Post by Gooba on Nov 3, 2023 9:27:31 GMT -5
Saturday’s College Football games
Arkansas @ Florida
Arkansas (2-6)
— Hogs lost last six games, five of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas lost its last game 7-3 to Miss State.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 217.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 28 sacks the last six games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 697-281.
— Hogs’ last three games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
Florida (5-3)
— Florida split last four games, giving up 313/315 PY last two games.
— Gators scored 22+ points in its wins, 11-14-20 in losses.
— Florida’s three losses were by 13-19-23 points.
— Gators are minus-3 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 3-6 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.
— in his career, Napier is 19-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Gators are 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Florida’s last four games went over the total.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.
— Florida won eight of last nine series games.
— This is teams’ first meeting since 2020.
— Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss
Texas A&M (5-3)
— A&M lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— Aggies scored 27+ points in its five wins (0-2 score less than 27).
— Aggies are 5-1 giving up 22 or less points (gave up 48-26-20 in losses).
— A&M is 0-2 in true road games: 48-33 @ Miami, 20-13 @ Tennessee.
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— soph backup QB Johnson has 5 career starts- his dad won a Super Bowl.
— since 2020, Aggies are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Fisher is 13-15 ATS as an underdog.
— under Fisher, A&M is 22-23-1 ATS in SEC games.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
Ole Miss (7-1)
— Ole Miss won its last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 8-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rebels are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
— Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-28/29-19
— Aggies are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oxford.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Kansas State @ Texas
Kansas State (6-2)
— K-State won its last three games, by 17-38-41 points.
— In its five Big X games, K-State ran for 258.6 yards/game.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 28-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 21-13 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
Texas (7-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 35-25 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 13-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-12 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their six games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
— Texas won last six series games, covered last three.
— K-State is 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Austin.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.
Notre Dame @ Clemson
Notre Dame (7-2)
— Notre Dame won last two games, 48-20/58-7.
— Irish scored 14-20 points in losses, 41+ in six of seven wins.
— ND has road wins at NC State/Duke, lost 33-20 at Louisville.
— under Freeman, Notre Dame is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— Senior QB Hartman started 45 games at Wake Forest.
— Irish are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Notre Dame is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in only loss.
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
Clemson (4-4)
— Tigers gave up 24+ points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Clemson is 5-6 SU in last eleven games overall.
— Last three games, Tigers are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Clemson is 0-3 if they allow 300+ total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— since 2013, Tigers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Clemson is 31-16-1 ATS in ACC games (1-4 TY).
— since 2018, Tigers are 5-4 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of Clemson’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— ACC home underdogs are 3-2 ATS out of conference.
— Clemson won three of last five meetings.
— This is Notre Dame’s first visit to Clemson since 2015.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (7-1)
— Oklahoma lost 38-33 at Kansas LW (scored 43.1 ppg first seven games).
— Last four weeks, Sooners gained 523-486-442-440 yards.
— under Venables, Sooners are 4-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Oklahoma is +10 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— Oklahoma’s last three games were decided by 4-2-5 points.
— Sooners are 16-13 ATS in last 29 conference games.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
Oklahoma State (6-2)
— Okla State won its last four games, scoring 29-39-48-45 points.
— OSU allowed 32+ points in four of its last six games.
— Okla State is 4-1 in Big X games (average total, 64.4).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +7 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— under Gundy, Cowboys are 10-11-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— OSU is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
— Oklahoma is bolting to SEC; this could be the last Bedlam game.
— Sooners are 17-3 in last 20 games vs Oklahoma State
— Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Stillwater.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 9-4 ATS.
Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri (7-1)
— Mizzou is 6-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.1 ppg.
— Mizzou is 2-0 in true road tilts (38-21 @ Vandy/38-21 @ Kentucky)
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in their last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last six Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
Georgia (8-0)
— Georgia won first five SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23 points (2-3 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-4-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs outgained last two opponents, 1,646-741.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last four games, Georgia threw for 350.8 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 73.0%, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-11 ATS in SEC games (2-3 TY).
— Georgia’s last five games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
— Georgia won last nine series games (2-6 ATS in last eight)
— Mizzou is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Georgia.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Kansas @ Iowa State
Kansas (6-2)
— Kansas split its last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— Jayhawks are 6-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Last four games, Kansas gave up 255.8 rushing yards/game.
