Saturday’s games
Notre Dame (-13) vs Navy (@ Meadowlands)
Notre Dame (6-1)
Notre Dame won its last five games, scoring 41 ppg.
Notre Dame’s only loss was 16-14 at home to Northern Illinois.
Irish have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Notre Dame has 34 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Leonard started 21 games at Duke.
Notre Dame held six of seven opponents to 13 or fewer points.
Since 2017, Notre Dame is 17-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS in all road games.
Under Freeman, Notre Dame is 13-8-1 ATS coming off a win
Navy (6-0)
Navy is 6-0, with all six wins by 12+ points.
Middies have run ball for 279 yards/games vs I-A opponents.
Navy has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Middies have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Horvath has run ball for 621 yards, thrown for 888.
Navy is 15-8 ATS in last 23 games as an underdog.
Middies are 5-0 ATS vs I-A teams this year.
Navy is 11-3 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Navy has thrown for 100+ yards in every game this year.
Navy has a +12 turnover ratio, in six games.
Notre Dame is 11-1 SU/6-6 ATS in last 12 series games.
Over is 9-4 in last thirteen meetings.
Washington @ Indiana (-6.5)
Washington (4-3, 2-2)
Washington was held to 19-18-16 in losses, scored 30-24-27 in I-A wins.
Huskies are 0-2 on road: 21-18 at Rutgers, 40-16 at Iowa.
Huskies have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Huskies have 36 returning starts on offensive line, none of them here.
Senior QB Rogers started 40 games at Mississippi State.
Since 2014, Washington is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2018, Huskies are 20-35 ATS in conference games (2-2 TY).
In his career, Fisch is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Washington is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.
Indiana (6-0, 3-0)
Senior QB Rourke (thumb) is out for this game.
Hoosiers are 4-0 in league games, scoring 42-42-41-56 points.
Last four games, Indiana gained 510-510-529-495 yards.
Hoosiers have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Hoosiers have 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
Indiana is 16-7 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-5 ATS in conference games.
Indiana is 15-9 ATS in its last 24 games coming off a win.
Indiana’s last five games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met since 2003.
Arkansas (-6.5) @ Mississippi State
Arkansas (4-3, 2-2)
Arkansas was held to 17-19-10 points in its last three games.
Razorbacks were minus-8 in turnovers in their losses (+3 in wins).
Razorbacks have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Razorbacks have 67 returning starts on the offensive line;
Junior QB Green started 22 games at Boise State.
Last 11 years, Arkansas is 1-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 6-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Arkansas is 21-14-2 ATS in SEC games.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 14-11 ATS coming off a loss.
Arkansas’ last four games stayed under the total.
Mississippi State (1-6, 0-4)
Miss State is 0-6 in I-A games, giving up 37.7 ppg.
Miss State gave up 415+ TY in five of six I-A games.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Bulldogs have 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Van Buren is 61-114/792 passing (6 TD’s, 2 INTs)
Since 2019, MSU is 2-11-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU is 7-12-1 ATS in its last 20 SEC games (3-0 last three).
Bulldogs are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Jeff Lebby is Miss State’s 5th head coach the last eight seasons.
Over is 4-1 in Miss State’s last five games.
Miss State won nine of last 12 meetings.
Arkansas is 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS last six visits to Starkville.
Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Illinois @ Oregon (-21.5)
Illinois (6-1, 3-1)
Illinois is 3-1 in Big 18 games, losing 21-7 at Penn State.
Illini has a +7 turnover ratio, minus-1 in league games.
Illinois has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Illini has 77 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Altmyer has 10 career starts.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Bielema is 26-16-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-13 ATS in conference games.
Illinois is 10-12 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in Illinois’ I-A games.
Oregon (7-0, 4-0)
Oregon scored 37-49-34-31-32-35 points in its I-A wins.
Last five games, Ducks gained 546-431-477-496-421 TY.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Ducks have 144 returning starts on the offensive line.
Ducks poached senior QB Gabriel (49 starts at UCF/Oklahoma).
Under Lanning, Oregon is 10-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 19-8 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 15-7 ATS in conference games.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 18-8 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Maryland @ Minnesota (-4)
Maryland (4-3, 1-3)
Terps are 1-3 in conference games, giving up 33.5 ppg
Maryland is 4-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Maryland has 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Terps have 21 returning starts on OL.
Junior QB Edwards is 195-278/2,113 passing (13 TDs, 4 INT).
