Post by Gooba on Dec 29, 2023 17:59:25 GMT -5
Sunday’s games
Patriots (4-11) @ Bills (9-6)
— Patriots won two of last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Four of NE’s last five losses were by six or fewer points.
— Patriots are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY)
— New England is 3-7 ATS in last ten games coming off a win (0-3 TY)
— Patriots are 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— New England is minus-7 in turnovers this year (+38 from 2019-22).
— Since Brady left, NE is 29-36 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 84-101 without Brady.
— Zappe is 4-2 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Patriots held five of last six opponents under 300 TY.
— Last three New England games went over the total.
— Team total: under 11-4. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Buffalo won/covered four of its last five games.
— Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
— Bills are 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a +3 turnover ratio (8-5).
— Last six games, Bills ran ball for 164 yards/game.
— Bills are 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite (4-3 TY).
— Buffalo outscored last five foes 82-33 in first half.
— Josh Allen is 56-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 13-14-2 ATS in last 29 games after a win.
— Five of Buffalo’s nine wins were by 10+ points.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Buffalo is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 AFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-7. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-1
— Bills (-8) lost 29-25 in Foxboro in Week 7.
— Bills have still won six of last eight series games.
— Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last ten visits to Buffalo.
Falcons (7-8) @ Bears (6-9)
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Heinicke is 13-14-1 as an NFL starter, 1-2 this year.
— Falcons are 22-45 on 3rd down in Heinicke’s starts.
— Falcons are 3-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Atlanta is 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— underdogs covered nine of Atlanta’s last 11 games.
— Atlanta is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games as a road dog.
— Falcons are 3-9-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last four games, Falcons were 41-93 (44.1%) on third down.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-2
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— Four of those six games were decided by 5 or less points.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
— Bears are 2-5 in one-score games this season.
— Chicago is 2-8 when it scores less than 27 points
— Bears ran ball for 250 yards LW, their most this season.
— Fields is 9-27 as an NFL starter.
— Bears led at halftime LW for first time since Week 7.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 15-34 SU/20-27-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as favorites.
— Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Six of their eight games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Falcons are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Raiders (7-8) @ Colts (8-7)
— Raiders are 4-3 SU/5-1-1 ATS since they changed coaches.
— Last two games, Las Vegas scored four defensive touchdowns.
— Raiders outscored last three opponents 59-7 in first half.
— Raiders didn’t scored offensive TD in two of last three games.
— Las Vegas didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter last week.
— Las Vegas is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Raiders are 0-3 ATS on artificial turf this year.
— Raiders are 4-2-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 11-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— QB O’Connell is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 12-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Indianapolis won/covered five of last seven games.
— Favorites covered their last eight games.
— Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 14-21 as an NFL starter, 6-5 TY.
— Colts are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In its last seven games, Indy was +8 in turnovers (13-5)
— Last five games, Colts converted only 19-65 on third down.
— Over is 7-3 in Indy’s last ten games.
— Colts are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Colts are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Team total: over 10-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Teams split last six series games.
— Raiders covered five of their last six visits to Indiana.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
Rams (8-7) @ Giants (5-10)
— Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS last six games, scoring 37-36-31-28-30 in last five.
— Last five weeks, LA gained 432.8 yards/game.
— Rams are 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 4-7 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 7-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 98-46 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Last five weeks, LA scored 17.8 ppg in first half, leading all five games.
— Stafford is 27-17 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 1-3 SU outdoors this season, scoring 20 ppg.
— under McVay, Rams are 28-34-2 ATS coming off a win, 4-2-1 TY.
— under McVay, Rams are 18-14 ATS as a road favorite, 1-0 TY.
— Four of Rams’ last five games went over the total.
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Giants lost last two games, giving up 24-33 points.
— Last eight weeks, Big Blue was outscored 105-40 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito got benched LW; will Tyrod Taylor start?
— DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter, Taylor 27-27-1.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 14-52 on third down.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Last 11 games, Giants are +14 in turnovers.
— TY, Giants are 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Big Blue is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Giant games.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-0 vs Giants, winning by combined 106-37
— McVay’s grandfather coached the Giants in the 70’s.
