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Post by Gooba on Nov 9, 2023 8:03:51 GMT -5
NFL Thursday
Panthers (1-7) @ Bears (2-7)
— Carolina is 0-4 SU/ATS) on road this year, losing by 14-10-18-21.
— Last four games, Panthers were outscored 76-33 in first half.
— In two post-bye games, Panthers scored 2 TD’s on 18 drives.
— Last week, Young threw two pick-6’s vs Colts.
— In Young’s six starts. Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started.
— Carolina’s only win was 15-13; they allowed 20+ points in their losses.
— Carolina is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home underdog (0-4 TY).
— Panthers have been outscored 118-71 in second half of games.
— Carolina is 8-17-1 ATS in last 26 games following a loss.
— NFC South teams are 9-16-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3
— Chicago lost three of last four games, scoring 13-13-17 in losses.
— Bears are +5 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
— Chicago turned ball over 5 times last week (minus-5)
— Chicago scored 40-30 points in its wins; they’re 0-7 otherwise.
— In Bagent’s three starts, Bears were 20-39 on third down.
— For season, Bears have been outscored 132-83 in second half.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 11-32 SU/16-25-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites (0-1 TY).
— Chicago is 17-24-3 ATS in last 44 games coming off a loss.
— Three of their four games stayed under the total.
— NFC North favorites are 6-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 5-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-3
— Bears won five of last six series games.
— Panthers are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
— Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 9, 2023 8:05:39 GMT -5
Virginia @ Louisville
Virginia (2-7, 1-4)
— Virginia is 1-7 vs I-A teams (won 31-27 at North Carolina)
— Cavaliers covered three of four games as a road underdog.
— Since 2020, Virginia is 10-6 ATS as a road dog.
— Cavaliers allowed 305 RY in LW’s 45-17 home loss to Ga Tech.
— Over is 5-2-1 in their I-A games.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 17 starts back on offensive line.
— true frosh QB is 84-139/1,132 passing, with 7 TD’s, 7 INT’s
— previous QB started 30 games, transferred to NC State.
— Virginia is 19-10 ATS in its last 29 ACC games.
— Virginia has a minus-5 turnover ratio.
— Virginia hasn’t played in bowl since 2019 (’21 game cancelled)
Louisville (8-1, 5-1)
— Cardinals won last two games by a combined 57-3.
— Louisville has three wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Louisville’s only loss (38-21 (-7.5) at Pitt)
— Cardinals are 4-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
— Louisville is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— In his career, Brohm is 22-21 ATS as a home favorite.
— under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3).
— Teams split their last six series games.
— Virginia is 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Louisville.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
— Home favorites are 11-12 ATS in ACC games.
Southern Mississippi @ Louisiana
Southern Mississippi (2-7, 1-5)
— Southern Miss is 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS vs I-A teams, giving up 38.5 ppg.
— USM is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS on road TY, losing by 53-7-52-10 points.
— Last two weeks, Golden Eagles ran ball for 507 yards.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 87 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB is a transfer from Clemson (53%, 7 TD’s, 5 INT).
— USM beat UL-Monroe 24-7 LW, their first I-A win this year.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 6-7 ATS as road underdogs.
— Under Hall, Golden Eagles are 10-12 ATS in conference games.
— over is 4-0 in their road games this season.
— Southern Miss has been to one bowl the last three years.
Louisiana (5-4, 2-3)
— Louisiana is 5-0 if they score 33+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 33.
— Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite.
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB is completing 66.7% of passes- 11 TD’s, 5 INTs.
— Cajuns are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games following a loss.
— Louisiana allowed 426+ TY in three of its last four games.
— ULL is 7-6 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
— Louisiana’s last four games stayed under the total.
— ULL went bowling the last five years, going 3-2 SU/1-4 ATS.
— Southern Miss won/covered last seven series games.
— Teams have met only once since 2016.
— USM (+1) beat Ragin’ Cajuns 39-24 at home last year.
— Sun Belt home favorites are 11-13 ATS.
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Post by Gooba on Nov 9, 2023 8:10:17 GMT -5
Carolina Panthers Betting Analysis
The Panthers drafted QB Bryce Young with the first overall pick in the latest NFL draft, and immediately inserted him into an offensive unit completely devoid of weaponry, and in most cases, the line simply can’t block for him.
There’s no getting around it: this Panthers team is truly awful. But for the time being, we should probably pump the brakes on our criticism of Carolina’s rookie QB. He’s been placed in an impossible situation, and all things considered, I don’t think any of the rookie QBs from the latest draft class would look good in this broken Carolina offense. Just give it some time. Young will be fine.
Chicago Bears Betting Analysis
At this point, the Bears are playing for the future, already sitting at a record of 2-7, which puts them in position for the 3rd pick in the 2024 draft. However, to a certain extent, Chicago’s future is at stake in this matchup. Let’s take a trip back to the latest NFL draft, which saw the Panthers select Bryce Young with the first overall pick – a pick that originally belonged to a Bears team that finished with the worst record in the league at 3-14.
In order to acquire the Bears’ No. 1 overall selection, the Panthers sent DJ Moore to Chicago along with their first pick in the upcoming draft, which is currently positioned 2nd in next year’s draft order and sitting just half-a-game away from the top spot as we cross the halfway point of the season.
All that just to say, Chicago isn’t going to try to win many games the rest of the way. The tankathon has already begun for a Bears team that enters the week slated for two of the top three picks in next year’s draft. However, on this rare occasion, the Bears can briefly set aside their goals for the future and put the pedal to the metal against the previous owner of their additional first-round draft pick – which is another factor that seems to be swaying the opinions of spread bettors in this game. I hate to be the bearer of bad news though, the current iteration of this Chicago team is pretty bad even when they try to put their best foot forward.
Panthers vs Bears Betting Trends
The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of Carolina's last nine games.
The Bears are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games.
The Bears are 2-17 SU in their last 19 games.
The Bears are 1-10 SU in their last 11 home games.
The Panthers are 1-7 SU in their last eight games.
The Panthers are 1-5 SU in their last six games against Chicago.
The Panthers are 2-14 SU in their last 16 road games.
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