Post by Gooba on Nov 10, 2023 8:09:42 GMT -5
College Football Saturday’s games
Alabama @ Kentucky
Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
— Alabama won its last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Last two games, Alabama gave up 404-478 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY)
— Alabama is 24-17-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 5-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
Kentucky (6-3, 3-3)
— Kentucky lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats gave up 51-38-33 points in losses (28 or less in wins)
— Kentucky is 1-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— under Stoops, Wildcats are 10-13-2 ATS as home underdogs.
— in his career, Stoops is 40-46 ATS in SEC games.
— Kentucky is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Five of last six Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— Alabama won last seven series games (4-3 ATS)
— Crimson Tide won/covered its last three visits to Lexington.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-12 ATS.
Michigan @ Penn State
Michigan (9-0, 6-0)
— Wolverines are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Michigan is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— All nine Michigan wins are by 24+ points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB McCarthy has 13 career starts (22 TD passes, 5 INT LY).
— Last 2+ years, Michigan is 16-7-2 ATS in conference games.
— Michigan is 18-12-3 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
— last five Michigan games went over the total.
— Michigan is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls, giving up 40.3 ppg in last four
Penn State (8-1, 5-1)
— Penn State scored 30+ points in all its wins.
— Nittany Lions (+4) lost 20-12 at Ohio State.
— since 2020, Penn State is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +33 in turnovers (+16 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 62.8% of passes, with 20 TD’s, one INT.
— in his career, Franklin is 9-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 2+ years, PSU is 15-8-1 ATS in conference games.
— Over is 4-1 in Penn State’s last five games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Michigan covered three of last four visits to Happy Valley.
— Over is 7-4 in last eleven series games.
— Big 14 home underdogs are 6-13 ATS.
Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech (4-5, 3-3)
— Tech split their six Big X games, scoring 13-21-14 in losses.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39-35 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 0-5 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last four games, Red Raiders are minus-7 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 61.9% of passes (10 TD’s, 2 INTs)
— Tech is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Red Raiders are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
— under is 3-1 in their road games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
Kansas (7-2, 4-2)
— Kansas gave up 40-39 points in its two losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 200+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
— Jayhawks gained 400+ total yards in five of eight I-A games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— in his career, Leipold is 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 11-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 8-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Red Raiders won three in row, 15 of last 16 series games.
— Tech is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Lawrence.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.
Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona (6-3, 4-2)
— Arizona won its last three games, is bowl eligible.
— Four of their last six games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 6-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-36 in turnovers (minus-4 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 0-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Fisch, Arizona is 14-10 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.
Colorado (4-5, 1-5)
— Colorado lost five of last six games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28-26 points in their losses.
— Colorado scored 34.4 ppg in first seven games, 16-19 in last two.
— Buffs lost last two games, despite being +5 in turnovers.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
— Colorado is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 Pac-12 games.
— under is 3-1 in Colorado’s last four games.
— Colorado changed play callers LW, was outgained 418-238
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
— Arizona won eight of last 11 series games.
— Wildcats are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Boulder.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS
Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (3-6, 2-4)
— Baylor is 2-6 vs I-A teams, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— Bears are 0-4 when they score less than 30 points.
— Last six games, Baylor is +5 in turnovers.
— Baylor won both road games SU, by total of four points.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog (2-0 TY)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB had 15 starts coming into this year.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 17-19 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
Kansas State (6-3, 4-2)
— K-State won three of last four games (lost 33-30 at Texas).
— K-State ran for 33 yards LW (258.6 yards/game previous 5 games).
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— Wildcats are scoring 42 ppg in I-A home games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— K-State is 9-1 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 18-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 29-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 13-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— Baylor won 8 of last 11 series games.
— Bears covered their last three visits to the Little Apple.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.
Miami @ Florida State
Miami FL (6-3, 2-3)
— Miami lost three of last five games, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes are 6-1 when they score 28+, 0-2 if they don’t.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 18-15 SU, 12-20 ATS.
— Miami 276/292 TY in its last two games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2019, Miami is 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 18-22 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 2-11 ATS in ACC games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.
Florida State (9-0, 7-0)
— Seminoles’ last five wins were all by 17+ points.
— FSU threw for 344+ yards in three of last four games.