— Rams are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State.
— Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games.
Cardinals (3-12) @ Eagles (11-4)
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— In 4 of last 5 games, Arizona gave up 21+ points in first half.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS as a road dog TY (10-3 in 2021-22).
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 114-60 in first half.
— Last four games, Cardinals gave up 185.5 rushing yards/game.
— Cardinals lost 23 of last 28 games SU (11-14 ATS in last 25).
— Murray is 27-36-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last three games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
— Arizona is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Eagles are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four games.
— Last two games, Eagles ran ball for 178-170 yards.
— Last two games, Eagles outscored foes 30-6 in first half.
— Last three games, Philly is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (2-2-2 TY).
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19-13-17 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 36-17 SU.
— This year, Eagles are 3-3-3 ATS coming off a win.
— Hurts is 36-17 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 6-1 in Eagles’ home games.
— Eagles were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+2 in wins).
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight
— Arizona is 7-4 in last 11 series games.
— Cardinals are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Saints (7-8) @ Buccaneers (8-7)
— Saints lost four of their last six games (2-5 ATS last seven).
— Last two games, opponents are 6-28 on third down.
— Saints are 7-8, but have been an underdog in only 3 of 14 games.
— Saints outscored last four opponents 67-25 in second half.
— New Orleans is 6-3 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Saints are 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
— since 2018, New Orleans is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last seven games, Saints gave up 149.7 rushing yards/game.
— New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on its last 43 drives.
— over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four road games.
— Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in last five NFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Bucs are 2-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 6-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS at home this year.
— Bucs have 24 takeaways in 14 games (+10 turnovers)
— Last four games, opponents were 23-72 (31.9%) on third down.
— Buccaneers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five games.
— Last 2 weeks, Mayfield averaged 10.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Mayfield is 40-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC South home games.
— Team total: over 7-6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Bucs (+3) won 26-9 at New Orleans in Week 4.
— Tampa Bay won last three meetings, giving up 11.7 ppg.
— Saints are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five visits to Tampa.
— Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
49ers (11-4) @ Commanders (4-11)
— SF is 6-1 since its bye week (4-3 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19 in losses.
— 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers LW; Purdy threw four INTs.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 202-128 in 2nd half.
— SF ran for 168.6 yards/game in their last five games.
— 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— SF is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss (0-2 TY).
— Last five weeks, 49ers have 21 TD’s on 50 drives.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 18-5 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— unclear if Howell/Brissett will start at QB.
— Commanders fired their defensive coordinator last month.
— Since then, Washington allowed 31-45-45-28-30 points.
— Washington is 1-10 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last seven games, Commanders are minus-7 in turnovers (5-12).
— Washington is 11-16 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Last 13 games, Commanders were outscored 215-89 in 1st half.
— six of their last eight games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 6-10 as NFL starter; Brissett is 18-30.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 12-3
— 49ers won six of last eight series games.
— San Francisco won/covered three of last four visits here.
— Shanahan’s father used to coach the Redskins/Commanders.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Steelers (8-7) @ Seahawks (8-7)
— QB Rudolph (6-4-1 as NFL starter) was 17-27/290 passing last week.
— Steelers scored 34 points LW, 13.4 ppg in previous five games.
— They fired their offensive coordinator four weeks ago.
— Steelers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog (2-2 TY)
— Steelers are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— In their last three road games, Pittsburgh scored 10-16-13 points.
— Last four games, opponents are 26-58 (44.8%) on third down.
— Last week was only 4th time in 15 games Steelers led at halftime.
— Last three Steeler games went over the total.
— AFC North road underdogs are 5-3-1 ATS.
— Team total: under 7-5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Seattle won its last two games, both in last minute.
— Seahawks are 5-3 in one-score games this season.
— Seahawks are 8-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 115-36 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 13-27 third down plays.
— Seattle is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— Seahawks are 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Smith is 29-35 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 2-7 if they don’t.
— Seattle’s last three games stayed under the total.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-5-1 ATS outside their division.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Pittsburgh won four of last six series games.
— Steelers lost 39-30/23-16 in last two visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Panthers (2-13) @ Jaguars (8-7)
— Carolina lost seven of its last eight games (3-1 ATS last four).
