NFL Sunday GameDay

Sunday’s games

Saints (5-5) @ Falcons (4-6)
— New Orleans is 4-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 20.
— Saints have 12 offensive TD’s on their last 45 drives.
— Last six games, New Orleans is +6 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Saints were 17-40 on third down.
— Last six weeks, Saints outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
— Saints are 7-10-1 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or less.
— NO is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog (1-0 TY)
— Saints are 11-3 SU in last 14 post-bye games (0-4 ATS last four)
— Saints are 11-4-1 ATS in last 16 NFC South road games.
— Over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5

— Falcons lost last three games, by 5-3-2 points.
— underdogs covered Atlanta’s last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Ridder is back in starting lineup for this game.
— Falcons were 17-32 on third down in Heinicke’s two starts.
— Last seven games, Atlanta is minus-8 in turnovers (6-14)
— Atlanta is 3-2 SU at home this season.
— Falcons are 3-11-2 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
— Atlanta is 16-23-3 in last 42 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
— Ridder is 6-6 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last three Atlanta games went over the total.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-2

— New Orleans won eight of last ten series games.
— Saints covered four of last five visits to Atlanta.
— Three of last four meetings went over the total.

Steelers (6-4) @ Bengals (5-4)
— Steelers won/covered four of their last six games.
— Despite that, they fired OC Canada on Tuesday.
— Steelers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as road underdogs (2-1 TY)
— Steelers scored 7-6-10-10 points in losses, 22.2 ppg in wins.
— Pittsburgh has been outgained in every game this year.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh ran ball for 166-205-172 yards.
— Last nine games, Steelers have a +12 turnover margin.
— Steelers are 6-4 ATS in last ten AFC North road games.
— Eight of ten Steeler games stayed under the total.
— QB Pickett is 13-9 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5

— Bengals lost last two games, giving up 30-34 points.
— QB Burrow is out for the year.
— This is QB Browning’s first NFL start (started 4 years in college- Washington)
— Browning was 8-14/68 passing in relief of Burrow LW.
— Last six games, Bengals are +8 in turnovers. (13-5)
— Cincinnati is 3-2 SU at home this year (both losses by 3 points)
— Cincinnati is 7-3-2 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.
— Bengals are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.
— Last four games. Cincy had 12 TD’s on 40 drives.
— Bengals are 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC North home games.
— Last six games, Bengals scored 5 TD’s/FG on first drive of game.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5

— Bengals won four of last six series games.
— Steelers are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Cincinnati.
— Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Panthers (1-9) @ Titans (3-7)
— Carolina is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS on road, losing by 14-10-18-21-3 points.
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 102-46 in first half.
— In four post-bye games, Panthers scored three TD’s on 36 drives.
— In four post-bye games, Carolina scored 15-13-13-10 points.
— Carolina is 9-18-1 ATS in last 28 games following a loss.
— Young’s nine starts (1-8), Carolina averaged 5+ yards/pass attempt once.
— Panthers scored 27 points in game veteran QB Dalton started (5.5 ypa)
— Last four games, Carolina was held to 224-275-213-187 yards.
— Panthers have been outscored 141-81 in second half of games.
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 6-4

— Titans lost five of their last six games SI.
— Tennessee is 3-0 SU at home TY, winning by 3-24-5 points.
— Titans are 3-0 scoring 27+ points, 0-7 scoring 16 or less.
— Last five games, Tennessee converted 17-59 on third down.
— since 2018, Titans are 12-14 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tennessee is 16-15-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss (2-3 TY)
— Tennessee is 14-11 ATS last 25 games vs NFC teams.
— Titans are minus-5 in turnovers (6-11) so far this season.
— Rookie QB Levis is 1-3 as an NFL starter.
— Seven of their ten games stayed under total.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-3. Opponents’ team total: over 5-2-3

— Carolina won last two series games, 30-20/27-10
— Teams split last two meetings played here.
— under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Buccaneers (4-6) @ Colts (5-5)
— Bucs lost five of last six games, but covered last four.
— Tampa Bay is 5-0 against spread on road (2-3 SU) this year.
— Bucs have 16 takeaways in ten games (+7 turnovers)
— Bucs ran ball for 96 yards/game in wins, 41-46-73-78-81-66 in losses.
— Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Bucs are 9-7-1 ATS in last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-2 in Tampa Bay’s games this season.
— Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS TY in games coming off a loss.
— Mayfield is 36-45 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— NFC South road underdogs are 8-3 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 4-4-2. Opponents’ team total: under 7-2-1

