Sunday’s games
Jaguars vs Bears (-2.5) (@ London)
Jaguars (1-4)
Jaguars got first win LW; Lawrence threw for 371 yards.
In five games, Jaguars are 14-54 on third down.
Last four games, Jaguars were outscored 74-32 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1
Jacksonville has been outscored 35-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a dog on the road.
QB Lawrence is 22-35 as an NFL starter.
Last 10 years, Jaguars are 9-30 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Jaguars won three of their last four games in England.
Jaguars are 12-19 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Bears (3-2)
Bears scored 24-24-36 points in their wins, 13-16 in losses.
Last two games, Chicago scored eight TD’s on 20 drives.
Bears have outscored opponents 63-32 in second half.
Team total: under 2-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-0
Under Eberflus, Bears are 5-3-1 ATS as favorites.
Chicago is 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Chicago was +5 in turnovers.
Last nine years, Bears are 6-3 ATS in pre-bye games.
Bears won four of six series games.
Five of the six games were decided by 13+ points.
Texans (-7) @ Patriots
Texans (4-1)
Texans have wins by 2-6-4-3 points.
Their only loss was 34-7 at 5-0 Minnesota.
Last three games, Texans were outscored 44-20 in 2nd half.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2
Since 2016, Texans are 2-9-2 ATS as road favorites (0-2 TY).
Houston is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 14-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston doesn’t have a takeaway in last three games (minus-5 TO’s).
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
Patriots (1-4)
New England lost last four games, outscored 54-26 in first half.
Patriots have scored only five TD’s on their first 50 drives.
Patriots are 30-43 since Tom Brady left town.
Team total: under 3-1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2
NE is 1-9-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
New England scored total of 26 points in their last three games.
Patriots were 11-40 on third down in those games.
Patriots are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye gets his first NFL start here.
New England won seven of last nine series games.
This is Texans’ first visit to Foxboro since 2018.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.
Commanders @ Ravens (-6.5)
Commanders (4-1)
Commanders won/covered last four games, scoring 38-42-34 points in last three.
First time since 1991 that Washington scored 38+ points in consecutive games.
Last four games, Commanders scored 14 TD’s, kicked 12 FG’s on 34 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Commanders are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
Washington converted 29 of last 52 third down plays.
Commanders are 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Washington is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 4-1 in Washington games this year.
Ravens (3-2)
Baltimore won last three games, scoring 28-35-41 points.
Ravens have outscored opponents 75-45 in first half.
Ravens have run ball for 211.1 yards/game.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1
Ravens are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 63-25 as an NFL starter.
Baltimore is 16-17 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Ravens are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Teams split their last six series games.
Teams split their two meetings in Baltimore.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Browns @ Eagles (-8.5)
Browns (1-4)
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13 points in its 1-4 start.
Browns are 12-66 on 3rd down so far, 9-15 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215 yards so far.
Team total: under 5-0
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1
Browns are 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
QB Watson is 38-35 as an NFL starter, 9-8 with Browns.
Cleveland is 11-4-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games vs NFC teams (0-3 TY).
Browns have averaged 2.7/4.8/3.3/4.3/3.0 yards/pass attempt.
Eagles (2-2)
Eagles have turned ball over eight times in four games (minus-6).
Eagles lost their only home game, 22-21 to Atlanta.
Philly has outscored opponents 24-10 in last 2:00 of each half.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1
Philly won/covered its last three post-bye games.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 38-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Philly converted 18 of last 40 third down plays.
Eagles won four of last five series games.
Browns lost 29-10/30-10 in last two visits to Philly.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.
Cardinals @ Packers (-5)
Cardinals (2-3)
Arizona scored 28-24 points in splitting two road games (2-0 ATS)
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a win.
In its two wins, Arizona outscored foes 31-7 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
QB Murray is 30-40-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Last three games, Arizona converted 8-30 on third down (14-24 first two games).
Last three games, opponents are 21-35 on third down.
Over is 4-1 in Arizona games this year.
Packers (3-2)
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Packers have 14 takeaways in five games (+7 turnovers)
Green Bay outscored last three foes 46-16 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Green Bay is 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Green Bay is 16-12-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Packers were 5-20 on third down.
Green Bay is 26-16-1 ATS in last 43 home games.
Over is 3-2 in their first five games.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
This is Cardinals’ first visit to Lambeau since 2018.
Under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.
Buccaneers @ Saints (-2)
Buccaneers (3-2)
Buccaneers went to New Orleans on Tuesday to avoid a hurricane.
Bucs scored 33-30 points in their last two games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Bucs are 6-4 ATS in last nine NFC South road games.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2
Bucs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 45-50 as an NFL starter, 13-11 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 11-9-2 in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 17-10 in last 27 Tampa Bay road games.
Bucs are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Saints (2-3)
New Orleans lost its last two games, by 3-2-13 points.
Saints scored 47-44 points in wins, 12-24-13 in losses.
