by 18+ points.
— Last two games. Trojans are +7 in turnovers.
— under Sumrall, Trojans are 12-2 ATS in Sun Belt games.
— Troy’s last six games stayed under the total.
— Troy won its last five bowls, dating back to 2010.
— Trojans won/covered last five series games.
— USA lost 31-24/37-13 in last two visits to Troy.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 8-12 ATS.
|
|
|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 2, 2023 8:40:50 GMT -5
NHL trends (thru October 31)
Anaheim 5-4
— won their last four games.
— Ducks are 1-2 at home, 4-2 on road
— last three road games went over total
Arizona 4-4
— scored 5 goals in first three games, 23 goals in last five.
— 2-1 at home, 2-3 on road.
— over 4-1 last five games
Boston 8-0-1
— only loss was in OT to Anaheim
— 4-1 at home, 4-0 on road.
— allowed 14 goals in nine games.
Buffalo 4-5
— 0-3 in game after a win
— 3-3 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 5-1 at home
Calgary 2-6-1
— lost last five games, outscored 20-6.
— 1-2 at home, 1-4-1 on road.
— over 4-2 on road
Carolina 6-4
— won last three games, outscoring foes 9-4
— 3-0 at home, 3-4 on road.
— over 5-2 on road.
Chicago 3-6
— lost four of last five games.
— 0-2 at home, 3-4 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games
Colorado 6-2
— lost 4-0/4-0 last two games, after a 6-0 start
— 2-0 at home, 4-2 on road.
— under 4-1 last five road games
Columbus 3-4-2
— lost their last four games
— 2-3-1 at home, 1-1-1 on road.
— under 5-1 at home; over 3-0 on road
Dallas 5-1-1
— won four of last five games
— 3-1 at home, 2-0-1 on road.
— under 3-0 at home
— 4-0 if they score more than two goals
Detroit 6-3-1
— lost three of last four games
— 3-1-1 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 4-1 at home
Edmonton 2-5-1
— lost four of first five games.
— 1-2-1 at home, 1-3 on road.
— over 3-1 on road
Florida 4-3-1
— won four of last six games.
— 3-1 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
Los Angeles 5-2-2
— won five of last seven games.
— 1-2-2 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 6-2
Minnesota 3-4-2
— lost five of last six games
— 2-1-1 at home, 1-3-1 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games
Montreal 5-2-2
— won four of last six games
— 4-2 at home, 1-0-2 on road.
— over 3-1 last four games
Nashville 4-5
— 4-0 allow two or fewer goals, 0-5 allow 3+ goals
— 3-2 at home, 1-3 on road.
— under 3-1-1 at home
New Jersey 5-2-1
— won three of last four games
— 3-2-1 at home, 2-0 on road.
— over is 8-0
NY Islanders 4-2-2
— lost four of last six games.
— 3-1-2 at home, 1-1 on road.
— under 2-0 on road
NY Rangers 7-2
— won last five games, giving up 7 goals.
— 1-1 at home, 6-1 on road.
— under 7-2
Ottawa 4-4
— 3-2 at home, 1-2 on road.
— over 5-0 at home
— scored 5+ goals in wins, 0-4 scoring less than 5 goals.
Philadelphia 4-4-1
— lost four of last five games.
— 3-2 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— allowed 5 goals in wins, 23 in losses
Pittsburgh 3-6
— lost last five games, giving up 23 goals.
— 2-4 at home, 1-2 on road.
— under 5-3-1
St Louis 3-3-1
— 0-3 in game after a win
— 2-1 at home, 1-2-1 on road.
— under is 6-1
San Jose 0-8-1
— lost their first nine games.
— 0-3-1 at home, 0-5 on road.
— under is 7-1-1
— scored nine goals in nine games
Seattle 3-5-2
— 3-3 in last six games, after an 0-4 start.
— 1-2 at home, 2-3-2 on road.
— under is 5-2 on road
Tampa Bay 4-2-3
— 4-0-2 at home, 0-2-1 on road.
— over 6-3
— 0-3 in OT/SO
Toronto 5-3-1
— lost last two games, 3-2/4-1
— 2-2 at home, 3-1-1 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored 25 goals in wins, 5 in losses
Vancouver 6-2-1
— won four of last five games
— 3-0-1 at home, 3-2 on road.
— over 6-3
Vegas 9-0-1
— only loss was in OT to Chicago
— 5-0-1 at home, 4-0 on road.
— over 3-1 on road
Washington 4-3-1
— won last three games, scoring 12 goals.
— 3-2 at home, 1-1-1 on road.
— under 6-2
Winnipeg 4-3-2
— 3-0 allow 2 or fewer goals, 1-3-2 if they allow 3+ goals
— 2-2-1 at home, 2-1-1 on road.
— 1-2 in OT/SO
|
|
|
|
Post by Gooba on Nov 2, 2023 8:42:58 GMT -5
TwinSpires hasn't moved off Steelers -2.5 so far this week, with spread bettors leaning toward the road pup Thursday night.
The Titans are taking 62% of early spread tickets/65% of early spread money.
"The public is hopping on the Will Levis train," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said, alluding to Tennessee's rookie QB. "Despite being winless on the road, a bulk of bets are on the road 'dog."
The total is up a notch from 36 to 36.5, with 54% of tickets on the Under/59% of money on the Over.
|
|