— Jayhawks ran ball for 221+ yards in five of their six wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 10-19-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 10-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 7-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
Iowa State (4-3)
— Cyclones won last three games, giving up 14-10-18 points.
— Iowa State scored 24-27-30-30 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20 in losses.
— Cyclones are 5-3, have a +7 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 60.2% of passes (13 TD’s/6 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 15-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 2+ years, Iowa State is 11-12 ATS in conference games.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— ISU is 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Iowa State won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Kansas is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Ames.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.
Washington @ USC
Washington (8-0)
— Washington is 5-0 SU/1-3-1 ATS in first five Pac-12 games.
— Last three games, Huskies ran ball 63 times for only 203 yards.
— Washington is also minus-6 in turnovers, in last three games.
— Huskies beat Oregon 36-33 in only game with single-digit spread.
— Washington is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— In his career, DeBoer is 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Washington is 15-30-1 ATS in last 46 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
USC (7-2)
— USC lost two of last three games, giving up 42.6 ppg in last five.
— Trojans scored 32+ points in eight of their nine games.
— USC is 0-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 10 or less points.
— under Riley, Trojans are 7-5 ATS at home (2-3 TY).
— Last five games, USC gave up 41-41-48-34-49 points.
— Last two games, they allowed 247-235 rushing yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, was favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— This is first time Lincoln Riley has ever been a home underdog.
— in his career, Riley is 4-1 ATS as an underdog of any kind.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Coliseum.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.
Kentucky @ Mississippi State
Kentucky (5-3)
— Kentucky lost last two games, giving up 51-38-33 points.
— Wildcats scored 39.3 ppg in beating four I-A stiffs.
— Kentucky is 0-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Last three games, Kentucky allowed 471 yards/game.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— since 2018, Wildcats are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— in his career, Stoops is 29-17 ATS as a favorite.
— Kentucky is 12-9 ATS in last 21 SEC games.
— Last five Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
Mississippi State (4-4)
— Miss State lost four of its last six games.
— Bulldogs scored 7-13 points in last two games.
— Miss State gave up 41-37-40-27 points in its losses.
— Bulldogs are 1-4 when they score less than 31 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 1-9 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of last six Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
— Home teams won last eight series games.
— Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Starkville.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-10 ATS.
LSU @ Alabama
LSU (6-2)
— LSU scored 34+ points in its last six games.
— Tigers scored 41-34-49-49 points in last four games.
— Tigers’ losses: 45-24 vs Fla State/55-49 at Ole Miss.
— LSU gained 500+ yards in its last six games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 43 starts, 29 of them at Arizona State.
— since 2016, LSU is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kelly is 20-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— since 2017, LSU is 35-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
— LSU is 23-14 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Over is 7-0 in LSU games this season.
— LSU is 4-1 SU/ATS in bowls the last five years.
Alabama (7-1)
— Alabama won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite
— Alabama is 23-17-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +2 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 4-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Alabama won nine of last eleven series games.
— LSU is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Tuscaloosa.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Oregon State @ Colorado
Oregon State (6-3)
— All six Oregon State wins TY are by 12+ points.
— OSU gave up 35 ppg in its three road games (1-2).
— Beavers’ losses: 38-35 at Wazzu/27-24 at Arizona LW.
— Beavers are +7 in turnovers this season.
— OSU is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Beavers are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
Colorado (4-4)
— Colorado lost four of last five games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28 points in their losses.
— Colorado gave up 35+ points in five of eight games.
— Last four games, Buffs allowed 351.5 passing yards/game.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in three of last five games.
— Colorado is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
— Colorado won four of last six series games.
— Beavers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boulder.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.
Boise State @ Fresno State
Boise State (4-4)
— Boise State is 4-4, with three losses by 3 or less points.
— last three games, Boise ran ball for 262-244-227 yards.
— last three games, Broncos are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last six years, Boise was +31 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Broncos scored 30+ points in each of last six points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Avalos, Broncos are 11-9-1 ATS in conference games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— since 2017, Boise is 2-1 in bowls (had two cancelled)
Fresno State (7-1)
— Fresno won its three I-A home games, 53-10/27-9/31-24.
— Five of their eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Fresno scored 36 ppg in its six I-A wins.