— Panthers scored 30 points LW (no TD’s on 22 drives/previous two games)
— Carolina allowed 13-7 points in its two wins.
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants four weeks ago.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Last three years, Panthers are 8-14 as a road underdog
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 85-25 in first half.
— Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS this year in games following a loss.
— last 3 years, Panthers are 10-20-1 ATS in games following a loss.
— Last 2 games, Carolina averaged 5.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt, an improvement.
— Panthers are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Jacksonville lost last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— QB Lawrence is banged up (concussion/shoulder; check status)
— Jaguars are 4-12 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— Jaguars are 14-27-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off loss (2-4 TY).
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— Jaguars are minus-11 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-55-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-29 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Four of Jaguars’ last six games went over the total.
— Team total: over 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Carolina won four of last five series games.
— Favorites covered the last four meetings.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Dolphins (11-4) @ Ravens (12-3)
— Dolphins won five of their last six games SU.
— Miami is 1-3 SU vs teams that currently have winning record.
— Favorites are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Miami scored 30+ points in eight of 11 wins; 20-17-14-27 in losses.
— Last three games, Miami is +7 in turnovers (8-1).
— Dolphins averaged 7+ yards/pass attempt in five of last six games.
— Last 5 games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays (48.6%).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-11 ATS as an underdog (0-3 TY).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-7 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their last four true road games.
— Tagovailoa is 32-17 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Ravens won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Last eight games, Baltimore scored 24 TD’s on 81 drives.
— Last five games, they ran ball for 168 yards/game.
— Last 12 games, Ravens outscored foes 199-73 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— since 2018, Ravens are 17-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Ravens are 12-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 13-15 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +12 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 58-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last nine games.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4-1
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
Titans (5-10) @ Texans (8-7)
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points
— Tennessee is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2020, Titans are 11-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach four weeks ago.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-9 scoring 17 or less.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Titans are minus-7 in turnovers (10-17) so far this season.
— QB Tannehill is 82-73 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
— Titans are 9-5 ATS in last 14 AFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-3
— Check status: which QB starts, Stroud (concussion)/Keenum/Mills?
— Keenum is 30-35 as a starter, Mills 5-19-1, Stroud 7-6.
— Houston lost three of its last five games SU.
— Underdogs covered 10 of their last 13 games.
— Houston is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Texans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Last five games, Texans are +5 in turnovers (8-3).
— Houston is 4-2 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Texas are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Texans are 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Texans (+3) won 19-16 in OT at Tennessee two weeks ago.
— Texans won three of last four series games.
— Titans are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-10) @ Broncos (7-8)
— Chargers lost six of their last seven games.
— Chargers fired their coach/GM two weeks ago.
— Chargers are 0-6 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— QB Stick is 59-89/649 passing in his first two NFL starts.
— Chargers allowed 13 TD’s on opponents’ last 35 drives.
— Bolts are 1-5 ATS in last six games as an underdog.
— LA is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, six (minus-10) in losses.
— Opponents are 18-70 (25.7%) on 3rd down in LA wins, 58-129 (45%) in losses.
— Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Charger games.
— Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 4-2 last six. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver has benched QB Wilson for their last two games.
— Backup QB Stidham (0-2 as an NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Broncos lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Denver is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Broncos were outscored 37-20 in first half.
— Denver is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— since 2017, Broncos are 8-20-3 ATS as a home favorite
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
— Broncos are 12-15-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Seven of last ten Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Denver is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver (+3) beat Chargers 24-7 in SoFi three weeks ago.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
— Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Under is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.
Bengals (8-7) @ Chiefs (9-6)
— Bengals won three of last four games, with two OT wins.
— Last two weeks, Cincy was outscored 31-3 in first half.
— Over is 6-1 in Bengals’ last seven games.
— Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 2-6 allowing more than 2o.
— Last four games, Bengals are minus-3 in turnovers (3-6).
— Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Bengals are 2-3-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Backup QB Browning is completing 72% of passes (8 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— Browning is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
— Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over total.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Chiefs lost five of last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— KC gave up two defensive TD’s in 0:07 span vs Raiders Monday.