— Seminoles are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— senior QB has 26 starts; he threw for 3,214 yards LY.
— Seminoles are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— in his career, Norvell is 22-20 ATS as a home favorite
— under Norvell, FSU is 16-15 ATS in the ACC.
— Over is 6-3 in their games this season.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— FSU has played in one bowl since 2019 (3-1 last four SU)
— Florida State (-7.5) whacked Miami 45-3 last year.
— Overall, teams split last eight meetings.
— Miami is 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Tallahassee.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
— ACC home favorites are 11-12 ATS.
Oklahoma State @ Central Florida
Oklahoma State (7-2, 5-1)
— Okla State won its last five games, scoring 29-39-48-45-27 points.
— OSU allowed 33-34 points in its two losses.
— Okla State is 5-1 in Big X games (average total, 62.2).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
— In his career, Gundy is 31-20-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— OSU is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
UCF (4-5, 1-5)
— UCF lost five of six Big X games, giving up 38.2 ppg.
— Knights are giving up 479.8 yards/game in Big X play.
— Big X opponents have run ball for 259.3 yards/game.
— UCF allowed 31+ points in I-A losses, 6-16-26 in wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— under Malzahn, Knights are 8-12 ATS coming off a win.
— in his career, Malzahn is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— over is 4-2 in UCF’s last six games.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
— These teams haven’t played in this century.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.
Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers (6-3, 3-3)
— Rutgers split its last six games, after a 3-0 start.
— Knights scored 7-13-16 points in losses; 24+ in wins.
— Rutgers allowed 31-24-35 points in its losses.
— Knights are 0-3 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— since 2020, Scarlet Knights are 12-6-1 ATS on the road.
— in his college career, Schiano is 41-32-2 ATS on the road.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
Iowa (7-2, 4-2)
— Iowa QB McNamara tore his ACL, is out for year.
— soph backup QB is completing 41.6% of passes (3 TD, 4 INTs)
— Iowa scored total of 35 points in its last three games.
— Hawkeyes gained 291 or less TY in eight of nine games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 114 starts back on offensive line
— Iowa is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Hawkeyes are 18-10 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Iowa is 18-13-1 ATS in last 32 conference games.
— Iowa won four of its last five bowl games (5-0 ATS)
— Iowa won last three meetings (2-1 ATS), by a combined 71-14.
— Rutgers (+18.5) lost 30-0 in last visit here, in 2019.
— Under is 2-1 in the three series games.
— Big 14 road teams are 25-16 ATS this season.
Utah @ Washington
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
— Utah was held to 7-6 points in its two losses.
— Utes are 2-1 SU on road, beating Baylor (20-13)/USC (34-32)
— Utah ran ball for 247+ yards in three of last four games.
— since 2014, Utah is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— soph QB Barnes is completing 58.9% of passes (8 TD/5 INT)
— last 4+ years, Utes are 41-15 SU.
— Since 2016, Utah is 45-24 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Three of their last four games went over.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
Washington (9-0, 6-0)
— Washington is 6-0 SU/2-3-1 ATS in first six Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 499+ TY in three of last four games.
— Washington is minus-6 in turnovers, in its last four games.
— Huskies allowed 32+ points in four of last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— under DeBoer, Huskies are 7-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, DeBoer is 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Washington is 16-30-1 ATS in last 47 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
— Washington won seven of last nine series games.
— Utah is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 9-9 ATS.
Tennessee @ Missouri
Tennessee (7-2, 3-2)
— Tennessee is 1-2 in true road games, losing 29-16/34-20, at Florida/Bama.
— Vols won 33-27 at Kentucky, but gave up 372 passing yards.
— Vols are 6-0 when they score 30+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols ran ball for 100-133 yards in their losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Tennessee is 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
Missouri (7-2, 3-2)
— Mizzou is 6-2 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.8 ppg.
— Mizzou gave up 49-30 points in losses to LSU/Georgia.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in six of their last seven games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 17-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last seven Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
— Tennessee won/covered last four series games.
— Vols beat Mizzou 66-24/62-24 the last two years.
— over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— SEC home teams are 18-22 ATS.
