Sunday’s games
Chargers @ Steelers (-2)
Chargers (2-0)
Chargers won first two games, allowing one TD on 23 drives.
Chargers outscored their opponents 22-6 in second half.
Since 2019, Bolts are 14-16-5 ATS coming off a win.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
Since 2019, Chargers are 8-9-2 ATS as road underdogs.
Chargers outrushed first two opponents, 395-161.
Since 2019, Chargers are 8-25-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
QB Herbert is 32-33 as an NFL starter.
Under is 2-0 in their first two games.
Steelers (2-0)
Steelers won first two games, allowing one TD on 18 drives.
Pittsburgh is +5 in turnovers in its first two games.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
Steelers have only one TD on 21 drives (8 field goals).
QB Fields is 12-28 as an NFL starter (2-0 with Steelers).
Pittsburgh is 10-6-1 in its last 17 games coming off a win.
Steelers are 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Steelers outrushed first two opponents, 278-153.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Chargers are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 4-2 in last six series games.
Bears @ Colts (-1.5)
Bears (1-1)
Bears split first two games, scoring one offensive TD on 21 drives.
Chicago was outgained 554-353 in those games.
Rookie QB Williams averaged 3.0/3.0 yards/pass in his two games.
Team total: under 1-0-1
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
Bears are 10-15-1 ATS in last 26 games as road underdogs.
Chicago has converted 8-30 third down plays.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-5-1 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Chicago is 4-7-2 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Bears have been outscored 33-13 in first half of games.
Colts (0-2)
Colts lost their first two games by total of eight points.
Indy have completed only 26-53 passes, but for 16 yards/reception.
Colts have been outscored 22-7 in first half of games.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Indy is 17-13-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Richardson is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Colts are 9-11-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 8-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
First two games, Indy was outgained by 79.5 yards/game.
Colts won four of last six series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in Indianapolis.
Colts (-7) beat Chicago 29-17 in Super Bowl in 2006.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Texans (-2.5) @ Vikings
Texans (2-0)
Texans won first two games, by total of eight points.
Houston outgained its opponents by 114/105 yards.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Since 2016, Texans are 2-8-2 ATS as road favorites.
Houston is 4-8 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 12-7 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 13-11-2 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Houston is 5-12-1 ATS in last 18 games vs NFC opponents.
Vikings (2-0)
Minnesota won first two games, giving up two TD’s on 21 drives.
Vikings outscored first two opponents 27-10 in first half.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
QB Darnold is 23-35 as an NFL starter, 2-0 with Vikings.
Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Vikings are 12-10-3 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.
Vikings won/covered all five meetings.
Texans lost 31-13/28-21 in two visits to Minnesota.
Over is 5-2 in series games.
Giants @ Browns (-6.5)
Giants (0-2)
Giants lost first two games, scoring three TD’s on 18 drives.
Giants didn’t allow a TD last week, but gave up seven FG’s.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
In their two games, Giants were outgained by 72-121 yards.
Under Daboll, Giants are 12-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Daboll, Giants are 7-2-1 ATS vs AFC opponents.
QB Jones is 23-39-1 as an NFL starter.
Giants have been outscored 26-9 in second half of games.
Browns (1-1)
Cleveland split its first two games, scoring 17-18 points.
Browns are 4-29 on 3rd down so far, 6-8 on 4th down.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Browns were 6-0 ATS as home favorites LY (7-12-1 from 2020-22)
QB Watson is 38-32 as an NFL starter, 9-5 with Browns.
Cleveland is 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Cleveland is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Over is 3-0 in Browns’ last three road openers.
Giants won four of six series games.
Giants won two of last three visits to Cleveland.
Under is 4-2 in series games.
Eagles @ Saints (-2.5)
Eagles (1-1)
Short week/travel for Eagles after their Monday night loss.
Eagles’ first two games were decided by total of six points.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0
First two games, Philly gave up 163/152 yards rushing.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-9 ATS as an underdog.
QB Hurts is 37-21 as an NFL starter.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-9 ATS coming off a loss.
Opponents have converted only 5-20 third down plays.
Saints (2-0)
Saints won their first two games, scoring 47-44 points.