— Chiefs haven’t had a plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs are 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as home favorite (3-4 TY).
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
— Chiefs held 11 of last 13 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, KC converted 36-81 third down plays (44.4%)
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.
— Chiefs are 12-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss (4-1 TY).
— Mahomes is 84-25 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 11-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4
— Bengals won seven of last nine series games, but……..
— …….they lost 23-20 at Arrowhead in last year’s playoffs.
— Bengals are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Packers (7-8) @ Vikings (7-8)
— Green Bay lost two of last three games, giving up 29.3 ppg.
— Packers lost five of their last seven road games.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Last five games, Packers are +4 in turnovers (7-3)
— Packers are 5-5 TY in one-score games.
— Last six games, Green Bay is 51-105 (48.6%) on third down.
— Packers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
— Jordan Love is 7-9 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 2-4 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 149.6 rushing yards/game.
— Packers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— 4th-string QB Mullens (5-14 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Mullens is 57-82/797 passing (4 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— He is Vikings’ 4th starting QB in 15 games this year.
— Vikings lost four of last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Last four games, Minnesota scored seven TD’s on 41 drives.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 6-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 10-14-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss
— Last six games, Vikings outscored foes 58-35 in first half.
— Under is 5-2 in Minnesota’s home games.
— Vikings are 4-7 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-5-1
— Vikings (even) won 24-10 at Green Bay in Week 8.
— Packers won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-5 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Patriots (4-11) @ Bills (9-6)
— Patriots won two of last three games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Four of NE’s last five losses were by six or fewer points.
— Patriots are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY)
— New England is 3-7 ATS in last ten games coming off a win (0-3 TY)
— Patriots are 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC East road games.
— New England is minus-7 in turnovers this year (+38 from 2019-22).
— Since Brady left, NE is 29-36 SU in regular season, 0-1 in playoffs.
— In his career, Belichick is 84-101 without Brady.
— Zappe is 4-2 as an NFL starting QB, Mac James 18-26.
— Patriots held five of last six opponents under 300 TY.
— Last three New England games went over the total.
— Team total: under 11-4. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Buffalo won/covered four of its last five games.
— Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
— Bills are 8-0 giving up 20 or less points, 1-6 giving up more than 20.
— Last five games, Buffalo has a +3 turnover ratio (8-5).
— Last six games, Bills ran ball for 164 yards/game.
— Bills are 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games as home favorite (4-3 TY).
— Buffalo outscored last five foes 82-33 in first half.
— Josh Allen is 56-35 as an NFL starter.
— Bills are 13-14-2 ATS in last 29 games after a win.
— Five of Buffalo’s nine wins were by 10+ points.
— Three of their last four games went over the total.
— Buffalo is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 AFC East home games.
— Team total: over 7-7. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-1
— Bills (-8) lost 29-25 in Foxboro in Week 7.
— Bills have still won six of last eight series games.
— Patriots are 7-3 ATS in their last ten visits to Buffalo.
Falcons (7-8) @ Bears (6-9)
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Heinicke is 13-14-1 as an NFL starter, 1-2 this year.
— Falcons are 22-45 on 3rd down in Heinicke’s starts.
— Falcons are 3-2 SU/ATS since their bye week.
— Atlanta is 7-14-2 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
— underdogs covered nine of Atlanta’s last 11 games.
— Atlanta is 13-10 ATS in last 23 games as a road dog.
— Falcons are 3-9-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less points.
— Last four games, Falcons were 41-93 (44.1%) on third down.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.
— Team total: under 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: under 7-6-2
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— Four of those six games were decided by 5 or less points.
— Bears are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
— Bears are 2-5 in one-score games this season.
— Chicago is 2-8 when it scores less than 27 points
— Bears ran ball for 250 yards LW, their most this season.
— Fields is 9-27 as an NFL starter.
— Bears led at halftime LW for first time since Week 7.
— last 2+ years, Bears are 15-34 SU/20-27-2 ATS.
— Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as favorites.