Under Locksley, Maryland is 6-12 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Locksley is 11-20 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Locksley, Terps are 20-31 ATS in conference games.
Terps were minus-5 in turnovers last 2 games (+11 in first five games).
Over is 4-1-1 in their I-A games.
Minnesota (4-3, 2-2)
Minnesota beat USC/UCLA last two games, after a 2-3 start.
Gophers allowed 8.5 ppg in wins, 19-31-27 points in losses.
Gophers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Minnesota has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Brosmer started 36 games at I-AA New Hampshire.
Minnesota is 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Fleck is 24-21 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 32-31-2 ATS in conference games.
Minnesota is +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
Gophers were held under 100 YR in all three losses.
These teams haven’t met since 2021.
Terps lost last two visits to Minnesota, 34-16/52-10
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
Oklahoma State @ Baylor (-7)
Oklahoma State (3-4, 0-4)
OSU lost its three Big X games, 22-19/42-20/38-14/38-35.
Cowboys gave up 232+ rushing yards in 5 of 6 I-A games.
Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Cowboys have 214 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Bowman is in his 7th college season (13 starts LY)
OSU is 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
Oklahoma State is 19-13 ATS in its last 32 Big X games.
Cowboys are 18-11-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a loss.
Oklahoma State gave up 456-559-558-473 yards in its Big X games.
Cowboys scored 39-45 points in their two I-A wins.
Baylor (3-4, 1-4)
Baylor is 1-4 in Big X, giving up 37.5 ppg in last four games.
Bears scored 31-59 points in their two I-A wins.
Baylor has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Robertson started four games last year.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 9-7 ATS as home favorites.
Under Aranda, Bears are 13-11 ATS coming off a win.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 20-22 ATS in conference games.
Last 2+ years, Baylor is +3 in turnovers (+31 from 2019-21)
Baylor’s last four games went over the total.
Oklahoma State won three of last four series games.
Cowboys won last two visits to Waco, 36-25/42-3
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Texas Tech @ TCU (-6.5)
Texas Tech (5-2, 3-1)
Texas Tech is 3-1 in Big X games (average total, 70.3)
Tech gave up 37-59 points in their two losses.
Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Red Raiders have 125 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morton started 12 games LY (17 TDs/3 INTs this year)
Under McGuire, Texas Tech is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 11-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last three games, Tech gave up 502 yards/game.
Tech is 31-35-1 ATS in its last 67 Big X games.
Four of Tech’s five wins were by 8 or fewer points.
TCU (4-3, 2-2)
TCU gave up 35-66-30 points in their three losses.
TCU gave up 289-238-207 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Hoover started six games last year.
Under Dykes, TCU is 7-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 28-23 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, TCU is 12-10-1 ATS in Big X games.
Last four games (2-2), Frogs are minus-12 in turnovers.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games this season.
TCU won four of last five series games (favorites 4-0 ATS last four)
Tech lost 34-24/34-18 in last two visits to Fort Worth.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
West Virginia @ Arizona (-3.5)
West Virginia (3-4, 2-2)
WVU allowed 36.3 ppg in its four losses, 28-14 in I-A wins.
West Virginia has a minus-7 turnover ratio.
Mountaineers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mountaineers have 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Greene has 14 career starts.
Under Brown, WVU is 10-12 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brown is 19-14 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Brown, WVU is 22-26 ATS in Big X games.
Under Brown, Mountaineers are 18-13 ATS in games coming off a loss.
West Virginia gave up 14-28-14 points in its wins.
Arizona (3-4, 1-4)
Arizona is 1-4 in Big X games, giving up 31-28-41-34 points in losses.
Wildcats scored 61-23 points in I-A wins, 7-22-19-7 in losses.
Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Wildcats have 86 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Fifita started nine games last year.
Arizona is 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Brennan is 11-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 8-6 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 33-26-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Penn State (-6.5) @ Wisconsin
Penn State (6-0, 3-0)
Penn State is 3-0 in Big 18; 21-7 (Illinois), 37-11 (UCLA), 33-30 (USC).
Nittany Lions are 2-0 on road: 34-12 at West Virginia, 33-30 at USC.
Nittany Lions have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Penn State has 45 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Allar started 13 games last year.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 53-38-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 20-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU/0-3 ATS in conference games TY.
PSU held four of six opponents to 260 or fewer total yards.
Four of their six games stayed under the total.
Wisconsin (5-2, 3-1)
Wisconsin won last three games, by a combined 117-16.
Wisconsin gave up 42-38 points in its losses (Alabama, USC).
