Sunday’s games
Jets (-7) @ Patriots
Jets (2-5)
Jets are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four games.
Jets gave up 23-37 points in two games since coaching change.
Jets scored 24-24 points in wins, 19-9-17-20-15 in losses.
Team total: under 3-1 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0 last three
Jets are 2-7-1 ATS last ten games as a road favorite.
Jets are 15-20 ATS last 35 games coming off a loss.
Last two weeks, Jets were outscored 27-3 in 2nd half.
Rodgers is 161-90-1 as an NFL starter, 3-5 with Jets.
Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 AFC East road games.
Patriots (1-6)
New England lost last six games, outscored 90-43 in first half.
Last two weeks, Patriots gave up 193-192-171 rushing yards.
Patriots are 30-45 since Tom Brady left town.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2
NE is 7-20-1 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
New England lost in England LW; no bye week after.
Patriots are 0-5 against the spread last five games.
Patriots are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 0-2 as an NFL starter.
Maye is 24-41/265 passing in his two games.
Jets outgained New England 400-139 in 24-3 win in Week 3.
Patriots are 23-4 in last 27 series games.
Jets are 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Foxboro.
Last six meetings stayed under the total.
Eagles @ Bengals (-2.5)
Eagles (4-2)
Eagles won three of their last four games.
Last two games, Eagles didn’t allow a TD on 20 drives.
Philly outgained last two opponents, 711-363.
Team total: under 4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1 last four
Philly is 10-14 ATS in last 24 games as an underdog.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 6-9 ATS as an underdog.
QB Hurts is 40-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
Eagles are 6-2-1 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
NFC East road underdogs are 7-2 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals (3-4)
Cincy won three of last four games, after an 0-3 start.
Bengals are 0-3 at home, losing by 6-5-3 points.
Last week, Bengals ran opening kick back 100 yards for a TD.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 3-3-1
Bengals are 9-5-2 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
QB Burrow is 37-28-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 14-5-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Bengals are 8-7-2 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Bengals are 10-1-2 ATS last 13 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC North home favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Bengals are 3-0-2 SU/5-0 ATS in last five series games.
Eagles are 0-1-1 SU/0-2 ATS in last two visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 3-3 in last three meetings.
Packers (-4.5) @ Jaguars
Packers (5-2)
Packers won five of their last six games.
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Green Bay outscored last four foes 66-22 in second half.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2
Packers outscored last four opponents 56-15 in second half.
Green Bay is 3-10-1 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.
Green Bay is 17-13-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Packers are 16-13-1 ATS last 30 games vs AFC teams.
Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
NFC North teams are 17-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Jaguars (2-5)
Jaguars scored 37-32 points in their wins, 20 or less in losses.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 9-9 ATS coming off a win.
Jaguars spent last two weeks in England, are home now.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 4-3 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Lawrence is 23-36 as an NFL starter.
Four of their last five games went over the total.
Jaguars are 9-31 ATS in last 40 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South favorites are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Green Bay won last three meetings, by 4-4-9 points.
Packers are 3-1 SU/ATS in last four visits to Jacksonville.
Under is 3-1 in last four series games.
Titans @ Lions (-11)
Titans (1-5)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; their win was 31-12.
Tennessee is minus-9 in turnovers, have had two punts blocked.
Titans were held under 300 TY in five of their six games.
Team total: under 5-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-2-2
Tennessee is 3-7 ATS in last ten games as a road underdog.
Titans has trailed in only one of their six games at halftime.
Tennessee has been outscored 94-43 in second half.
Titans are 12-12-1 ATS last 25 games vs NFC opponents.
QB Rudolph is 8-6-1 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee averaged 5.3 or worse yards/pass attempt in every game.
Lions (5-1)
Lions scored 42-47-31 points last three games (15 TDs on 31 drives).
Detroit has converted 30 of 64 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 20 of 64 third down plays.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2
Under Campbell, Lions are 11-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Detroit is 10-5 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 17-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last two weeks, Lions averaged 12.4/10.3/8.5 yards/pass attempt.
Lions have outscored opponents 34-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
Tennessee won last six series games (5-0 ATS last five)
Titans are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Detroit.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Falcons (-2.5) @ Buccaneers
Falcons (4-3)
Atlanta won three of its last four games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Three of Falcons’ last four games went over the total.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0-1 last four
Atlanta is 2-0 SU on road (22-21 Eagles/38-20 Panthers)
Falcons are 8-12-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
QB Cousins is 81-73-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 5-14 ATS in last 19 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 6-4 ATS in last 10 NFC South road games.
Buccaneers (4-3)
Buccaneers split last four games, scoring 33-30-51-31 points.
Bucs scored 17 TD’s on their last 42 drives.
Tampa Bay is 1-4-1 ATS in last six NFC South home games.