Auburn @ Arkansas
Auburn (5-4, 2-4)
— Auburn won its last two games, after an 0-4 skid
— Auburn allowed 15 or less points in wins, 27+ in losses.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 22-23 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 16-8 ATS as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Auburn is 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Tigers are 8-11-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
Arkansas (3-6, 1-5)
— Hogs lost 6 of last 7 games (five losses by 7 or less points).
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas ran ball for 226 yards LW, outgained Florida 481-394.
— Previous four weeks, Hogs were held to 227.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 33 sacks the last seven games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Hogs are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
— three of Hogs’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
— Auburn won six of last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
— Auburn won/covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS
Ole Miss @ Georgia
Ole Miss (8-1, 5-1)
— Ole Miss won its last five games, scoring 36.2 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kiffin is 14-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rebels are +8 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-3 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16-1 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Georgia (9-0, 6-0)
— Georgia won first six SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23-9 points (2-4 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-5-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs allowed 20+ points in five of last six games.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last five games, Georgia threw for 331.4 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 72.2%, with 16 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-12 ATS in SEC games (2-4 TY).
— five of Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— Georgia won 10 of last 11 series games (7-4 ATS)
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS
Texas @ TCU
Texas (8-1, 5-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 4-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— last four games, Texas gave up 23.5 ppg.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— check status on whether starting QB Ewers/backup Murphy plays
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-13 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their seven games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
TCU (4-5, 2-4)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14-3-28 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-4 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-4 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU lost four of last five games, after a 3-1 start.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
— Underdogs covered five of last seven series games.
— TCU won seven of last nine series games.
— Texas is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.
Alabama @ Kentucky
Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
— Alabama won its last seven games (5-2 ATS).
— Crimson Tide’s only loss was 34-24 at home to Texas.
— Longhorns threw for 349 yards in that game.
— Last two games, Alabama gave up 404-478 TY.
— 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 41 starts back on offensive line.
— Alabama is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite (1-2 TY)
— Alabama is 24-17-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.
— Crimson Tide is +3 in turnovers since start of LY (+76 from 2015-21)
— Alabama is 5-1 ATS in SEC games this season.
— four of their last five games went over.
— Crimson Tide won six of its last eight bowls.
Kentucky (6-3, 3-3)
— Kentucky lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats gave up 51-38-33 points in losses (28 or less in wins)
— Kentucky is 1-3 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB started 26 games at NC State.
— under Stoops, Wildcats are 10-13-2 ATS as home underdogs.
— in his career, Stoops is 40-46 ATS in SEC games.
— Kentucky is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Five of last six Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— Alabama won last seven series games (4-3 ATS)
— Crimson Tide won/covered its last three visits to Lexington.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-12 ATS.
Michigan @ Penn State
Michigan (9-0, 6-0)
— Wolverines are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in Big 14 games.
— Michigan is 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
— All nine Michigan wins are by 24+ points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 145 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB McCarthy has 13 career starts (22 TD passes, 5 INT LY).
— Last 2+ years, Michigan is 16-7-2 ATS in conference games.
— Michigan is 18-12-3 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
— last five Michigan games went over the total.
— Michigan is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five bowls, giving up 40.3 ppg in last four
Penn State (8-1, 5-1)
— Penn State scored 30+ points in all its wins.
— Nittany Lions (+4) lost 20-12 at Ohio State.
— since 2020, Penn State is 4-6 ATS as an underdog.
— last 2+ years, Penn State is +33 in turnovers (+16 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has completed 62.8% of passes, with 20 TD’s, one INT.
— in his career, Franklin is 9-7 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last 2+ years, PSU is 15-8-1 ATS in conference games.
— Over is 4-1 in Penn State’s last five games.
— Last six years, Penn State is 3-2 SU/ATS in bowls.
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Michigan covered three of last four visits to Happy Valley.
— Over is 7-4 in last eleven series games.
— Big 14 home underdogs are 6-13 ATS.
Texas Tech @ Kansas
Texas Tech (4-5, 3-3)
— Tech split their six Big X games, scoring 13-21-14 in losses.
— Red Raiders scored 49-39-35 points in their I-A wins.
— Tech is 0-5 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last four games, Red Raiders are minus-7 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 61.9% of passes (10 TD’s, 2 INTs)
— Tech is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog.
