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Post by Gooba on Jan 31, 2024 9:56:58 GMT -5
 San Francisco -1.5 Kansas City +1.5 Over / Under 47.5 Moneyline San Francisco -130 Kansas City +110 |
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Post by Gooba on Jan 31, 2024 10:05:09 GMT -5
49ers vs. Chiefs betting trends
49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
The OVER is 6-3 in the 49ers' last nine games
Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games
The UNDER is 5-1 in the Chiefs' last six games
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. NFC West opponents
49ers vs. Chiefs injury reports
San Francisco 49ers injury report
Kalia Davis - DT - IR-R
Kansas City Chiefs injury report
Charles Omenihu - DE - Out
Kadarius Toney - WR - Questionable
Willie Gay - LB - Questionable
Joe Thuney - G - Questionable
Prince Tega Wanogho - OR - IR-R
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Post by Gooba on Feb 2, 2024 13:48:06 GMT -5
TwinSpires Sportsbook opened the Niners -2.5 Sunday night and quickly dipped to -1.5, then got to -1 Monday. San Francisco has since rebounded to -2, but make no mistake, it's all Kansas City early.
"No surprise, the majority of the bets coming in are on the Chiefs, spread and moneyline," TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. "Despite the 49ers being a worse decision for us in the futures market, I'd expect we'll still need them come kickoff, with how popular K.C. is."
The Chiefs are taking 78% of early spread tickets/77% of early spread money. Similarly on the moneyline, it's 70% tickets/82% money on Kansas City. The moneyline is currently at San Fran -129/K.C. +107.
TwinSpires' total is painted to 47.5, with no movement since Sunday night. The Over is netting 63% of early tickets/60% of early money.
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Post by Gooba on Feb 8, 2024 9:09:43 GMT -5
Super Bowl
Chiefs (14-6) vs 49ers (14-5) (-2.5) (@ Las Vegas)
— Chiefs won their last five games, giving up 14 ppg.
— Chiefs are 4-4 SU vs teams that made the playoffs.
— Kansas City is 8-5 TY in one-score games.
— Chiefs were +3 in turnovers in AFC title game, their first plus turnover game since Week 6.
— In last 14 games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers.
— Since 2019, Chiefs are 13-2 in playoff games, winning two Super Bowls.
— Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games.
— coach Reid is 25-16 in playoff games, 15-7 with KC.
— Mahomes is 88-25 SU as an NFL starter, 14-3 in playoffs.
— AFC West underdogs are 8-8-2 ATS outside the division.
— 49ers are 9-2 since their bye week (5-6 ATS).
— SF trailed NFC title game 24-7 at halftime.
— 49ers scored 24+ points in wins, 17-17-17-19-20 in losses.
— 49ers are 9-9-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
— 49ers are 3-3 TY in one-score games.
— SF is 7-3 SU vs teams that made the playoffs
— Over is 6-3 in their last eight games.
— 2nd-year QB Purdy is 21-5 as NFL starter, 4-1 in playoffs.
— Coach Shanahan is 72-54 as a head coach, 8-3 in playoffs.
— since 2012, 49ers are 12-5 SU in playoff games, 5-5 away from home.
— NFC West favorites are 11-11-1 ATS outside the division.
— Over the last 22 Super Bowls, #1-seeds are 2-9 when playing an opponent who wasn’t a #1-seed. 49ers are a #1-seed, the Chiefs aren’t.
— Kansas City won five of last six series games.
— Chiefs beat the 49ers 44-34 in Santa Clara LY; they outscored SF 30-10 in 2nd half.
— Chiefs beat the 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl, four years ago.
— AFC won six of the last nine Super Bowls.
— Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 Super Bowls.
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Post by Gooba on Feb 11, 2024 14:01:12 GMT -5
With 7.5 hours until the biggest spectacle Las Vegas has ever seen gets underway, Caesars Sports has the 49ers as 1.5-point favorites on the Super Bowl 58 odds board. Caesars opened the Niners -2 on Jan. 28 and, like everybody else that same night, quickly fell back to -1.
San Francisco was painted at -2 from Jan. 30 until midafternoon Saturday, when Caesars shortened to -1.5.
Spread tickets and money are both in the 2/1 range on Kansas City. On the moneyline, 70% of tickets/61% of dollars are on the Chiefs.
Caesars VP of trading Craig Mucklow was in full Taylor Swift form this morning in analyzing the game.
"The bettors are the Chiefs' 'Lover,' which has made the book 49ers fans when including futures payouts," Mucklow said. "We are looking at Travis Kelce to 'Shake It Off' from his recent run of form and have a less-than-average game.
"On the 49ers' side, Kyle Juszczyk and Christian McCaffrey are popular to let the 49er bettors go back to California in 'Style.'"
As for the total, Caesars opened at 48 and has been pinned to 47.5 pretty much the entire past two weeks. Tickets and money are just beyond 2/1 on the Over.
And an interesting note from Caesars Sports on player props: Kelce and McCaffrey both have more Anytime Touchdown tickets than 49ers spread and moneyline tickets combined.
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Post by Gooba on Feb 11, 2024 14:01:59 GMT -5
Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said Kansas City is taking 62% of spread tickets and 72% of moneyline tickets.
"The larger wagers have been on the 49ers. All the six-figure wagers are on the Niners," Esposito said, noting Station took two six-figure spread bets – at Niners -1 and -1.5 – and one six-figure play on San Fran moneyline -130.
But as noted by ticket counts, Kansas City is plenty popular, as is the Over, which is getting 71% of tickets. The total remains painted to 47.5.
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