Team total: over 5-2
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2
Tampa Bay lost star WRs Evans/Godwin to injury Monday nite.
Since 2021, Bucs are 2-5 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Mayfield is 46-51 as an NFL starter, 14-12 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s last four games went over the total.
Bucs are 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Bucs are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Atlanta (-2.5) beat Tampa Bay 36-30 in OT in Week 5.
Cousins threw for 509 yards in that game.
Teams split last six series games.
Falcons are 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Tampa.
Cardinals @ Dolphins (-3)
Cardinals (3-4)
Short week, long travel for Arizona after Monday nite’s last-second win.
Cardinals are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
In its three wins, Arizona outscored foes 41-16 in second half.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
QB Murray is 31-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 16-9 ATS last 25 games as a road underdog.
Arizona is 8-7 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last five games, opponents are 34-61 on third down.
Cardinals are 11-6 ATS last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC West road underdogs are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins (2-4)
QB Tagovailoa is expected back, after missing last four games.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31 in losses.
Dolphins have already played four QB’s in their 2-4 start.
Tagovailoa is 33-21 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-0
Opponents’ team total: over 3-3
Miami lost four of its last five games SU.
Last five games, Dolphins have four touchdowns on 55 drives.
Miami is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite TY (16-6 from 2020-23).
Dolphins are 8-12 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-8 ATS in games coming off a loss
AFC East favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dolphins won last two meetings, 34-31/26-23
Teams split last two meetings in Miami.
Four of last five series games were decided by 3 or fewer points.
Last five series games went over the total.
Ravens (-9) @ Browns
Ravens (5-2)
Short week for Ravens after Monday night’s win.
Baltimore won/covered last five games, scoring 28-35-41-30-41 points.
Ravens have outscored opponents 109-65 in first half.
Ravens have run ball for 210.9 yards/game.
Team total: over 5-2
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1
Ravens are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a road favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 65-25 as an NFL starter.
Baltimore is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Ravens are 10-6 ATS in last 16 AFC North road games.
Last two weeks, Ravens averaged 11.0/11.0 yards/pass attempt.
Browns (1-6)
QB Watson is OFY; Winston is starting QB now, Zappe the backup.
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13-16-14 points in its 1-6 start.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215-244-336 yards.
Team total: under 7-0
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Browns are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
QB Winston is 34-46 as an NFL starter.
Cleveland is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC North games.
Browns have averaged 5.1 or less yards/pass attempt in every game.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Baltimore is 15-6 SU in last 21 series games.
Ravens split their last six visits to Cleveland.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Colts @ Texans (-6)
Colts (4-3)
Indy won four of its last five games (4-0-1 ATS)
All seven Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 5-1-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: over 3-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Colts are 6-7-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Indy is 13-11-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
QB Richardson is 5-4 as an NFL starter.
Colts are 3-1-1 ATS last five AFC South road games.
Last two weeks, Colts outscored opponents 23-7 in second half.
Texans (5-2)
Texans have four wins by 6 or fewer points.
Houston gave up 34-24 points in its two losses.
Texans converted 23 of last 53 third down plays.
Team total: under 5-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Texans are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite
Houston is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 15-9 as an NFL starter.
Houston is 2-5 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.
Texans held last three opponents under 300 TY.
Texans (-3) beat Colts 29-27 in Week 1, in Indy.
Colts are 6-3-1 SU in last ten games against the Texans.
Colts are 3-0-1 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Saints @ Chargers (-7)
Saints (2-5)
New Orleans lost its last five games, last three by 13-24-13 points.
Saints are 1-4 against spread in last five games.
Last three games, New Orleans was outscored 54-10 in second half.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Saints are 16-6-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Last two weeks, Saints ran ball only 57 times, for 224 yards.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-15-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-3 TY).
Saints are 4-8 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Rookie QB Rattler is 0-2 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.
NFC South road underdogs are 4-2 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chargers (3-3)
Chargers scored 22-26-23 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last four games, Chargers were outscored 49-12 in 2nd half.
Last three halves, Chargers have no TD’s, 6 FG’s on 13 drives.
Team total: over 3-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1-1
Chargers are 12-22-1 ATS last 35 games as home favorites.
Chargers are 10-8-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Chargers are 19-25-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
QB Herbert is 33-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 5-1 in their first six games.
AFC West favorites are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints won last four meetings, all by 7 or fewer points.
Saints won two of last three visits to San Diego.
Last six series games went over the total.
Bills (-3) @ Seahawks
Bills (5-2)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (4-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last three opponents 47-9 in second half.
Last three games, Bills are +5 in turnovers (5-0).
Team total: over 5-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Buffalo is 16-12 ATS in last 28 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 26-19-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 73-37 as NFL starter.
Last four games, Bills converted only 14 of 48 third down plays.