— Chicago is 3-10 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
— Six of their eight games stayed under the total.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Falcons are 1-2 SU/0-3 ATS in last three visits to Chicago.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Raiders (7-8) @ Colts (8-7)
— Raiders are 4-3 SU/5-1-1 ATS since they changed coaches.
— Last two games, Las Vegas scored four defensive touchdowns.
— Raiders outscored last three opponents 59-7 in first half.
— Raiders didn’t scored offensive TD in two of last three games.
— Las Vegas didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter last week.
— Las Vegas is 3-3 ATS as a road underdog TY.
— Raiders are 0-3 ATS on artificial turf this year.
— Raiders are 4-2-1 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or less.
— Under is 11-3 in Raider games this season.
— Raiders are 16-13 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— QB O’Connell is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 12-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Indianapolis won/covered five of last seven games.
— Favorites covered their last eight games.
— Colts are 0-7 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— QB Minshew is 14-21 as an NFL starter, 6-5 TY.
— Colts are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
— In its last seven games, Indy was +8 in turnovers (13-5)
— Last five games, Colts converted only 19-65 on third down.
— Over is 7-3 in Indy’s last ten games.
— Colts are 10-9 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
— Colts are 6-7 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
— Team total: over 10-4-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Teams split last six series games.
— Raiders covered five of their last six visits to Indiana.
— Five of last six meetings went over the total.
Rams (8-7) @ Giants (5-10)
— Rams are 5-1 SU/ATS last six games, scoring 37-36-31-28-30 in last five.
— Last five weeks, LA gained 432.8 yards/game.
— Rams are 4-0 giving up 16 or less points, 4-7 giving up 19+ points.
— Rams are 7-3 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Rams were outscored 98-46 in 2nd halves of their losses.
— Last five weeks, LA scored 17.8 ppg in first half, leading all five games.
— Stafford is 27-17 as a starter with the Rams.
— LA is 1-3 SU outdoors this season, scoring 20 ppg.
— under McVay, Rams are 28-34-2 ATS coming off a win, 4-2-1 TY.
— under McVay, Rams are 18-14 ATS as a road favorite, 1-0 TY.
— Four of Rams’ last five games went over the total.
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Giants lost last two games, giving up 24-33 points.
— Last eight weeks, Big Blue was outscored 105-40 in first half.
— Rookie QB DeVito got benched LW; will Tyrod Taylor start?
— DeVito is 3-3 as an NFL starter, Taylor 27-27-1.
— Last four weeks, Giants are 14-52 on third down.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Last 11 games, Giants are +14 in turnovers.
— TY, Giants are 4-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
— Big Blue is 5-2 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Giant games.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Under McVay, Rams are 3-0 vs Giants, winning by combined 106-37
— McVay’s grandfather coached the Giants in the 70’s.
— Rams are 3-3 ATS in last six visits to the Garden State.
— Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games.
Cardinals (3-12) @ Eagles (11-4)
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— In 4 of last 5 games, Arizona gave up 21+ points in first half.
— Cardinals are 3-5 ATS as a road dog TY (10-3 in 2021-22).
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.
— Last seven games, Arizona was outscored 114-60 in first half.
— Last four games, Cardinals gave up 185.5 rushing yards/game.
— Cardinals lost 23 of last 28 games SU (11-14 ATS in last 25).
— Murray is 27-36-1 as an NFL starter.
— Last three games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
— Arizona is 12-11 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-6-1
— Eagles are 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS in last four games.
— Last two games, Eagles ran ball for 178-170 yards.
— Last two games, Eagles outscored foes 30-6 in first half.
— Last three games, Philly is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Eagles are 11-5-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite (2-2-2 TY).
— Eagles scored 21+ points in all of their wins, 14-19-13-17 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 36-17 SU.
— This year, Eagles are 3-3-3 ATS coming off a win.
— Hurts is 36-17 as an NFL starter.
— Over is 6-1 in Eagles’ home games.
— Eagles were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+2 in wins).
— Team total: over 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight
— Arizona is 7-4 in last 11 series games.
— Cardinals are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Philly.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Saints (7-8) @ Buccaneers (8-7)
— Saints lost four of their last six games (2-5 ATS last seven).
— Last two games, opponents are 6-28 on third down.