— Red Raiders are 5-11 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
— under is 3-1 in their road games.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
Kansas (7-2, 4-2)
— Kansas gave up 40-39 points in its two losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-0 when they give up 33 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 200+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
— Jayhawks gained 400+ total yards in five of eight I-A games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— in his career, Leipold is 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 11-12-1 ATS in Big X games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 8-5-1 ATS coming off a win.
— three of their last four games went over the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Red Raiders won three in row, 15 of last 16 series games.
— Tech is 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Lawrence.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.
Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona (6-3, 4-2)
— Arizona won its last three games, is bowl eligible.
— Four of their last six games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Wildcats are 6-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last 3+ years, Arizona is minus-36 in turnovers (minus-4 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 75.8% of passes (11 TD’s, 3 INTs)
— under Fisch, Arizona is 0-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Fisch, Arizona is 14-10 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— under is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU.
Colorado (4-5, 1-5)
— Colorado lost five of last six games, after 3-0 start.
— Buffs gave up 42-48-46-28-26 points in their losses.
— Colorado scored 34.4 ppg in first seven games, 16-19 in last two.
— Buffs lost last two games, despite being +5 in turnovers.
— Buffs were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
— Colorado is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Deion Sanders is the new coach (27-6 at I-AA Jackson State)
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 44 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB Sanders started 26 games at Jackson State
— Buffs are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 Pac-12 games.
— under is 3-1 in Colorado’s last four games.
— Colorado changed play callers LW, was outgained 418-238
— Colorado hasn’t gone bowling since 2020; their last bowl win, 2004.
— Arizona won eight of last 11 series games.
— Wildcats are 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Boulder.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.
— Pac-12 home underdogs are 12-4 ATS
Baylor @ Kansas State
Baylor (3-6, 2-4)
— Baylor is 2-6 vs I-A teams, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— Bears are 0-4 when they score less than 30 points.
— Last six games, Baylor is +5 in turnovers.
— Baylor won both road games SU, by total of four points.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 8-4 ATS as a road underdog (2-0 TY)
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 54 starts back on offensive line; 2 of 3 starters will be transfers.
— junior QB had 15 starts coming into this year.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
— under Aranda, Baylor is 17-19 ATS in Big X games.
— Bears are 3-2 SU in last five bowls; they were underdog in 4 of 5 games.
Kansas State (6-3, 4-2)
— K-State won three of last four games (lost 33-30 at Texas).
— K-State ran for 33 yards LW (258.6 yards/game previous 5 games).
— Wildcats are 5-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— Wildcats are scoring 42 ppg in I-A home games.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— junior QB started 15 games last two years.
— K-State is 9-1 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 18-9 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 29-14 ATS in Big X games.
— under Klieman, K-State is 13-6 ATS coming off a loss.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— Baylor won 8 of last 11 series games.
— Bears covered their last three visits to the Little Apple.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten meetings.
— Big X home favorites are 14-12 ATS.
Miami @ Florida State
Miami FL (6-3, 2-3)
— Miami lost three of last five games, after a 4-0 start.
— ‘canes are 6-1 when they score 28+, 0-2 if they don’t.
— Last 2+ years, Miami is 18-15 SU, 12-20 ATS.
— Miami 276/292 TY in its last two games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 18 career starts.
— since 2019, Miami is 7-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Cristobal is 18-22 ATS as a road underdog.
— under Cristobal, Hurricanes are 2-11 ATS in ACC games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020; last bowl win? 2016.
Florida State (9-0, 7-0)
— Seminoles’ last five wins were all by 17+ points.
— FSU threw for 344+ yards in three of last four games.
— Seminoles are +7 in turnovers this season.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 206 starts back on offensive line; ton of experience.
— senior QB has 26 starts; he threw for 3,214 yards LY.
— Seminoles are 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— in his career, Norvell is 22-20 ATS as a home favorite
— under Norvell, FSU is 16-15 ATS in the ACC.
— Over is 6-3 in their games this season.
— Seminoles went bowling LY for first time since 2019
— FSU has played in one bowl since 2019 (3-1 last four SU)
— Florida State (-7.5) whacked Miami 45-3 last year.
— Overall, teams split last eight meetings.
— Miami is 6-2 ATS in last eight visits to Tallahassee.
— Under is 9-3 in last 12 series games.
— ACC home favorites are 11-12 ATS.