Buffalo is 16-5-1 ATS last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC East teams are 5-14-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Seahawks (4-3)
Seattle allowed 42-29-36 points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seattle is 6-4 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Seahawks are 12-20-3 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 7-0
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2
QB Smith is 34-40 as an NFL starter, 22-21 with Seattle.
Last three games, opponents converted 20-43 third down plays.
Seattle is 14-16-3 ATS in last 33 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.
Last three weeks, opponents ran ball for 186 yards/game.
NFC West underdogs are 3-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Bills are 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three visits to Seattle.
Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Bears (-2.5) @ Commanders
Bears (4-2)
Bears scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16 in losses.
Last three games, Chicago scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Bears have outscored opponents 84-45 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 6-0
Under Eberflus, Bears are 5-3-1 ATS as favorites.
Chicago is 6-4 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
Bears are 1-9 SU/3-7 ATS last ten post-bye games (3-0 ATS last three)
Last three games, Chicago was +6 in turnovers (7-1).
Bears last three games went over the total.
Commanders (4-2)
Rookie QB Daniels (ribs) is hurt; veteran Mariota is the backup.
Mariota is 35-41 as an NFL starter.
Commanders won/covered five of their last six games.
Last six games, Commanders scored 19 TD’s, kicked 20 FG’s on 51 drives.
Team total: over 6-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 38 of last 74 third down plays.
Commanders are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 4-1 ATS in last fie games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Washington ran ball for 200+ yards in four of its five wins.
Over is 5-2 in Washington games this year.
Commanders won eight of last ten series games.
Road team won last five meetings.
Bears won 40-20/31-15 in last two visits here.
Over is 5-1 in last six series games.
Panthers @ Broncos (-9)
Panthers (1-6)
Carolina’s six losses are by 37-23-10-26-18-33 points.
Carolina is 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
Panthers gave up 20+ points in first half in six of seven games.
QB Dalton was in a car accident Tuesday (check status)
Team total: under 4-2-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1
Carolina is 4-14-2 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Last four weeks, Panthers allowed 7.5/9.9/7.5/8.0 yards/pass play.
Over is 5-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 41-86 on third down.
Carolina is 6-12 ATS last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Dalton is 84-86-2 as an NFL starter, 1-5 with Carolina.
Last three games, Carolina was outscored 38-13 in 2nd half.
Broncos (4-3)
Denver won/covered four of its last five games.
Broncos outscored last six opponents 76-24 in second half.
Denver is only 24-91 on third down conversions.
Team total: over 4-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Under Payton, Denver is 4-6 ATS as a favorite.
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-5.
Denver is 22-18-2 ATS in last 42 games vs NFC teams.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-6 ATS coming off a win.
AFC West favorites are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Broncos won four of last six series games.
Panthers lost 21-20/20-17 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Chiefs (-10) @ Raiders
Chiefs (6-0)
Chiefs won their first six games (4-2 ATS), by 7-1-5-7-13-10 points.
Kansas City is 6-0 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Chiefs trailed at halftime in three of the six games.
Team total: under 4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2
Fourth road games in six weeks for Chiefs, with bye mixed in.
Chiefs are 21-10 ATS in last 31 AFC West road games.
QB Mahomes is 95-25 as an NFL starter.
Last four games, Chiefs are 29-58 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 73-40 in second half.
Chiefs’ last four games stayed under the total.
Raiders (2-5)
Raiders have 16 turnovers in seven games (minus-13).
Raiders have one TD, five FG’s on their last 23 drives.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19-5.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Raiders are 9-10-1 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 16-20-1 ATS in last 37 games following a loss.
Opponents have converted only 24 of 83 third down plays.
QB Minshew is 17-25 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Raiders are 14-7 ATS in last 21 AFC West home games.
Kansas City won 15 of last 18 series games.
Chiefs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Las Vegas.
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
Cowboys @ 49ers (-4)
Cowboys (3-3)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47 in losses.
Road team won/covered all six of their games.
Cowboys are 3-0 on road, 0-3 at home.
Dallas is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 3-3
Opponents’ team total: under 3-3
Dallas is 7-6 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-49 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 4-2 in Dallas games this season.
Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 post-bye games.
NFC East road underdogs are 7-2 ATS in non-divisional games.
49ers (3-4)
49ers have losses by 1-3-6-10 points, wins by 13-17-12 points.
49ers are 12-8 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
49ers scored 32-30-36 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1-1
WR Aiyuk is OFY, Samuel has pneumonia.
49ers were outscored 79-53 in 2nd half of last five games.
QB Purdy is 24-9 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is 11-7 ATS last 18 games coming off a loss.
Over is 5-2 in their games this season.
NFC West favorites are 3-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
49ers won last three meetings, by a combined 84-39.
Cowboys are 4-2 SU/2-3-1 ATS in last six visits to Santa Clara.
Over is 9-4 in last 13 series games.