— Saints are 7-8, but have been an underdog in only 3 of 14 games.
— Saints outscored last four opponents 67-25 in second half.
— New Orleans is 6-3 scoring 20+ points, 1-5 scoring less than 20.
— Saints are 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games coming off a loss.
— since 2018, New Orleans is 13-5 ATS as a road underdog.
— Last seven games, Saints gave up 149.7 rushing yards/game.
— New Orleans scored 13 TD’s on its last 43 drives.
— over is 3-1 in Saints’ last four road games.
— Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in last five NFC South road games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Bucs are 2-6 when they allow more than 18 points.
— Bucs are 6-1 when they allow less than 18 points.
— Tampa Bay is 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS at home this year.
— Bucs have 24 takeaways in 14 games (+10 turnovers)
— Last four games, opponents were 23-72 (31.9%) on third down.
— Buccaneers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
— Over is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five games.
— Last 2 weeks, Mayfield averaged 10.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Mayfield is 40-46 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
— Bucs are 1-4 ATS in last five NFC South home games.
— Team total: over 7-6-2. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— Bucs (+3) won 26-9 at New Orleans in Week 4.
— Tampa Bay won last three meetings, giving up 11.7 ppg.
— Saints are 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five visits to Tampa.
— Four of last five series games stayed under the total.
49ers (11-4) @ Commanders (4-11)
— SF is 6-1 since its bye week (4-3 ATS), scoring 32.3 ppg.
— 49ers scored 27+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19 in losses.
— 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers LW; Purdy threw four INTs.
— 49ers have outscored opponents 202-128 in 2nd half.
— SF ran for 168.6 yards/game in their last five games.
— 49ers are 5-2-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— SF is 7-6 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss (0-2 TY).
— Last five weeks, 49ers have 21 TD’s on 50 drives.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 18-5 as NFL starter.
— Team total: over 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— unclear if Howell/Brissett will start at QB.
— Commanders fired their defensive coordinator last month.
— Since then, Washington allowed 31-45-45-28-30 points.
— Washington is 1-10 giving up more than 17 points, 3-1 giving up 17 or less.
— Last seven games, Commanders are minus-7 in turnovers (5-12).
— Washington is 11-16 ATS last 27 games coming off a loss.
— Last 13 games, Commanders were outscored 215-89 in 1st half.
— six of their last eight games went over the total.
— 2nd-year QB Howell is 6-10 as NFL starter; Brissett is 18-30.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: over 12-3
— 49ers won six of last eight series games.
— San Francisco won/covered three of last four visits here.
— Shanahan’s father used to coach the Redskins/Commanders.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Steelers (8-7) @ Seahawks (8-7)
— QB Rudolph (6-4-1 as NFL starter) was 17-27/290 passing last week.
— Steelers scored 34 points LW, 13.4 ppg in previous five games.
— They fired their offensive coordinator four weeks ago.
— Steelers are 14-10 ATS in last 24 games as a road dog (2-2 TY)
— Steelers are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
— Pittsburgh is 6-3 ATS in last nine games vs NFC teams.
— In their last three road games, Pittsburgh scored 10-16-13 points.
— Last four games, opponents are 26-58 (44.8%) on third down.
— Last week was only 4th time in 15 games Steelers led at halftime.
— Last three Steeler games went over the total.
— AFC North road underdogs are 5-3-1 ATS.
— Team total: under 7-5-3. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Seattle won its last two games, both in last minute.
— Seahawks are 5-3 in one-score games this season.
— Seahawks are 8-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seahawks were outscored 115-36 in second half of their losses.
— Last two games, Seattle converted 13-27 third down plays.
— Seattle is 12-17 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
— Seahawks are 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Smith is 29-35 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 2-7 if they don’t.
— Seattle’s last three games stayed under the total.
— NFC West home favorites are 6-5-1 ATS outside their division.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 7-7-1
— Pittsburgh won four of last six series games.
— Steelers lost 39-30/23-16 in last two visits to Seattle.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven meetings.
Panthers (2-13) @ Jaguars (8-7)
— Carolina lost seven of its last eight games (3-1 ATS last four).