Oklahoma State @ Central Florida
Oklahoma State (7-2, 5-1)
— Okla State won its last five games, scoring 29-39-48-45-27 points.
— OSU allowed 33-34 points in its two losses.
— Okla State is 5-1 in Big X games (average total, 62.2).
— Cowboys were minus-2 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
— Cowboys were 7-6 LY, their worst season since 2018.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He comes to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
— In his career, Gundy is 31-20-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— OSU is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 Big X games.
— Over is 3-1 in their four games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
UCF (4-5, 1-5)
— UCF lost five of six Big X games, giving up 38.2 ppg.
— Knights are giving up 479.8 yards/game in Big X play.
— Big X opponents have run ball for 259.3 yards/game.
— UCF allowed 31+ points in I-A losses, 6-16-26 in wins.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— under Malzahn, Knights are 8-12 ATS coming off a win.
— in his career, Malzahn is 9-5 ATS as a home underdog.
— over is 4-2 in UCF’s last six games.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in last five bowls.
— These teams haven’t played in this century.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.
Rutgers @ Iowa
Rutgers (6-3, 3-3)
— Rutgers split its last six games, after a 3-0 start.
— Knights scored 7-13-16 points in losses; 24+ in wins.
— Rutgers allowed 31-24-35 points in its losses.
— Knights are 0-3 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— since 2020, Scarlet Knights are 12-6-1 ATS on the road.
— in his college career, Schiano is 41-32-2 ATS on the road.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
Iowa (7-2, 4-2)
— Iowa QB McNamara tore his ACL, is out for year.
— soph backup QB is completing 41.6% of passes (3 TD, 4 INTs)
— Iowa scored total of 35 points in its last three games.
— Hawkeyes gained 291 or less TY in eight of nine games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 114 starts back on offensive line
— Iowa is 9-10-1 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite.
— Hawkeyes are 18-10 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Iowa is 18-13-1 ATS in last 32 conference games.
— Iowa won four of its last five bowl games (5-0 ATS)
— Iowa won last three meetings (2-1 ATS), by a combined 71-14.
— Rutgers (+18.5) lost 30-0 in last visit here, in 2019.
— Under is 2-1 in the three series games.
— Big 14 road teams are 25-16 ATS this season.
Utah @ Washington
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
— Utah was held to 7-6 points in its two losses.
— Utes are 2-1 SU on road, beating Baylor (20-13)/USC (34-32)
— Utah ran ball for 247+ yards in three of last four games.
— since 2014, Utah is 14-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— soph QB Barnes is completing 58.9% of passes (8 TD/5 INT)
— last 4+ years, Utes are 41-15 SU.
— Since 2016, Utah is 45-24 ATS in Pac-12 games.
— Three of their last four games went over.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
Washington (9-0, 6-0)
— Washington is 6-0 SU/2-3-1 ATS in first six Pac-12 games.
— Huskies allowed 499+ TY in three of last four games.
— Washington is minus-6 in turnovers, in its last four games.
— Huskies allowed 32+ points in four of last six games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 36 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 30 starts; 17 here, 13 at Indiana.
— under DeBoer, Huskies are 7-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— In his career, DeBoer is 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Washington is 16-30-1 ATS in last 47 Pac-12 tilts.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Last year was Washington’s first bowl since 2019.
— Washington won seven of last nine series games.
— Utah is 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Seattle.
— Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
— Pac-12 home favorites are 9-9 ATS.
Tennessee @ Missouri
Tennessee (7-2, 3-2)
— Tennessee is 1-2 in true road games, losing 29-16/34-20, at Florida/Bama.
— Vols won 33-27 at Kentucky, but gave up 372 passing yards.
— Vols are 6-0 when they score 30+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Vols ran for 232+ yards in all of its I-A wins.
— Vols ran ball for 100-133 yards in their losses.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 93 starts back on offensive line.
— Senior QB has nine starts.
— Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Tennessee is 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
— four of their last five games went over the total.
— Vols are 4-1 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
Missouri (7-2, 3-2)
— Mizzou is 6-2 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 25.8 ppg.
— Mizzou gave up 49-30 points in losses to LSU/Georgia.
— Mizzou’s only loss was 49-39 at home to LSU.
