Sunday’s games
Dolphins @ Bills (-6.5)
Dolphins (2-5)
Dolphins lost five of their last six games, last two by 1-5 points.
Miami allowed 17-10 points in its wins, 31-24-16-31-28 in losses.
Dolphins threw for 227 yards with Tagovailoa back in lineup LW.
Tagovailoa is 33-22 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Miami is 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road underdog.
Last two weeks, Dolphins were outscored 34-14 in 2nd half.
Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in last 10 AFC East road games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 7-9 ATS in games coming off a loss
Under is 5-2 in their games this season.
Bills (6-2)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (6-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last four opponents 64-16 in second half.
Last three games, Bills are +6 in turnovers (7-1).
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Buffalo is 18-14-1 ATS in last 33 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 27-19-1 ATS in last 47 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 74-37 as NFL starter.
Buffalo is 5-3-1 ATS in last nine AFC East home games.
Last three Buffalo games went over the total.
Bills (+2.5) won 31-10 at Miami in Week 2.
Bills won 14 of last 16 series games.
Dolphins lost their last eight visits (3-5 ATS) to Buffalo.
Broncos @ Ravens (-9)
Broncos (5-3)
Denver won/covered five of its last six games.
Broncos outscored last seven opponents 83-31 in second half.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-3 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Denver is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Denver is 21-16-1 ATS in last 38 games as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-5.
Under Payton, Denver is 7-6 ATS coming off a win.
Broncos’ last four games went over the total.
AFC West road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Ravens (5-3)
Baltimore is 5-1 SU/ATS in its last six games.
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS last five games coming off a loss.
Ravens scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-23-24 in losses.
Ravens have outscored opponents 119-71 in first half.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 7-1
Ravens are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 65-26 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 2-3 when they run for less than 200 yards.
Last four games, Ravens allowed 14 TD’s on 41 drives.
Ravens are 5-0 when they allow 7+ yards/pass attempt.
AFC North home favorites are 4-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Ravens won last three meetings, by a combined 60-30.
Broncos are 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Baltimore.
Last four series games stayed under the total.
Chargers (-2) @ Browns
Chargers (4-3)
Chargers scored 22-26-23-26 points in wins, 10-10-15 in losses.
Last six games, Chargers outscored foes 75-26 in 1st half.
Last three games, opponents are 7-34 on third down.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-1-1
Chargers are 7-4-2 ATS last 13 games as road favorites.
Chargers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Chargers are 14-18-4 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.
QB Herbert is 34-36 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-1 in their first seven games.
AFC West favorites are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns (2-6)
QB Winston threw for 334 yards, 3 TD’s LW, his first start in two years.
QB Winston is 35-46 as an NFL starter.
Last week was first time Cleveland scored 20+ points this season.
Team total: under 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 4-4
Browns are 6-3-1 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Browns gained 401 yards LW, by far their most this season.
Cleveland is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Cleveland allowed 20+ points in seven of eight games.
AFC North underdogs are 6-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Browns are 6-5 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points..
Chargers won last four meetings, scoring 33.5 ppg.
Chargers are 5-2 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Last three series games went over the total.
Saints (-7) @ Panthers
Saints (2-6)
New Orleans lost its last six games, last four by 13-24-13-18 points.
Saints are 1-5 against spread in last six games.
Last three games, New Orleans was outscored 71-13 in second half.
Team total: over 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3
Saints are 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
Last three weeks, Saints were outscored 61-10 in second half.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-16-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-4 TY).
Saints are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 NFC South road games.
Rookie QB Rattler is 0-3 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-3 in their games this season.
Panthers (1-7)
Carolina is 0-5 SU/ATS in its last five games.
Carolina is 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games as a home dog (0-3 TY).
Panthers gave up 20+ points in first half in seven of eight games.
QB Young lost his starts 47-10/26-3/28-14
Team total: under 5-2-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-1
Carolina is 4-15-2 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Last four weeks, Panthers allowed 7.5/9.9/7.5/8.0/7.3 yards/pass play.
Over is 6-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 52-103 on third down.
Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 NFC South home games.
Last three games, Carolina was outscored 45-20 in 2nd half.
Saints smoked Carolina 47-10 in season opener (379-193 TY)
New Orleans won 13 of last 17 meetings.
Saints are 5-2 SU/3-3-1 ATS in last seven visits to Charlotte.
Under is 6-1 in last seven games.
Raiders @ Bengals (-8)
Raiders (2-6)
Raiders have 17 turnovers in eight games (minus-13).