New Orleans has outscored opponents 89-52 in first half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Saints are 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Last week, Saints ran ball only 15 times, for 46 yards.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Carr is 74-91 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 9-11-2 ATS in las t22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,
Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
Bucs are 4-3 SU/ATS in last nine trips to Bourbon Street.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts (2-3)
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Indy lost its two road games, 16-10 at Packers, 37-34 at Jaguars.
Just like LY, Indy is better off with its backup QB than Richardson.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2
Last two weeks, Colts converted 15-29 third down plays.
Indy is 6-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Flacco is 113-89 as an NFL starter, 5-10 since 2020.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Titans (1-3)
QB Rudolph came off bench, led Titans to win in last game.
Tennessee is minus-7 in turnovers, have had two punts blocked.
Titans are 12-10-2 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-1-1
Tennessee won its last eight post-bye games (7-0-1 ATS)
Titans outgained three of four opponents, led three games at half.
Tennessee was 0-5 ATS LY in games coming off a win.
QB Levis is 4-9 as an NFL starter; Rudolph is 8-5-1.
Tennessee has averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6 yards/pass attempt.
Tennessee is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Colts are 9-3 SU/ATS in last 12 visits to Nashville.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Chargers (-3) @ Broncos
Chargers (2-2)
Chargers lost their last two games, scoring 10-10 points.
QB Herbert has had a sore ankle; check status.
Bolts are 18-25-2 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 2-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1
Chargers are 6-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five post-bye games.
Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
QB Herbert is 32-35 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-0 in their first four games.
Broncos (3-2)
Denver won last three games, giving up 7-9-18 points.
Broncos outscored last four opponents 43-14 in second half.
Denver is only 17-69 on third down conversions.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Denver is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Last four opponents scored four TD’s on 45 drives.
Denver is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Broncos are 10-16 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Three of Denver’s last four games stayed under the total.
Broncos are 8-3 in last eleven series games.
Chargers lost their last five visits to Denver (0-4-1 ATS).
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.
Steelers (-3) @ Raiders
Steelers (3-2)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Last two games, Pittsburgh was outscored 23-6 in first half.
Since 2021, Steelers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1
Last two games, opponents converted 17-30 on third down.
QB Fields is 13-30 as an NFL starter (3-2 with Steelers).
Pittsburgh is 14-9 in its last 23 games coming off a loss.
Steelers are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 4-1 in their games this season.
Raiders (2-3)
Raiders have nine turnovers in five games (minus-7).
Las Vegas is 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games following a loss.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2
Since 2019, Raiders are 9-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Overall, Raiders are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 home games.
Opponents have converted only 18 of 60 third down plays.
QB Minshew is 17-25 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Steelers won 23-18 in Vegas LY; they lost last four visits to Oakland.
Under is 4-0 in last four series games.
Lions (-3.5) @ Cowboys
Lions (3-1)
Lions are 8-4 SU/10-2 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
Detroit has converted 22 of 44 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 13 of 41 third down plays.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1
Lions outscored last two opponents 46-17 in first half.
Detroit won its only road game 20-13 (-3) at Arizona.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 15-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their games this season.
Lions have outscored opponents 17-3 in last 2:00 of each half.
Cowboys (3-2)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28 in losses.
Road team won/covered all five of their games.
Dallas is 21-15 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Since 2018, Dallas is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-48 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-2 in Dallas games this season.
Cowboys last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
Lions are 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.
Falcons (-6) @ Panthers
Falcons (3-2)
Atlanta’s three wins are by 1-2-6 points.
Falcons scored 22-26-36 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Falcons won their only road game, 22-21 at Philly.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Last two years, Atlanta was 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Falcons are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 11-6 ATS in last 17 NFC South road games.
QB Cousins is 80-72-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 16-52 on third down, opponents 33-68.
Panthers (1-4)
Carolina’s four losses are by 37-23-10-26 points.
Carolina is 0-2 at home (26-3 to Chargers, 34-24 to Bengals)
Panthers have been outscored 105-45 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1
Carolina is 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six NFC South home games.
Over is 4-1 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 30-64 on third down.
Dalton is 84-84-2 as an NFL starter, mostly with Cincinnati.
Teams split their last eight meetings.
Falcons lost 9-7/25-15 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Bengals (-3.5) @ Giants
Bengals (1-4)
Cincy is 1-4, with losses by 6-1-5-3 points.
Last four games, Bengals scored 25-33-34-38 points.
Last two games, Bengals scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1-1
Bengals are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
QB Burrow is 35-28-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 19-11-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss
Last four games, Bengal defense has allowed 26-38-24-41 points.
Bengals are 9-2-2 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Giants (2-3)
Giants are 0-2 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants didn’t score a TD on 19 drives in their two home games.
Big Blue blocked FG for a TD to clinch last week’s win in Seattle.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2
Four of their five games stayed under the total.
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-5-1 ATS coming off a win
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Jones is 25-40-1 as an NFL starter.
Opponents are only 20-59 on third down.
Giants won three of last four series games (wins by 2-1-3 points).
Bengals lost 21-20/26-23 in last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.