— Panthers scored 30 points LW (no TD’s on 22 drives/previous two games)
— Carolina allowed 13-7 points in its two wins.
— Panthers fired their coach and two assistants four weeks ago.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— Last three years, Panthers are 8-14 as a road underdog
— Last six games, Panthers were outscored 85-25 in first half.
— Carolina is 2-7-1 ATS this year in games following a loss.
— last 3 years, Panthers are 10-20-1 ATS in games following a loss.
— Last 2 games, Carolina averaged 5.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt, an improvement.
— Panthers are 5-9 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 9-6
— Jacksonville lost last four games, giving up 29.5 ppg.
— QB Lawrence is banged up (concussion/shoulder; check status)
— Jaguars are 4-12 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite (2-2 TY)
— Jaguars are 14-27-1 ATS in last 42 games coming off loss (2-4 TY).
— under Pederson, Jaguars are 6-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— Jaguars are minus-11 in turnovers in their losses (+4 in wins).
— Pederson is 64-55-1 as a head coach (5-3 in playoff games).
— Lawrence is 20-29 as an NFL starter.
— Backup QB Beathard is 2-10 as an NFL starter (last start, 2020)
— Four of Jaguars’ last six games went over the total.
— Team total: over 7-7-1. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Carolina won four of last five series games.
— Favorites covered the last four meetings.
— Over is 3-2 in last five series games.
Dolphins (11-4) @ Ravens (12-3)
— Dolphins won five of their last six games SU.
— Miami is 1-3 SU vs teams that currently have winning record.
— Favorites are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Miami scored 30+ points in eight of 11 wins; 20-17-14-27 in losses.
— Last three games, Miami is +7 in turnovers (8-1).
— Dolphins averaged 7+ yards/pass attempt in five of last six games.
— Last 5 games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays (48.6%).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 9-11 ATS as an underdog (0-3 TY).
— Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-7 ATS coming off a win.
— over is 3-1 in their last four true road games.
— Tagovailoa is 32-17 as an NFL starter.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-6
— Ravens won four in row, eight of last nine games.
— Last eight games, Baltimore scored 24 TD’s on 81 drives.
— Last five games, they ran ball for 168 yards/game.
— Last 12 games, Ravens outscored foes 199-73 in first half.
— Baltimore is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— since 2018, Ravens are 17-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Ravens are 12-1 when they score 20+ points, 0-2 if they do not.
— Baltimore is 13-15 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
— Baltimore is minus-6 in TO’s in its losses, +12 in wins.
— Lamar Jackson is 58-22 as an NFL starter (1-3 in playoff games)
— over is 6-3 in Baltimore’s last nine games.
— Team total: over 10-5. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4-1
— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Dolphins are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Baltimore.
— Four of last five series games went over the total.
Titans (5-10) @ Texans (8-7)
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Their last four games were all decided by 3 or fewer points
— Tennessee is 2-4 ATS as a road underdog this year.
— since 2020, Titans are 11-8-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Tennessee fired its special teams coach four weeks ago.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-9 scoring 17 or less.
— Tennessee is 16-13-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
— Titans are minus-7 in turnovers (10-17) so far this season.
— QB Tannehill is 82-73 as an NFL starter.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.
— Titans are 9-5 ATS in last 14 AFC South road games (0-2 TY).
— Team total: under 10-5. Opponents’ team total: over 7-5-3
— Check status: which QB starts, Stroud (concussion)/Keenum/Mills?
— Keenum is 30-35 as a starter, Mills 5-19-1, Stroud 7-6.
— Houston lost three of its last five games SU.
— Underdogs covered 10 of their last 13 games.
— Houston is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
— Texans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.
— Last five games, Texans are +5 in turnovers (8-3).
— Houston is 4-2 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Texas are 2-6 when they allow 20+ points.
— over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Texans are 5-9 ATS in last 14 AFC South home games.
— Team total: under 8-6-1. Opponents’ team total: under 10-5
— Texans (+3) won 19-16 in OT at Tennessee two weeks ago.
— Texans won three of last four series games.
— Titans are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last four meetings stayed under the total.