Raiders lost their last four games, by 16-19-5-7 points.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16-19-5-7.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3
Raiders are 20-13 ATS last 33 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas is 17-20-1 ATS in last 38 games following a loss.
Raiders haven’t led a game at halftime since Week 1.
QB Minshew is 17-26 as an NFL starter.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Last five games, Raiders averaged 5.6 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
AFC West road underdogs are 6-1 ATS in non-division games.
Bengals (3-5)
Bengals are 0-4 SU at home, losing by 6-5-3-20 points.
Road team is 6-0 ATS this year when Bengals are favored.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Team total: over 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3-1
Bengals are 9-6-2 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite (0-3 TY).
QB Burrow is 37-29-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 20-10-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Bengals ran ball 45 times for only 117 yards.
AFC North home favorites are 4-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cincinnati won five of last six series games.
Raiders are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Cincinnati.
Under is 6-2-1 in last nine meetings.
Commanders (-3.5) @ Giants
Commanders (6-2)
Washington won LW on a 52-yard Hail Mary on last play of the game.
Rookie QB Daniels is 6-2 as an NFL starter.
Commanders won/covered six of their last seven games.
Last three games, Commanders scored six TD’s, tried 12 FG’s on 28 drives.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 38 of last 74 third down plays.
Commanders are 9-5-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 4-1 ATS in last fie games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Washington ran ball for 200+ yards in four of its five wins.
Over is 5-2 in Washington games this year.
Giants (2-4)
Giants lost last three games, scoring two TD’s on 33 drives.
Giants are 0-4 at home (1-3 ATS), scoring one TD on 41 drives.
Giants lost their home games, by 22-5-10-25 points.
Team total: under 5-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-8-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Giants are 8-12 ATS in last 20 NFC East road games.
QB Jones is 25-43-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-2 in their games this season.
Commanders kicked 7 FG’s, edged Giants 21-18 at home in Week 2.
Washington outgained Giants 425-304 in that game.
Giants are 7-3-1 SU in last 11 meetings.
Commanders are 1-3-1 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to the Garden State.
Cowboys @ Falcons (-3)
Cowboys (3-4)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28-47-30 in losses.
Road team won/covered six of their seven games.
Last two games, Cowboys gave up 8 TD’s on 21 drives.
Dallas is 11-6 ATS in last 167 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 4-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-3
Dallas is 7-7 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-50 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1/10.3/8.8 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 5-2 in Dallas games this season.
Cowboys are 3-5 ATS in last 8 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC East road underdogs are 8-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Falcons (5-3)
Atlanta won four of its last five games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Four of Falcons’ last five games went over the total.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 4-0-1 last five
Atlanta lost three of their four home games SU.
Falcons are 9-14-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
QB Cousins is 81-74-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
NFC South home teams are 2-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dallas won/covered last three series games.
Cowboys are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
Patriots @ Titans (-3)
Patriots (2-6)
Patriots snapped their six-game losing skid last week.
Last seven games, New England was outscored 103-50 in first half.
Last three weeks, Patriots were outscored 49-24 in first half.
Team total: under 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3
NE is 8-20-1 ATS in last 29 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 31-45 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots are 4-7-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
QB Brissett is 19-34 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC East road underdogs are 2-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Titans (1-6)
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; their win was 31-12.
Tennessee is minus-13 in turnovers, with only 3 takeaways.
Titans outgained Detroit 416-225 LW, lost 52-14- their special teams suck.
Team total: under 6-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2-2
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in last five games as a favorite (0-2 TY).
Titans has trailed in only two of their seven games at halftime.
Tennessee has been outscored 111-43 in second half.
Titans are 1-3 ATS TY in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Rudolph is 8-7-1 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in games coming off a loss.
AFC South teams are 9-11 ATS in non-divisional games.
New England is 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS last ten series games.
Patriots split their last four visits to Nashville.
Over is 6-2-1 in last nine meetings.
Bears @ Cardinals (-1)
Bears (4-3)
Bears scored 24-24-36-35 points in their wins, 13-16-15 in losses.
Chicago lost LW on a 52-yard Hail Mary on last play of game.
Bears have outscored opponents 99-54 in second half.
Team total: over 3-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-0
Under Eberflus, Bears are 9-12-1 ATS on the road.
Chicago is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
Under Eberflus, Bears are 6-9-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Last four games, Chicago was +5 in turnovers (7-2).
Last four games, Bears are 14 of 43 on third down.
Three of Bears’ last four games went over the total.
NFC North road teams are 8-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Cardinals (4-4)
Arizona is 3-1 SU in last four games, winning by 1-2-1 points.