New Orleans has 11 touchdowns on 20 drives.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
First two games, Saints averaged 8.3/14.2 yards/pass.
First two games, Saints ran ball for 180/190 yards.
Last 3+ years, New Orleans is 8-14-2 ATS coming off a win.
QB Carr is 74-88 as an NFL starter.
Under is 16-7 in their last 23 road games.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Eagles’ last visit to New Orleans was in 2018.
Eagles lost last three visits here; their last win in NO was 2007.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 series games.
Broncos @ Buccaneers (-6.5)
Broncos (0-2)
Denver lost first two games, by 6-7 points.
Rookie QB Nix averaged 3.3/6.2 yards/pass attempt in his first 2 NFL starts.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Denver is 8-10 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog.
Denver is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games vs NFC opponents.
First two games, Broncos were outrushed, 287-163
Broncos are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Under is 15-10 in their last 25 road games.
Buccaneers (2-0)
Tampa Bay won its first two games, scoring six TD’s on 18 drives.
Bucs are 11-23 on third down in two games.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Bucs are 4-1-1 ATS in las tis games as a home favorite.
QB Mayfield is 44-48 as an NFL starter, 12-9 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 10-8-1 in last 19 games vs AFC opponents.
Last three years, under is 16-9 in Tampa Bay road games.
Bucs won in Detroit LW, despite being outgained 463-216.
Denver won four of last five meetings.
Broncos won 27-7/16-13 in last two visits to Tampa.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Packers @ Titans (-3)
Packers (1-1)
QB Willis was 12-14/144 in his first start for Packers LW.
Willis was 1-2 as a starter for Tennessee in 2022.
Titans traded Willis to Green Bay August 26.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Green Bay is 20-9 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
First two games, Packers ran ball for 163/261 yards.
Under is 16-9 in Green Bay’s last 25 true road games.
Former Boston College HC Hafley is Green Bay’s new DC.
First two games, opponents are 6-23 on third down.
Titans (0-2)
Titans have been outscored 38-7 in second half of games.
Tennessee had a punt blocked in both games.
Titans are minus-4 in turnovers, plus the two blocked punts.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-0-1
Tennessee is 13-15 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite.
Titans outgained both its opponents, by 101-35 yards.
Tennessee is 15-12-1 ATS in last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
QB Levis is 3-8 as an NFL starter.
Titans have an all-new coaching staff.
Titans won five of last seven series games.
Packers are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in last three visits to Tennessee.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Panthers @ Raiders (-5)
Panthers (0-2)
Carolina is switching QB’s, from 2nd year QB Young to veteran Dalton
Dalton is 83-82-2 as an NFL starter, mostly with Cincinnati.
Former Bengals HC Marvin Lewis is a Raiders assistant.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0
Dalton started one game for the Panthers last year.
Carolina lost first two games this year, 47-10/26-3.
Panthers are 1-8-1 ATS in last 10 games as a road underdog.
Last 3+ years, Carolina is 5-11 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Panthers are 2-22 on third down, opponents 16-29.
Raiders (1-1)
Raiders (+9) scored on 5 of last 6 drives, upset Ravens 26-23 LW.
Las Vegas was 6-2 ATS LY in game following their wins.
Raiders have converted only 9-26 third down plays.
Last two years, Raiders are 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Raiders gave up 176/151 rushing yards in their two games.
First two games, Las Vegas was outrushed by 71.5 yards/game.
Las Vegas is 3-6 ATS in its last nine home openers.
Since start of 2020, Raiders are minus-32 in turnovers in 69 games.
QB Minshew is 16-23 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Raiders won five of last seven meetings.
Raiders’ last four series wins were all by 4 or fewer points.
Carolina is 1-2 SU/2-1 ATS in last three road series games.
Dolphins @ Seahawks (-5.5)
Dolphins (1-1)
Backup QB Thompson replaces injured Tagvailova (concussion)
Thompson is 1-1 as an NFL starter; those games were in 2022.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in last nine road openers.
Miami is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC opponents.
Dolphins have only three TD’s on 21 drives this year.
Miami has been outscored 41-17 in first half of games.
Seahawks (2-0)
Seattle won its first two games, by 6-3 points.