— Bulldogs are 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 43-33 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 20-17-2 ATS in Mountain West.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 9-6 ATS coming off a win.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.
— Boise State is 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
— Broncos are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Fresno.
— Six of last seven meetings stayed under the total.
— Mountain West home favorites are 6-8 ATS.
UCLA @ Arizona
UCLA (6-2)
— UCLA is 5-2 vs I-A teams, giving up 13-10-14-17-36-7-16 points.
— last three games, UCLA ran ball for 284-221-218 yards.
— Bruins’ losses: 14-7 (+3.5) @ Utah, 36-24 (+3.5) @ Oregon State
— Under is 6-1 in their I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— junior QB is completing 69.9% of passes, with 5 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
— Bruins are 6-1 ATS last seven games as road favorites.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-17 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 15-14 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
Arizona (5-3)
— Arizona won its last two games, 44-6/27-24.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-35 in turnovers (minus-3 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— under is 6-1 in last seven Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— UCLA is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Tucson.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.
Arkansas @ Florida
Arkansas (2-6)
— Hogs lost last six games, five of them by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas lost its last game 7-3 to Miss State.
— Arkansas’ only I-A win: 28-6 (-38) over Kent State.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were held to 217.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 28 sacks the last six games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 18-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three weeks, Hogs were outrushed, 697-281.
— Hogs’ last three games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
Florida (5-3)
— Florida split last four games, giving up 313/315 PY last two games.
— Gators scored 22+ points in its wins, 11-14-20 in losses.
— Florida’s three losses were by 13-19-23 points.
— Gators are minus-3 in turnovers this season.
— 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 74 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 32 games at Wisconsin
— under Napier, Florida is 3-6 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.
— in his career, Napier is 19-22-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Gators are 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Florida’s last four games went over the total.
— Gators lost last three bowls, by a combined 114-40.
— Florida won eight of last nine series games.
— This is teams’ first meeting since 2020.
— Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Gainesville.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss
Texas A&M (5-3)
— A&M lost two of last three games, after a 4-1 start.
— Aggies scored 27+ points in its five wins (0-2 score less than 27).
— Aggies are 5-1 giving up 22 or less points (gave up 48-26-20 in losses).
— A&M is 0-2 in true road games: 48-33 @ Miami, 20-13 @ Tennessee.
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— soph backup QB Johnson has 5 career starts- his dad won a Super Bowl.
— since 2020, Aggies are 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Fisher is 13-15 ATS as an underdog.
— under Fisher, A&M is 22-23-1 ATS in SEC games.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
Ole Miss (7-1)
— Ole Miss won its last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 8-9 ATS as a home favorite.
— Rebels are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-2 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
— Ole Miss won last two meetings, 31-28/29-19
— Aggies are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Oxford.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Kansas State @ Texas
Kansas State (6-2)
— K-State won its last three games, by 17-38-41 points.
— In its five Big X games, K-State ran for 258.6 yards/game.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— under Klieman, K-State is 28-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 21-13 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
Texas (7-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— soph QB started 10 games last year.
— In his career, Sarkisian is 35-25 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 13-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-12 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their six games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
— Texas won last six series games, covered last three.
— K-State is 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Austin.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.
Notre Dame @ Clemson
Notre Dame (7-2)
— Notre Dame won last two games, 48-20/58-7.
— Irish scored 14-20 points in losses, 41+ in six of seven wins.
— ND has road wins at NC State/Duke, lost 33-20 at Louisville.
— under Freeman, Notre Dame is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line- new OL coach was at Wisconsin for 7 years.
— Senior QB Hartman started 45 games at Wake Forest.
— Irish are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games coming off a win.
— Notre Dame is +13 in turnovers in its wins, minus-4 in only loss.
— Irish lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
Clemson (4-4)
— Tigers gave up 24+ points in losses, 17 or less in wins.
— Clemson is 5-6 SU in last eleven games overall.
— Last three games, Tigers are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Clemson is 0-3 if they allow 300+ total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB threw 100 passes LY, but started only once.
— since 2013, Tigers are 2-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— Clemson is 31-16-1 ATS in ACC games (1-4 TY).
— since 2018, Tigers are 5-4 ATS coming off a loss.
— Four of Clemson’s last five games stayed under the total.
