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Post by Gooba on Dec 28, 2023 9:02:08 GMT -5
Thursday’s NFL game
Jets (6-9) @ Browns (10-5)
— Jets won two of last three games, scoring 30-0-31 points.
— Last four games, Jets are minus-9 in turnovers (1-10)
— This season, Jets are 1-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Jets are 1-8 when they score less than 20 points.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 5-10 ATS as a coming off a win.
— Last 12 games, Jets converted 47-191 (24.6%) third down plays.
— QB Siemian is 14-17 as an NFL starter, for four different teams.
— Last two games, Jets were outscored 27-3 in second half.
— under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— AFC East underdogs are 8-12 ATS outsize the division.
— Team total: under 9-5-1. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Cleveland won/covered its last three games, by 4-3-14 points.
— Browns are 5-1 ATS as a home favorite TY.
— Flacco has completed 59.4% of passes (10 TD’s, 7 INTs).
— Flacco is 102-82 as NFL starter, 19th NFL QB ever with 100+ wins.
— Browns have started four different QB’s this season.
— Cleveland is 8-3 SU in last 11 games (6-2 ATS in last eight)
— Last six games, Browns were outscored 93-62 in second half.
— Last six weeks, Browns are 27-96 (28.1%) on third down.
— Last three weeks, Cleveland have five TD plays of 30+ yards.
— Browns are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— Browns are 7-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Opponents have converted only 58-203 (28.6%) third down plays.
— over is 4-1 in last five Cleveland games.
— AFC North favorites are 18-10 ATS outside the division.
— Team total: over 10-3-2. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Jets won seven of last nine series games.
— Jets covered four of last five visits to Cleveland.
— Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 28, 2023 9:02:45 GMT -5
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU (-10) at Boston College (@ Fenway Park, Boston)
SMU (11-2)
— SMU won its last nine games (5-3 ATS), scoring 43.8 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 26+ points in its wins this year.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 6-3 ATS as a favorite, 4-2 on road.
— last five years, SMU is 42-18 SU/30-29 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 59.9% of passes, with 28 TD’s, 8 INT.
— five of SMU’s last seven games went over total.
— AAC non-conference favorites are 6-6 ATS this year.
— SMU was in the AAC title game this year, for first time.
— SMU lost its last three bowls, were favored in all three;
— Mustangs’ last bowl win was in 2012.
Boston College (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last three games, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— BC is 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 allowing 27+.
— Eagles are 5-3 SU this year in one-score games.
— Last three games, BC averaged only 293.7 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved.
— soph QB has completed 57.1% of passes (15 TD’s, 13 INT)
— under Hafley, BC is 15-16 ATS as an underdog (3-4 TY).
— over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
— ACC non-conference underdogs are 9-10 ATS this season.
— BC hasn’t played in a bowl since 2019 (one in ’21 was cancelled).
— Eagles lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— This is the 2nd Fenway Bowl; favorite won/covered the first one.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-1 SU/ATS vs AAC opponents.
— Boston in December; weather could be a factor.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 28, 2023 9:03:14 GMT -5
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx)
Miami vs Rutgers (-1)
Miami FL (7-5)
— Miami is 1-3 in last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— ‘canes are 7-2 when they score 28+, 0-3 if they don’t.
— Last three years, Miami is 19-17 SU, 14-21 ATS.
— Last two games, Miami gained 486-532 TY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— starting QB Van Dyke bolted to Wisconsin.
— backup QB Williams is 44-71/470 passing (3 TDs, one INT)
— Miami is 2-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Miami is 3-0 ATS this year, in non-conference games.
— TY, ACC teams are 26-18 SU/22-22 ATS out of conference.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020
— ‘canes lost their last four bowls; last bowl win? 2016.
Rutgers (6-6)
— Rutgers lost its last four games, all by 19+ points.
— Knights scored 11.5 ppg in those four losses.
— Rutgers is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
— Rutgers threw for more than 180 yards in only one game TY.
— Knights are 0-6 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— Scarlet Knights are 4-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Rutgers is 9-3 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Big 14 teams are 22-11 SU/14-19 ATS out of conference.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
— This is only second bowl since 2014 for the Scarlet Knights.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— since 2020, Big 14 teams are 14-8 ATS vs ACC opponents.
— Big 14 teams beat ACC squads in last six Pinstripe Bowls.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
— Miami lost this bowl 35-3 five years ago.
— December in New York; weather could be an issue.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 28, 2023 9:03:47 GMT -5
Pop-Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
NC State vs Kansas State (-2.5)
NC State (9-3)
— NC State won its last five games, after a 4-3 start.
— Last five games, Wolfpack is +9 in turnovers.
— NC State was held to 24-10-3 points in its losses.
— State is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— This year, State is 6-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— This year, Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS as an underdog.
— six of their last nine games stayed under total.
— ACC underdogs are 9-11 ATS out of conference.
— NC State lost its last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.
Kansas State (8-4)
— K-State’s QB bolted to USC.
— Backup QB is 23-35/301 passing (3 TD’s, no INT)
— K-State split last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— Last seven games, K-State has a +13 turnover ratio.
— Wildcats are 7-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— K-State is 8-1 scoring 31+ points (27-21-30-35 in losses)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— Backup QB has run ball 44 times for 217 yards.
— K-State is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games
— Big X non-conference favorites are 11-14 ATS
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— ACC teams are 7-3 SU in last 10 Pop Tarts Bowls.
— Favorites covered this bowl six of last seven years.
— Last two years, Big X teams are 7-1-1 ATS vs ACC opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 28, 2023 9:05:52 GMT -5
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
Arizona (-2.5) vs Oklahoma
Arizona (9-3)
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU; they’re 9-3 this year.
— Arizona won its last six games, scoring 38.8 ppg.
— Last two games, Wildcats threw ball for 852 yards.
— Wildcats are 8-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last four years, Arizona is minus-32 in turnovers (even TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 73.6% of passes (23 TD’s, 5 INTs)
— Arizona is 5-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Arizona is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
— over is 3-0 in last three Arizona games.
— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 14-7 ATS.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— Wildcats are 3-2 in last five bowls (average total, 76.2)
Oklahoma (10-2)
— QB Gabriel bolted to Oregon.
— Sooners have impressive numbers, but w/o the QB, who knows?
— Oklahoma scored 53 ppg in its last three games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 1-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Oklahoma is +11 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— backup QB is 18-24/202 TY, with 2 TD’s, no INTs.
— Oklahoma allowed 20+ points in its last eight games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 6-1 ATS in non-conference games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Big X non-conference underdogs are 4-3 ATS this season.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— since 2018, Big X teams are 14-8 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Alamo Bowls.
— Oklahoma won this game 47-32 two years ago.
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