Saturday’s games
Missouri @ Texas A&M (-2.5)
Missouri (4-0, 1-0)
First road game for Mizzou, which nipped Vandy 30-27 in SEC opener
Tigers have gained 466.7 yards/game in their I-A games.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 107 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Cook has started 26 games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 7-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 19-16 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 14-15-1 ATS coming off a win.
Last two years, Tigers were 7-2 ATS on the road.
Texas A&M (4-1, 2-0)
A&M won last three I-A games, after a 23-13 loss to Notre Dame.
LW, Aggies were outgained 379-297, but edged Arkansas 21-17.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Reed is 43-79/585 passing, with 6 TD’s, no INTs
A&M is 24-24-3 ATS in its last 51 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 4-7-3 ATS in last 14 games going off a win.
Last three games, A&M ran ball for 226.3 yards/game.
Missouri won five of last seven series games.
Tigers won/covered last three visits to College Station.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Pittsburgh (-2.5) @ North Carolina
Pittsburgh (4-0)
Pitt is 3-0 vs I-A teams, despite giving up 24-27-34 points.
Panthers won their only road game, 28-27 at Cincinnati.
Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Panthers have 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Holstein was 20-35/302 passing LW, with three TD’s.
Last five years, Pitt is 11-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Favorites are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Pitt has passed for 317.3 yards/game vs I-A opponents.
Last two years, Panthers are 7-9 ATS in ACC games.
Panthers are 5-8 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
North Carolina (3-2, 0-1)
North Carolina lost its last two games, 70-50/21-20.
LW, Tar Heels led Duke 20-0 with 6:00 left in 3rd quarter.
Tar Heels have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Tar Heels have 59 returning starts on OL, 49 from one guy.
Junior QB Johnson started 22 games, at LSU/Texas A&M.
Tar Heels are a home underdog for first time in four years.
In his career, Mack Brown is 21-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Tar Heels are 10-16 ATS in ACC games.
Carolina is 6-9 ATS in its last fifteen home games.
UNC gave up 300+ passing yards in two of last three I-A games.
North Carolina is 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS in last ten series games.
Pitt is 0-5 SU/1-4 ATS in last five visits to Chapel Hill.
Over is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Wake Forest @ NC State (-5.5)
Wake Forest (1-3, 0-1)
Wake is 0-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 31-40-41 points.
Deacons gave up 515.3 yards/game in those three losses.
Deacons have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wake Forest has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bachmeier had 37 starts at Boise State/Louisiana Tech.
Since 2015, Wake is 18-12 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Wake is 7-9-1 ATS in conference games.
Deacons are 9-8 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Giving up 466 yards to a Sun Belt team LW is a red flag.
Wake did score 30-6-38 points in the three losses.
NC State (3-2, 0-1)
Wolfpack is 3-2, giving up 51-59 points in the losses.
State is +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB McCall started 41 games at Coastal Carolina.
Wolfpack is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
State lost its ACC opener 59-35 at Clemson.
Since 2020, Wolfpack is 20-15 ATS in ACC games.
State is 0-4 ATS in its I-A games this season.
Over is 3-1 in their I-A games.
NC State won three of last four meetings.
Deacons are 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven visits to Raleigh.
Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Ole Miss (-9.5) @ South Carolina
Ole Miss (4-1, 0-1)
Ole Miss got upset by Kentucky LW; they had been ranked #7
Rebels ran for 92 yards LW (250 yards/game previous three games).
Rebels have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Rebels have 222 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dart has started 25 games.
Ole Miss won its only road game, 40-6 at Wake Forest.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 8-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 18-16-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 6-7 ATS coming off a loss.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 14-18-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 4-0 in Ole Miss games this season.
South Carolina (3-1, 1-1)
Gamecocks’ only loss was 36-33 at home to LSU.
Last two games, Carolina ran ball for 243-273 yards.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Gamecocks have 118 returning starts on the offensive line.
Freshman QB Sellers threw four passes in three games LY.
Since 2018, Gamecocks are 8-12 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Beamer is 5-4 ATS as a home dog.
Last 4+ years, Carolina is 17-19 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 11-10 ATS coming off a win.
These teams are playing for first time since 2020.
South Carolina won three of last four series games.