— Colts allowed 20 or less points in wins, 29+ in losses.
— Indianapolis won its last two games, scoring 13-6 points.
— QB Minshew is 11-19 as an NFL starter, 3-3 TY.
— Colts lost four of their five home games SU TY.
— In its last two games, Indy was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
— Colts are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.
— Colts are 9-12 ATS in last 21 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Over is 6-4 in Indy’s games this season.
— Indy is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 post-bye games.
— AFC South teams are 16-12 ATS outside the division.
— This is 7th year in row Colts have a different #1 QB
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5

— Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
— Favorites covered Bucs’ last three visits to Indianapolis.
— Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

Patriots (2-8) @ Giants (3-8)
— Unsure which QB is playing for the Patriots.
— Patriots lost six of their last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Patriots were outscored 99-43 in first half of those games.
— New England is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
— NE is 1-3 SU on road; the win was in this stadium (vs Jets).
— Since Brady left, NE is 27-33 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 82-98 without Brady.
— Mac Jones is 18-24 as an NFL starting QB.
— Last seven games, Patriots were outgained by 93.9 yards/game.
— Patriots are 6-3 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
— Under is 7-2-1 in New England games this season.
— AFC East teams are 9-16 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 9-1. Opponents’ team total: 6-4 over

— Giants lost three of their last four games.
— Last four weeks, Big Blue was outscored 68-17 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito was 18-26/246 passing LW, with 3 TD’s.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 10-57 on third down.
— Giants are averaging only 262.3 yards/game this season.
— Last seven games, Giants are +11 in turnovers.
— Giants are 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
— since 2018, Big Blue is 10-20-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games vs AFC opponents.
— Under is 8-3 in Giant games this season.
— NFC East teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 7-4. Opponents’ team total: over 6-5

— Teams split their last six meetings (NE won last two)
— Two of the Giants’ wins were in Super Bowls.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Jaguars (7-3) @ Texans (6-4)
— Jaguars won/covered six of their last seven games.
— Jacksonville scored 9-17-3 points in losses, 20+ points in wins.
— Under Pederson, Jags are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite.
— Jaguars are 5-4-1 ATS in last 10 AFC South road games.
— Last four games, opponents are 12-54 on third down.
— Jaguars converted only 15 of last 63 third down plays.
— Jaguars are minus-6 in turnovers in their losses (+5 in wins).
— Pederson is 63-51-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 19-25 as an NFL starter- he won a national title in college.
— Team total: over 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4

— Houston is 6-2 SU/5-3 ATS in its last eight games.
— Texans’ last four games were decided by 2-2-3-5 points.
— Houston led seven of its last eight games at halftime.
— Texans won last four home games, by 24-7-2-5 points.
— This year, Houston is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog.
— Last three weeks, Texans scored 30 points/game.
— Houston is 20-17-1 in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Stroud is 6-4 as an NFL starter.
— First five games, Texans were +5 in turnovers; last five games, minus-5
— Texans are 5-8 ATS in last 13 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 5-4-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3

— Houston (+8) won 37-17 at Jacksonville in Week 3.
— Texans won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Jaguars are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Houston.
— under is 4-1 in last five meetings played here.

Browns (7-3) @ Broncos (5-5)
— Browns are 5-1 since their bye week.
— Browns won/covered their last three games.
— Last five weeks, Cleveland ran ball for 142 yards/game.
— Cleveland has run 18.2 more plays/game than opponents TY.
— Browns are 3-9-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 5-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 allowing 24+.
— under Stefanski, Cleveland is 8-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Browns are 11-16-1 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less points.
— rookie QB Thompson-Robinson is 20-37/130 passing (no TD’s, 3 INT)
— Opponents have converted only 32-126 third down plays.
— under is 5-3 in last eight Cleveland games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 outside the division.
— Thompson-Robinson is now 1-1 as an NFL starter- Browns scored 3-13 points.
— Team total: over 7-2-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4

— Broncos won last four games, giving up 17-9-22-20 points.
— Denver won last week, despite scoring only one TD (kicked 5 FGs)
— Last three games, Denver is +9 in turnovers (11-2).
— Underdogs are 6-0 ATS in Denver’s home games this year
— Broncos outscored last three opponents 47-27 in first half.
— Last eight weeks, Broncos were outgained by 126.5 yards/game.
— Broncos are 6-12 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.
— Last five Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Russell Wilson is 122-76-1 as an NFL starter, 9-16 with Denver.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: under 6-4. Opponents’ team total: under 5-5

— Broncos won eight of last ten series games.
— Browns are 2-4 ATS last six visits to Denver.
— Over is 3-2-1 in last six meetings played here.