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
— ACC home underdogs are 3-2 ATS out of conference.
— Clemson won three of last five meetings.
— This is Notre Dame’s first visit to Clemson since 2015.
— Under is 3-2 in last five series games.
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State
Oklahoma (7-1)
— Oklahoma lost 38-33 at Kansas LW (scored 43.1 ppg first seven games).
— Last four weeks, Sooners gained 523-486-442-440 yards.
— under Venables, Sooners are 4-4 ATS as a road favorite.
— Oklahoma is +10 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— junior QB Gabriel started 12 games LY, also started at UCF
— Oklahoma’s last three games were decided by 4-2-5 points.
— Sooners are 16-13 ATS in last 29 conference games.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
Oklahoma State (6-2)
— Okla State won its last four games, scoring 29-39-48-45 points.
— OSU allowed 32+ points in four of its last six games.
— Okla State is 4-1 in Big X games (average total, 64.4).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +7 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— under Gundy, Cowboys are 10-11-2 ATS as a home underdog.
— OSU is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
— Oklahoma is bolting to SEC; this could be the last Bedlam game.
— Sooners are 17-3 in last 20 games vs Oklahoma State
— Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in last eight visits to Stillwater.
— Three of last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Big X home underdogs are 9-4 ATS.
Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri (7-1)
— Mizzou is 6-1 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.1 ppg.
— Mizzou is 2-0 in true road tilts (38-21 @ Vandy/38-21 @ Kentucky)
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in their last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last six Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
Georgia (8-0)
— Georgia won first five SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23 points (2-3 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-4-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs outgained last two opponents, 1,646-741.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last four games, Georgia threw for 350.8 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 73.0%, with 14 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-11 ATS in SEC games (2-3 TY).
— Georgia’s last five games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
— Georgia won last nine series games (2-6 ATS in last eight)
— Mizzou is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Georgia.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Kansas @ Iowa State
Kansas (6-2)
— Kansas split its last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— Jayhawks are 6-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Last four games, Kansas gave up 255.8 rushing yards/game.
— Jayhawks ran ball for 221+ yards in five of their six wins.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 4-9 ATS as a road underdog.
— in his career, Leipold is 10-19-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 10-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 7-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
Iowa State (4-3)
— Cyclones won last three games, giving up 14-10-18 points.
— Iowa State scored 24-27-30-30 points in I-A wins, 13-7-20 in losses.
— Cyclones are 5-3, have a +7 turnover ratio.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line
— LY’s starting QB Dekkers withdrew from school (gambling charges)
— freshman QB is completing 60.2% of passes (13 TD’s/6 INTs).
— under Campbell, ISU is 15-17 ATS as a home favorite.
— last 2+ years, Iowa State is 11-12 ATS in conference games.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— ISU is 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
— Cyclones lost three of last four bowls SU (3-2 ATS in last five).
— Iowa State won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Kansas is 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Ames.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— Big X home favorites are 12-9 ATS.
Washington @ USC
Washington (8-0)
— Washington is 5-0 SU/1-3-1 ATS in first five Pac-12 games.
— Last three games, Huskies ran ball 63 times for only 203 yards.
— Washington is also minus-6 in turnovers, in last three games.
— Huskies beat Oregon 36-33 in only game with single-digit spread.
— Washington is 2-7 ATS last nine games as a road favorite (1-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— In his career, DeBoer is 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.
— Washington is 15-30-1 ATS in last 46 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
USC (7-2)
— USC lost two of last three games, giving up 42.6 ppg in last five.
— Trojans scored 32+ points in eight of their nine games.
— USC is 0-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 10 or less points.
— under Riley, Trojans are 7-5 ATS at home (2-3 TY).
— Last five games, USC gave up 41-41-48-34-49 points.
— Last two games, they allowed 247-235 rushing yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, was favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— This is first time Lincoln Riley has ever been a home underdog.
— in his career, Riley is 4-1 ATS as an underdog of any kind.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Coliseum.
— Under is 9-1 in last ten series games.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.
Kentucky @ Mississippi State
Kentucky (5-3)
— Kentucky lost last two games, giving up 51-38-33 points.
— Wildcats scored 39.3 ppg in beating four I-A stiffs.