Badgers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Badgers have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Locke started three games last year.
Since 2014, Badgers are 2-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2017, Badgers are 3-6 ATS as an underdog anywhere.
In his career, Fickell is 16-10 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2014, Badgers are 25-19 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Penn State won/covered last five meetings.
Nittany Lions won/covered three of last four visits to Madison.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
LSU @ Texas A&M (-2.5)
LSU (6-1, 3-0)
LSU won its last six games, after a 27-20 loss to USC.
LSU is 2-0 in true road games, 36-33 Ole Miss, 34-10 Arkansas.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Nussmeier is completing 64% of passes (18 TD’s, 6 INTs)
Under Kelly, Tigers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Kelly is 20-12-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 10-9-1 ATS in SEC games.
Since 2017, LSU is 38-23-2 ATS in SEC games.
LSU’s last four games stayed under the total.
Texas A&M (6-1, 4-0)
A&M won last five I-A games, after a 23-13 loss to Notre Dame.
Aggies scored 33+ points in three of four SEC games.
Aggies have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
A&M has 112 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Weigman has 8 career starts.
A&M ran ball for 204 yards/game in its SEC tilts.
Aggies are 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
A&M is 7-10-3 ATS in its last 20 SEC games.
In his career, new HC Elko is 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 5-8-3 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Home team won last seven meetings.
LSU is 0-3 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to College Station.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Auburn @ Kentucky (-2.5)
Auburn (2-5, 0-4)
Auburn is 0-4 in SEC, losing by 10-6-18-4 points.
Auburn has had three straight losing years (6-7/5-7/5-7).
Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Thorpe has 37 career starts.
Last 3+ years, Auburn is 6-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 18-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 6-6 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Freeze is 28-23 ATS coming off a loss.
Auburn is minus-10 in turnovers this season.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Kentucky (3-4, 1-4)
Kentucky scored 31-41-20 points in wins, 6-12-13-20 in losses.
Kentucky is 0-3 when it gives up more than 17 points.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Wildcats have 156 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Vandagriff was a backup at Georgia.
Kentucky is 17-11 ATS last 28 games as a home favorite.
Wildcats held 5 of 7 opponents to 288 or fewer total yards.
Kentucky is 15-14 ATS in last 28 SEC games.
Wildcats are 8-5 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-2 in Kentucky games this season.
These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Auburn won five of last six meetings.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Kansas @ Kansas State (-10.5)
Kansas (2-5, 1-3)
Kansas is 1-5 in I-A games, with four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Last three games, Kansas is +8 in turnovers.
Jayhawks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Kansas has 130 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Daniels has 20 career starts.
In his career, Leipold is 11-21-1 ATS as road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 5-11 ATS as a road underdog..
Under Leipold, Kansas is 14-16-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
Last four Kansas games went over the total.
Kansas State (6-1, 4-1)
K-State scored 31+ points in its wins, lost 38-9 at BYU.
Wildcats scored 42-31-45 points in their last three games.
Wildcats have 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Wildcats have 73 returning starts on OL, only 36 at I-A level.
Frosh QB Johnson threw for 1,405 yards, ran for 306 more in five games.
K-State is 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 23-14 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 33-18 ATS in Big X games.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 25-19 ATS coming off a win.
Last three K-State games went over the total.
K-State is 15-0 SU/11-4 ATS in last fifteen series games.
Jayhawks are 0-6 SU/2-4 ATS in last six visits to Manhattan.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Cincinnati @ Colorado (-5.5)
Cincinnati (5-2, 3-1)
Cincinnati’s two losses were 28-27 to Pitt, 44-41 at Texas Tech.
Bearcats gave up 20 or fewer points in their wins.
Bearcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bearcats have 91 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby started 7 games at Indiana last year.
Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 3-2-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 12-15-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Last 2+ years, Cincinnati is 6-13-2 ATS in conference games.
Bearcats are 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 5-1 in Cincinnati’s I-A games this year.
Colorado (5-2, 3-1)
Colorado won four of its last five games.
Colorado scored 31+ points in four of its five wins.
Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Tigers have 100 returning starts on offensive line, and a new OL coach.
QB Sanders started 11 games LY, after playing multiple years at I-AA Jackson State.
Sanders is 3-3 ATS as a favorite with Colorado, 2-2 at home.
Colorado is 7-11 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Under Sanders, Buffs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 4-4 ATS coming off a win.
Three of Colorado’s last four games went over the total.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