This is Rebels’ first visit to Columbia since 2009.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Virginia Tech (-7.5) @ Stanford
Virginia Tech (3-2, 0-1)
Tech lost its last two games, by 3-4 points.
Hokies scored 31-37 points in their two wins.
Hokies have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Drones started 11 games last year.
Under Pry, Tech is 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2018, Tech is 5-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Pry, Hokies are 10-6 ATS in ACC games.
Under Pry, Hokies are 9-7 ATS coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in Tech games this season.
Stanford (2-2, 1-1)
Stanford split its first two ACC games, both on the road.
Last 3+ years, Stanford is 3-9/3-9/3-9/2-2 SU, 10-27 ATS
Cardinal has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Stanford has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels started 10 games last year.
Stanford is 5-11 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Last 3+ years, Stanford is 10-21 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, Stanford is 8-21 ATS in conference games.
Cardinal gave up 309 passing yards/game in their I-AA tilts.
Stanford’s only I-A win was 26-24 at Syracuse.
These teams haven’t met since a bowl game in 2010.
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State (-3)
West Virginia (2-2, 1-0)
WVU won its Big X opener 32-28 LW, scoring TD with 0:26 left.
WVU lost 38-34 at Pitt the week before that.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 10-11 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brown is 19-13 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 21-24 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 11-17 ATS in games coming off a win.
West Virginia gave up 34-38-28 points in their three I-A games.
Oklahoma State (3-2, 0-2)
OSU lost its last two games, 22-19/42-20.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 3 of 4 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
OSU is 1-5 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
Oklahoma State is 18-12 ATS in its last 30 Big X games.
Cowboys are 17-10-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559 yards in its two Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Oklahoma won eight of last nine series games.
WVU is 1-3 SU/ATS in last four visits to Stillwater.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Clemson (-14.5) @ Florida State
Clemson (3-1, 2-0)
Clemson won its last three games, scoring 66-59-40 points.
Clemson lost its opener 34-3 to Georgia on a neutral field.
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tigers have 106 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Klubnik has 14 career starts.
Last four years, Clemson was 8-9 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Swinney is 31-29-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Tigers are 12-7 ATS in their last 19 ACC games.
Tigers are 14-16 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Clemson is +7 in turnovers.
Florida State (1-4, 1-3)
Florida State is 1-4, with only win 14-9 at home over Cal.
Last four games, FSU was held to 13-12-14-16 points.
FSU has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Seminoles have 190 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Glenn get first ’24 start; he started twice LY.
Seminoles was outgained 410-284 by Cal, in their one win.
Florida State was held under 300 TY in all five games.
Under Norvell, FSU is 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Seminole games this season.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 12-17 ATS coming off a loss.
Clemson won seven of last eight meetings.
FSU beat the Tigers 31-24 LY at Clemson.
Clemson is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last four visits to Tallahassee.
Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games.
Tennessee (-13) @ Arkansas
Tennessee (4-0, 1-0)
Tennessee (-5.5) won its SEC opener 25-15 at Oklahoma.
Last 2+ years, Vols are 24-6 SU/20-9 ATS
Tennessee has 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Vols have 112 returning starts on the offensive line;
Frosh QB Iamaleava had one start, was MVP of Citrus Bowl.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 19-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 16-12 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 12-13 ATS in SEC games.
Vols outgained their first two I-A foes, 1,545-477.
Vols have allowed only 159 yards/game vs I-A opponents.
Arkansas (3-2, 1-1)
Arkansas outgained Texas A&M 379-297, but lost 21-17.
Razorbacks split their first four I-A games, losing by 8-4 points.
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 20-7 ATS as an underdog.
Arkansas is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home underdog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 21-13-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 13-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Arkansas is minus-5 in turnovers in its losses, +3 in wins.
Teams haven’t met since 2020.
Arkansas won/covered last three series games.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
Michigan @ Washington (-2.5)
Michigan (4-1, 2-0)
Michigan won first two Big 18 games, both by 27-24 scores.
Wolverines passed for only 32-86 yards in QB Orji’s two starts.
Wolverines have 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, a new head coach.
New defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Michigan has 53 returning starts on offensive line (none at Michigan).
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 4-1 ATS as an underdog.
Wolverines are 19-9-3 ATS in its last 31 conference games.