— Tigers scored 30+ points in six of their last seven games.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 136 starts back on offensive line; very experienced
— junior QB has started 14 games.
— In his career, Drinkwitz is 16-9 ATS as an underdog.
— Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 17-14 ATS in SEC games.
— five of last seven Mizzou games went over the total.
— Mizzou lost its last four bowls; their last bowl win— 2015.
— Tennessee won/covered last four series games.
— Vols beat Mizzou 66-24/62-24 the last two years.
— over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— SEC home teams are 18-22 ATS.
Auburn @ Arkansas
Auburn (5-4, 2-4)
— Auburn won its last two games, after an 0-4 skid
— Auburn allowed 15 or less points in wins, 27+ in losses.
— Last 3+ years, Auburn is 22-23 SU.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started 25 games at Michigan State.
— In his career, Freeze is 16-8 ATS as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Auburn is 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Tigers are 8-11-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Auburn is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 4 of 5)
— Freeze is Auburn’s third coach in 4 years.
Arkansas (3-6, 1-5)
— Hogs lost 6 of last 7 games (five losses by 7 or less points).
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Arkansas ran ball for 226 yards LW, outgained Florida 481-394.
— Previous four weeks, Hogs were held to 227.5 yards/game.
— Arkansas gave up 33 sacks the last seven games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 78 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has 24 starts
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-11-2 ATS in SEC games.
— Under Pittman, Arkansas is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
— Hogs are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
— three of Hogs’ last four games stayed under the total.
— Razorbacks won three of their last four bowls, scoring 37 ppg.
— Auburn won six of last seven meetings (5-2 ATS)
— Auburn won/covered four of last five visits to Arkansas.
— Over is 8-1 in last nine series games.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS
Ole Miss @ Georgia
Ole Miss (8-1, 5-1)
— Ole Miss won its last five games, scoring 36.2 ppg
— Rebels were outgained 356-301 in 24-10 loss at Alabama.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog.
— In his career, Kiffin is 14-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Rebels are +8 in turnovers this season.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 131 starts back on offensive line; good offensive line
— junior QB started 12 games last year.
— Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 13-8-3 ATS at coming off a win.
— Under Kiffin, Rebels are 14-16-1 ATS in the SEC.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Ole Miss is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
Georgia (9-0, 6-0)
— Georgia won first six SEC games by 10-7-38-17-23-9 points (2-4 ATS)
— Georgia is 2-5-1 against spread this season.
— Dawgs allowed 20+ points in five of last six games.
— In Dawgs’ only one possession game, Auburn ran ball for 219 yards.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— Last five games, Georgia threw for 331.4 yards/game.
— New QB for Georgia; he is completing 72.2%, with 16 TD’s, 4 INTs.
— Last 2+ years, Georgia is 14-12 ATS in SEC games (2-4 TY).
— five of Georgia’s last six games went over the total.
— Dawgs won their last six bowl games (4-2 ATS)
— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— Georgia won 10 of last 11 series games (7-4 ATS)
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
— SEC home favorites are 14-10 ATS
Texas @ TCU
Texas (8-1, 5-1)
— Texas scored 30+ points in every game this year.
— Longhorns’ only loss: 34-30 (-4) vs Oklahoma.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 4-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— last four games, Texas gave up 23.5 ppg.
— 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 101 starts back on offensive line
— check status on whether starting QB Ewers/backup Murphy plays
— In his career, Sarkisian is 9-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— under Sarkisian, Texas is 11-13 ATS in Big X games.
— Five of their seven games stayed under total.
— Texas is 4-1 in last five bowls; they were underdog is 3 of the 4 wins.
TCU (4-5, 2-4)
— TCU scored 34+ points in its wins, 42-21-14-3-28 in losses.
— Frogs are 0-4 when they score less than 34 points.
— Frogs are 0-4 in games decided by fewer than 17 points.
— TCU lost four of last five games, after a 3-1 start.
— 3 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 73 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started three games.
— TCU is 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
— Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— TCU went 13-2 LY, but lost national title game 65-7 to Georgia.
— TCU qualified for a bowl in four of last six seasons.
— Underdogs covered five of last seven series games.
— TCU won seven of last nine series games.
— Texas is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to TCU.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
— Big X home underdogs are 11-4 ATS.