Chargers (5-10) @ Broncos (7-8)
— Chargers lost six of their last seven games.
— Chargers fired their coach/GM two weeks ago.
— Chargers are 0-6 TY in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— QB Stick is 59-89/649 passing in his first two NFL starts.
— Chargers allowed 13 TD’s on opponents’ last 35 drives.
— Bolts are 1-5 ATS in last six games as an underdog.
— LA is 14-10-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).
— Chargers have 11 takeaways (+8) in wins, six (minus-10) in losses.
— Opponents are 18-70 (25.7%) on 3rd down in LA wins, 58-129 (45%) in losses.
— Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Charger games.
— Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in last eight AFC West road games.
— Team total: under 4-2 last six. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver has benched QB Wilson for their last two games.
— Backup QB Stidham (0-2 as an NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Broncos lost three of their last four games.
— Last four games, Denver is minus-4 in turnovers.
— Last four games, Broncos were outscored 37-20 in first half.
— Denver is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite this season.
— since 2017, Broncos are 8-20-3 ATS as a home favorite
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.
— Broncos are 12-15-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
— Seven of last ten Bronco games stayed under the total.
— Denver is 7-9-1 ATS in last 17 AFC West home games.
— Team total: under 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-7
— Denver (+3) beat Chargers 24-7 in SoFi three weeks ago.
— Broncos won seven of last ten series games.
— Chargers are 0-3-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Under is 8-5 in last 13 meetings.
Bengals (8-7) @ Chiefs (9-6)
— Bengals won three of last four games, with two OT wins.
— Last two weeks, Cincy was outscored 31-3 in first half.
— Over is 6-1 in Bengals’ last seven games.
— Bengals are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 2-6 allowing more than 2o.
— Last four games, Bengals are minus-3 in turnovers (3-6).
— Cincinnati is 6-2-1 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— Cincinnati is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Bengals are 2-3-1 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Backup QB Browning is completing 72% of passes (8 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— Browning is 3-2 as an NFL starter.
— Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over total.
— Team total: under 9-6. Opponents’ team total: over 8-7
— Chiefs lost five of last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— KC gave up two defensive TD’s in 0:07 span vs Raiders Monday.
— Chiefs haven’t had a plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs are 13-17 ATS in last 30 games as home favorite (3-4 TY).
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.
— Chiefs held 11 of last 13 foes under 5.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last four games, KC converted 36-81 third down plays (44.4%)
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games.
— Chiefs are 12-6 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss (4-1 TY).
— Mahomes is 84-25 SU as an NFL starter.
— Team total: under 11-3. Opponents’ team total: under 10-4
— Bengals won seven of last nine series games, but……..
— …….they lost 23-20 at Arrowhead in last year’s playoffs.
— Bengals are 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Arrowhead.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Packers (7-8) @ Vikings (7-8)
— Green Bay lost two of last three games, giving up 29.3 ppg.
— Packers lost five of their last seven road games.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Last five games, Packers are +4 in turnovers (7-3)
— Packers are 5-5 TY in one-score games.
— Last six games, Green Bay is 51-105 (48.6%) on third down.
— Packers are 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog (2-3 TY).
— Jordan Love is 7-9 as an NFL starter.
— Packers are 2-4 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
— Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
— Last seven weeks, Green Bay gave up 149.6 rushing yards/game.
— Packers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 NFC North road games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 8-6-1
— 4th-string QB Mullens (5-14 as NFL starter) gets nod here.
— Mullens is 57-82/797 passing (4 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— He is Vikings’ 4th starting QB in 15 games this year.
— Vikings lost four of last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Last four games, Minnesota scored seven TD’s on 41 drives.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)
— Vikings are 6-3 when they allow less than 27 points.
— Vikings are 10-14-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss
— Last six games, Vikings outscored foes 58-35 in first half.
— Under is 5-2 in Minnesota’s home games.
— Vikings are 4-7 ATS in last ten NFC North home games.
— Team total: over 8-7. Opponents’ team total: under 9-5-1
— Vikings (even) won 24-10 at Green Bay in Week 8.
— Packers won six of last nine series games.
— Green Bay is 2-5 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Minnesota
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