— Kentucky is 0-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Last three games, Kentucky allowed 471 yards/game.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— since 2018, Wildcats are 4-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— in his career, Stoops is 29-17 ATS as a favorite.
— Kentucky is 12-9 ATS in last 21 SEC games.
— Last five Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
Mississippi State (4-4)
— Miss State lost four of its last six games.
— Bulldogs scored 7-13 points in last two games.
— Miss State gave up 41-37-40-27 points in its losses.
— Bulldogs are 1-4 when they score less than 31 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 113 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has started 32 games.
— MSU is 1-9 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Bulldogs are 4-10 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of last six Miss State games went over the total.
— New coach TY after Mike Leach passed away last year.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
— Home teams won last eight series games.
— Kentucky is 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Starkville.
— Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-10 ATS.
LSU @ Alabama
LSU (6-2)
— LSU scored 34+ points in its last six games.
— Tigers scored 41-34-49-49 points in last four games.
— Tigers’ losses: 45-24 vs Fla State/55-49 at Ole Miss.
— LSU gained 500+ yards in its last six games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 102 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 43 starts, 29 of them at Arizona State.
— since 2016, LSU is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kelly is 20-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— since 2017, LSU is 35-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
— LSU is 23-14 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
— Over is 7-0 in LSU games this season.
— LSU is 4-1 SU/ATS in bowls the last five years.
Alabama (7-1)
— Alabama won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Alabama held three of last five opponents under 265 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite
— Alabama is 23-17-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +2 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 4-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
— Alabama won nine of last eleven series games.
— LSU is 4-2 ATS in last six visits to Tuscaloosa.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.
— SEC home favorites are 13-8 ATS.
Oregon State @ Colorado
Oregon State (6-3)
— All six Oregon State wins TY are by 12+ points.
— OSU gave up 35 ppg in its three road games (1-2).
— Beavers’ losses: 38-35 at Wazzu/27-24 at Arizona LW.
— Beavers are +7 in turnovers this season.
— OSU is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 28 games at Clemson.
— Beavers are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
— Beavers are 2-3 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five).
Colorado (4-4)
— Colorado lost four of last five games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28 points in their losses.
— Colorado gave up 35+ points in five of eight games.
— Last four games, Buffs allowed 351.5 passing yards/game.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in three of last five games.
— Colorado is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 Pac-12 games.
— Colorado’s new OC was a good head coach at Kent State.
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
— Colorado won four of last six series games.
— Beavers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boulder.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.
Boise State @ Fresno State
Boise State (4-4)
— Boise State is 4-4, with three losses by 3 or less points.
— last three games, Boise ran ball for 262-244-227 yards.
— last three games, Broncos are minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last six years, Boise was +31 in turnovers (minus-5 TY).
— Broncos scored 30+ points in each of last six points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 8-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Avalos, Broncos are 11-9-1 ATS in conference games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— since 2017, Boise is 2-1 in bowls (had two cancelled)
Fresno State (7-1)
— Fresno won its three I-A home games, 53-10/27-9/31-24.
— Five of their eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Fresno scored 36 ppg in its six I-A wins.
— Bulldogs are 3-1 SU/0-4 ATS in their last four games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 43-33 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 20-17-2 ATS in Mountain West.
— under Tedford, Fresno is 9-6 ATS coming off a win.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.
— Boise State is 6-4 SU in last ten series games.
— Broncos are 7-2 ATS in last nine visits to Fresno.
— Six of last seven meetings stayed under the total.
— Mountain West home favorites are 6-8 ATS.
UCLA @ Arizona
UCLA (6-2)
— UCLA is 5-2 vs I-A teams, giving up 13-10-14-17-36-7-16 points.
— last three games, UCLA ran ball for 284-221-218 yards.
— Bruins’ losses: 14-7 (+3.5) @ Utah, 36-24 (+3.5) @ Oregon State
— Under is 6-1 in their I-A games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— junior QB is completing 69.9% of passes, with 5 TD’s, 3 INT’s.
— Bruins are 6-1 ATS last seven games as road favorites.
— Since 2019, UCLA is 22-17 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— UCLA is 15-14 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
Arizona (5-3)
— Arizona won its last two games, 44-6/27-24.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-35 in turnovers (minus-3 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 7-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— under is 6-1 in last seven Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— UCLA is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Tucson.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 10-4 ATS.