THE RED SHEET
SEPTEMBER 28, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 5
Byu 38 - BAYLOR 26 - (12:00 EDT) -- Line opened at Baylor minus 2?, and is now +3?. A pair of teams headed in the
opposite direction, with the Cougars perfect both SU & ATS (+215?, +10, & +36? pt covers), with
an accumulative 90-38 pt margin. Their win over KansasSt, came via the turnover (3-0 advantage),
which overcame a 228-92 RY shortage. The Bears can't seem to get over the hump, which has them
on a downward trend: 12-2 in '21, 6-7 in '22, & 3-9 in '23. Opening wins over Tarelton, Air Force, &
KansasSt, had them as poll also rans, but now by the board. And BU has a pair of revengers up next.
RATING: BYU 89
DUKE 49 - North Carolina 37 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Duke minus 3, and is now minus 2?. Seems illogical that a
team off allowing 70 Points would be installed as such a minuscule underdogs the following week, but
that's what the Boys from Vegas decided, & who are we to complain, especially with a team which has
been a splendid homester, as these 'Devils, who are 25-11 ATS in the homestead. Not only that, but
the Tar Heels are on a 0-8-1 spread run (-125? pts ATS), while allowing 30 or more pts in 24 of their
last 30 games. Imps have always been a bit streaky, so why not jump on this high-rolling team.
RATING: DUKE 89
BOSTON COLLEGE 31 - Western Kentucky 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at BostonCollege minus 11, and is now minus
12?. This selection is "by the book" as the Eagles of BC are one of the most successful underdogs in
the land year-by-year. Not only that, but the accompanying "visitor" label has been firmly attached to
the guest in Eagle contests, which now stands at 10-1 ATS. The Hilltoppers have been overhead
giants, with this year's 1,177 PYs the norm. WKy is in off posting 16-0 windup, to nail win vs Toledo.
RATING: WESTERN KENTUCKY 88
JAMES MADISON 56 - Ball State 17 - (1:30) -- Line opened at James Madison minus 19, and is now minus 20?. Yet
another Red Sheet large line chalk. For those weak of heart, laying 3 TDs is cause for worry. But not
with a team which is coming in after waxing North Carolina for 70 pts, along with 611 yds. That one
may have turned a few heads when the 'Heels were pegged as 10? chalks. But UNC has been a
defensive pawn over the last half dozen years which is exactly what JMadison is not. Lay the 3 TDs.
RATING: JAMES MADISON 88
PENN STATE 30 - Illinois 24 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Penn State minus 17?, and is still minus 17?. One peek at the
spread placed on this one may have more than a few questions, as 9th-rated Nittanys seem to have it
over the Illini, in just about ever category, such as last week's 56-0 drubbing of hapless Kent St, with
.40-6 FD, 309-49 RY, & 718-67 TY edges. Simply awesome. However, the Illini are a sticky team as
8 of last 9 games have been decided SU by 3, 4, 1, 3, 2, 2, 26,& 2 (OT), with QB Altmyer is at 10/0.
RATING: ILLINOIS 88
Minnesota Vikings 30 - GREEN BAY 17 - (1:00 - CBS) -- Line opened at Green Bay minus 2?, and is still minus 2?.
Our earlier Pointwise writeup on this game has stood the test, with little to add, except for its inclusion
on the Red Sheet. Three straight with 160+ RYs for the Packers (first time since 2003. That's a
pretty notable stat, which makes this one all the more important. Minny got a career high 4 TD passes
from Darnold in upset of San Fran, making it six straight wins & covers for Vikes, including preseason.
RATING: MINNESOTA VIKINGS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Ohio St, Iowa St, SMU, Kansas St, -- NFL: Pittsburgh, Chicago, Arizona, Miami