Seahawks are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as home favorites.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0
QB Smith is 32-37 as an NFL starter, 20-18 with Seattle.
Seahawks held first two opponents to 3.0/4.2 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks are 11-19-2 in last 32 games coming off a win.
Seattle is 11-7-3 ATS last 21 games vs AFC opponents.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Dolphins are 1-2 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Seattle.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
Lions (-3) @ Cardinals
Lions (1-1)
Lions split first two games, decided by total of 7 points.
Last week, Detroit was in red zone seven times, scored only 16 points.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
Lions are 13-26 on third down, opponents 7-22.
Goff is 27-25-1 as Detroit’s QB (was 44-30 with Rams)
Detroit is 5-3 ATS in last eight road openers.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers.
Cardinals (1-1)
Arizona split its first two games, scoring 28-41 points.
Cardinals have 7 touchdowns on 17 drives.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
QB Murray is 29-38-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home dog.
In two games, Arizona is 14-24 on third down.
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in last seven games coming off a win.
Detroit is 4-0-1 SU in last five series games.
Lions are 2-8 ATS in last ten visits to Arizona.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Ravens @ Cowboys (-1.5)
Ravens (0-2)
Baltimore lost its first two games, by 7-3 points.
Ravens are 0-2 for the first time since 2015.
Ravens are 16-4 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0
Since 2017, Ravens are 15-5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Baltimore’s last six regular season games.
QB Jackson is 60-25 as an NFL starter.
Last 4+ years, Baltimore is 12-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Ravens are 11-7 ATS in last 18 road games.
Cowboys (1-1)
Cowboys lost 44-19 at home LW, giving up 14.2 yards/pass attempt.
Last three years, Dallas is 11-3 ATS coming off a loss.
Team total: over 2-0
Opponents’ team total:over 1-1
Dallas is 16-8 ATS in last 24 games as a home favorite.
QB Prescott is 76-47 as an NFL starter.
Dallas is 7-5 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cowboys are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 32-17 in last 49 Dallas home games.
Baltimore won five of last six series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in Dallas.
Over is 4-0-1 in last five series games.
49ers (-7) @ Rams
49ers (1-1)
49ers split first two games, getting upset 23-17 at Minnesota LW.
49ers have converted only 8-23 third down plays.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 1-0-1
49ers are 9-6 ATS in last fifteen games off a loss.
QB Purdy is 22-6 as an NFL starter.
Since 2020, San Francisco is 15-11-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last five years, 49ers are 10-4-1 ATS in NFC West road games.
Rams (0-2)
Rams have pretty severe injury problems all over the roster.
Arizona outgained them 489-245 in last week’s 41-10 loss.
Under McVay, Rams are 23-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 1-1
Rams have been outrushed 394-136 in two games.
Rams are 7-23 on third down, opponents 13-32.
LA is 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine NFC West home games.
Rams lost last two home openers, 31-10/30-23.
QB Stafford is 28-20 as Rams’ QB (was 74-93-1 with Detroit).
49ers are 9-2 SU/8-2-1 ATS in last ten series games.
49ers are 5-1 SU/5-0-1 ATS in last six visits to LA.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Chiefs (-4).@ Falcons
Chiefs (2-0)
Chiefs pulled out pair of close home wins, 27-20/26-25.
Kansas City won both games despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
Team total: under 2-0
Opponents’ team total: over 2-0
Last 4+ years, KC is 13-16-1 ATS as a road favorite.
QB Mahomes is 91-25 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 10-5 ATS in last 15 regular season games vs NFC teams.
Last six years, Chiefs are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in road openers.
Over is 16-9 in their last 25 road games.
Falcons (1-1)
Short week for Atlanta after their dramatic win late Monday night.
Falcons are 4-18 on third down, opponents 14-30.
Team total: over 1-1
Opponents’ team total: under 2-0
Atlanta scored five of last six times they had ball Monday night.
Last two years, Falcons were 4-0-1 ATS as a home underdog.
New QB Cousins is 78-71-2 as an NFL starter.
Raheem Morris is 22-39 as an NFL head coach.
Kansas City won last two meetings, 17-14/29-28.
Chiefs are 2-1 SU/ATS in last three visits to Atlanta.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