Last 3+ years, Michigan is 21-15-3 ATS coming off a win.
Three of their last four games went over the total.
Michigan is 4-1, despite being minus-3 in turnovers.
Washington (3-2, 1-2)
Washington was held to 19-18 in losses, scored 30-24 in I-A wins.
New coach Fisch was at Arizona; new DC is Steve Belichick.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.
Last 10 years, Washington is 2-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2018, Huskies are 19-34 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Fisch is 8-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Washington is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-0 in their games this season.
Michigan (-5) whacked Washington 34-13 LY in a playoff game.
Wolverines beat Washington 31-10 in Ann Arbor in 2021.
Both teams have new head coaches this season.
USC (-8) @ Minnesota
USC (3-1, 1-1)
Trojans lost only true road game, 27-24 at Michigan.
USC scored 27-48-38 points in its wins.
USC has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Trojans have 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Moss won his only start 42-28 LY (bowl game).
In his career, Riley is 8-18-1 ATS as a road favorite, 2-7 at USC.
Trojans are 10-20 ATS in last 30 conference games.
In his career, Riley is 32-36-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Riley, USC is 10-10 ATS coming off a win.
USC was held to 69-96 YR in its two games away from home.
Minnesota (2-3, 0-2)
Minnesota lost first two conference games, 31-14/27-24.
Gophers were 6-7 last year, their worst season since 2017.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 7-8-2 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 9-13-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 30-31-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is 1-3 in I-A games; only win was 27-0 over Nevada.
Gophers were held under 100 YR in all three losses.
These teams haven’t met since 2011.
Central Florida (-2.5) @ Florida
Central Florida (3-1)
UCF gave up 34-38 points in losing last two games.
Knights scored 45-35 points in their two I-A wins.
Knights have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
UCF has 58 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Jefferson started 38 games at Arkansas.
Under Malzahn, UCF is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Malzahn is 17-14-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Malzahn, Knights are 11-16-1 ATS in conference games.
UCF is 5-14-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-0 in their I-A games.
Florida (2-2)
Florida gave up 41-33 points in its two losses.
Last three years, Gators were 6-7/6-7/5-7.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Gators have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Mertz/frosh QB Lagway are splitting time.
Under Napier, Florida is 2-4 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Napier is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Last 3+ years, Florida is 15-25-1 ATS overall.
Under Napier, Florida is 9-9 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 3-0 in Florida’s I-A games.
Florida’s only I-A win: 45-28 at Mississippi State.
Three years ago, UCF (+7) upset Florida 29-17 in a bowl game.
Before that, teams’ previous meeting was in 2006.
Kansas @ Arizona State (-2.5)
Kansas (1-4, 0-2)
Kansas lost its four I-A games, three of them by 6 or fewer points.
Last two games, Kansas allowed 447-503 yards.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 11-20-1 ATS as road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 5-10 ATS as a road underdog..
Under Leipold, Kansas is 13-15-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-13 ATS coming off a loss.
Arizona State (3-1, 0-1)
Sun Devils lost its first Big X game, 30-22 at Texas Tech.
Sun Devils scored 30+ points in all three wins.
ASU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Sun Devils have 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Leavitt is 65-110/855 passing this year, has also run for 180 yards.
ASU is 6-5 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Arizona State is 19-13 ATS in last 32 conference games.
ASU was 6-2 LY in games coming off a loss.
Arizona State is +5 in turnovers in its first five games.
These teams haven’t met in this century.
Texas Tech @ Arizona (-6)
Texas Tech (4-1, 2-0)
Texas Tech scored 30+ points in its wins, 16 in its loss (@ Wazzu)
Tech lost its only road game, 37-16 at Wazzu.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (12 TDs/2 INTs this year)
Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 2-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 10-9-1 ATS in Big X games.
Tech gave up 555 TY in a 44-41 win over Cincinnati LW.
Tech is 30-34-1 ATS in its last 65 Big X games.
Texas Tech scored 66-30-44 points in its I-A wins.
Arizona (3-1, 1-1)
Arizona split first two Big X games (7-31 @ K-State/23-10 @ Utah).
Wildcats gave up 211+ rushing yards in two of three I-A games.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.
Arizona is 4-2 ATS last six games as a home favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 11-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in last 11 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 33-23-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