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS last ten games coming off a win.
In its three wins, Arizona outscored foes 62-30 in second half.
Team total: under 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 4-4
QB Murray is 32-41-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 2-2 SU at home, scoring 13-14-17 in last three home tilts.
Arizona is 11-9 ATS in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last six games, opponents are 45-76 on third down.
Cardinals trailed at halftime in five of last six games.
NFC West home teams are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Teams split their last six meetings.
Bears won last three visits to Arizona, by 1-15-2 points.
Over is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Jaguars @ Eagles (-7.5)
Jaguars (2-6)
Coach Pederson returns to Philly (won SB in 2017).
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 9-10 ATS coming off a loss.
This is Jaguars’ first true road game since Week 4.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS last 8 games as a road underdog.
Last six games, Jaguars gave up 23 TD’s on 59 drives.
QB Lawrence is 23-37 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Jaguars are 10-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South road underdogs are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles (5-2)
Eagles won their last three games, scoring 28-37 points in last two.
Last three games, Eagles allowed 2 TD’s on 28 drives.
Philly outgained last three opponents, 1,007-643.
Team total: under 4-3
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1 last five
Philly is 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-12-1 ATS at home.
QB Hurts is 41-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 7-4-1 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
NFC East home favorites are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Eagles won/covered last four series games.
Jaguars lost last three visits to Philly, by 8-6-17 points.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
Lions (-3.5) @ Packers
Lions (6-1)
Week 9, this is Detroit’s first game outdoors this season.
Lions scored 42-47-31-52 points last three games (21 TDs on 43 drives).
Last two games, Detroit converted only six of 19 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 10 of last 34 third down plays.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2
Under Campbell, Lions are 7-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-1 ATS last seven NFC North road games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 18-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions special teams were so good LW, the offense didn’t need to do much
Lions have outscored opponents 34-6 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff turned his ankle in practice (check status).
Packers (6-2)
QB Love (groin) didn’t practice Wednesday; check status.
Packers won their last four games, scoring 28 ppg.
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Green Bay outscored last five foes 83-39 in second half.
Team total: over 5-3
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.
Green Bay is 17-14-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Packers are 10-6 ATS in last 16 NFC North home games.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Last three games, Packers were outscored 30-9 in last 2:00 of half.
Detroit won four of last six series games.
Lions are 4-3 SU/5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Lambeau.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Rams (-1) @ Seahawks
Rams (3-4)
Rams scored 27-20-30 points in wins, 20-10-18-19 in losses
Five of their seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Under McVay, Rams are 37-46-2 ATS coming off a win.
This is Rams’ first game outdoors since Week 4.
Team total: under 5-2
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
Rams threw for 8.2 yards/attempt with WRs Kupp/Pukua back LW.
Rams allowed 24+ points in five of seven games.
Rams are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last four games, opponents are 9-39 on third down.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in last ten NFC West road games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Seahawks (4-4)
Seattle allowed 42-29-36-31 points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seattle is 6-5 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
Seahawks are 19-15 ATS last 34 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 7-1
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2
QB Smith is 34-41 as an NFL starter, 22-22 with Seattle.
Last four games, opponents converted 28-58 third down plays.
Seattle is 14-17-3 ATS in last 34 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 6-2 in their games this season.
Last four weeks, opponents ran ball for 180.5 yards/game.
Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in last 10 NFC West home games.
Rams won five of last seven series games.
Rams are 4-3 SU/4-2-1 ATS in last seven visits to Seattle.
Under is 7-1 in last eight meetings.
Colts @ Vikings (-6)
Colts (4-4)
Indy won four of its last six games (5-0-1 ATS)
All eight Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 6-1-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: over 3-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Colts are 7-7-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Indy is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games coming off a loss.
QB Flacco is 114-89 as an NFL starter, 1-1 with Colts.
Colts are 5-7 ATS last 12 games vs NFC teams.
Last three weeks, Colts outscored opponents 33-13 in second half.
Colts scored 34-20 points in Flacco’s two starts TY.
AFC South road underdogs are 2-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings (5-2)
Minnesota lost its last two games, after a 5-0 start.
Vikings allowed 29+ points in three of last four games.
Vikings have outscored opponents 110-59 in first half.
Vikings are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 6-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-3
QB Darnold is 26-37 as an NFL starter, 5-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in last six games as home favorite.
Minnesota has 15 takeaways in seven games (+5 turnovers).
NFC North home teams are 10-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
Last four games, Vikings were outscored 58-34 in second half.
Indianapolis won five of last six series games.
Colts are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.