Rams (4-6) @ Cardinals (2-9)
— Rams lost four of their last six games (0-4 ATS last four).
— LA is 3-0 giving up 16 or less points, 1-6 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 1-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS at home this season.
— Rams are 3-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 78-35 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Rams are 2-6-2 ATS in last 10 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Stafford is 23-16 as a starter with the Rams.
— Rams are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games coming off a win.
— Under is 5-1 in Rams’ last six games.
— LA is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC West road games.
— Team total: under 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 6-3-1

— QB Murray is 39-62/426 passing in splitting his first two starts.
— Those two games were decided by total of 7 points.
— last three games, Cardinals are 7-33 on third down.
— Arizona is 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS last eight games
— Last nine games, Arizona gave up 26.3 ppg.
— Cardinals have lost 20 of last 24 games SU (10-11 ATS in last 21).
— Murray is 26-33-1 as an NFL starter.
— Arizona is 15-17 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
— Last seven games, Cardinals allowed 30 TD’s on 97 drives.
— Four of last six Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in last 12 NFC West home games.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5-1

— Rams ran ball for 179 yards in 26-9 home win over Arizona in Week 6.
— Rams won 13 of last 15 series games.
— LA covered its last eight visits to Arizona.
— over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Chiefs (7-3) @ Raiders (5-6)
— Short week, long travel for Chiefs after Monday night loss.
— Chiefs lost two of their last three games, after a 6-1 start.
— Last three games, Chiefs were outscored 38-0 in second half.
— KC has outscored opponents 172-66 in first half.
— Chiefs have 11 takeaways in their wins (+1), 3 in losses (minus-4)
— KC is 11-15-1 ATS in last 27 games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs held eight of last nine foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Chiefs are 4-6 ATS in last 10 AFC West road games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games.
— Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
— Mahomes is 82-22 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 8-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-2

— Las Vegas is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS since its coaching change.
— In those games, Raiders allowed 3 TD’s on 34 drives.
— Last two games, Raiders scored 2 TD’s on 24 drives.
— Home team won Raiders’ last eight games (7-1 ATS).
— Raiders won/covered their last four home games.
— Last five games, Las Vegas is 18-61 on third down.
— Raiders are 13-11-1 ATS last 25 games as a home underdog.
— Under is 9-2 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a loss.
— Las Vegas is 12-6 ATS in last 18 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 10-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-3

— Kansas City won 16 of last 19 series meetings.
— Chiefs won last five road series games (3-2 ATS)
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

Bills (6-5) @ Eagles (9-1)
— Buffalo is 3-4 SU in its last seven games (1-6 ATS).
— Buffalo fired OC Dorsey last week.
— Bills are 6-0 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up more than 20.
— Last six games, Buffalo has a minus-6 turnover ratio.
— Bills are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as a road underdog.
— Buffalo outscored last ten foes 152-62 in second half.
— Josh Allen is 53-34 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 21-16-1 ATS in last 38 games coming off a win.
— Buffalo is 2-5 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Buffalo is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC opponents.
— Team total: over 6-5. Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1

— Eagles won nine of first ten games (6-2-2 ATS)
— Weeks 1-5, Philly ran for 163.8 yards/game (80-99-59-73-114 last 5 games)
— Last six games, Philly is minus-5 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Eagles have 16 TD’s on 38 drives.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14 in the loss.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 34-14 SU.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 8-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
— Hurts is 34-14 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Eagles were minus-4 in turnovers in only loss (to Jets)
— Team total: over 6-3-1. Opponents’ team total: over 5-5

— Eagles won four of last five series games.
— Bills lost 23-20/17-9 in last two visits to Philly.
— Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.

Ravens (8-3) @ Chargers (4-6)
— Ravens won five of last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Last four games, Baltimore scored 15 TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last three games, they ran ball for 298-106-157 yards.
— Last eight games, Ravens outscored foes 146-38 in first half.
— Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as road favorite (0-2 TY)
— Ravens are 8-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +4 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 54-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s last five games.
— AFC North teams are 16-10-1 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 8-3. Opponents’ team total: under 7-3-1

— Chargers are 0-5 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— LA is 2-4 since its bye, with three losses by 3 points.
— Bolts scored 30-27-38-20 points in their last four games (2-2).
— under Staley, Chargers are 2-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— under Staley, Bolts are 9-9-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Chargers have ten takeaways (+7) in wins, three (minus-3) in losses.
— Herbert is 29-31 as an NFL starter.
— Opponents are 14-56 on 3rd down in LA wins, 32-73 in losses.
— Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Charger games.
— AFC West teams are 12-18 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 5-3-1. Opponents’ team total: under 5-4

— Baltimore won eight of last 12 meetings.
— Ravens are 4-2 ATS in last six road series games
— Last three meetings stayed under the total.