Sunday’s games
Panthers vs Giants (-5.5) (@ Munich, Germany)
Panthers (2-7)
Carolina is 1-5 SU/ATS in its last five games.
Carolina is 1-4 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last five games, Panthers are minus-7 in turnovers.
QB Young lis 3-17 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Carolina is 5-6 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Panthers were outgained 427-246 in LW’s 23-22 over the Saints.
Over is 7-2 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 57-118 on third down.
Carolina is 5-10-1 ATS last 16 NFC South home games.
Last four games, Carolina was outscored 54-33 in 2nd half.
NFC South underdogs are 6-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants (2-7)
Giants lost last four games, scoring five TD’s on 40 drives.
Giants are 2-2 away from home, winning at Seattle/Cleveland.
Last three games, Giants were outscored 44-19 in first half.
Team total: under 5-3
Opponents’ team total: over 3-0 last three
Giants are favored for first time this season.
Under Daboll, Giants are 4-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-9-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Jones is 25-44-1 as an NFL starter.
Under is 6-3 in their games this season.
NFC East favorites are 4-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Giants won last two series games, 19-16/25-3
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Broncos @ Chiefs (-8)
Broncos (5-4)
Denver won/covered five of its last seven games.
Last two weeks, Broncos converted 17-31 third down plays.
Denver is 4-0 if they score more than 20 points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.
Team total: over 5-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Denver is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog this year.
Denver is 21-17-1 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog
In wins, Broncos are +5 in turnovers; in losses, minus-6.
Under Payton, Denver is 5-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Broncos’ last five games went over the total.
Denver is 3-6 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
Chiefs (8-0)
Short week for Chiefs after their OT win Monday night.
Chiefs won their first eight games, going 4-4 ATS.
Kansas City is 8-0 despite being minus-6 in turnovers.
Team total: over 4-0 last four
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
Chiefs are 17-18 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite.
Chiefs are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
QB Mahomes is 98-25 as an NFL starter.
Last six games, Chiefs are 53-92 on third down.
Chiefs have outscored opponents 103-67 in second half.
Four of Chiefs’ last six games stayed under the total.
Chiefs won 15 of last 16 meetings with Denver.
Broncos are 0-8 SU/3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
Over is 4-3 in last seven series games.
Steelers @ Commanders (-3)
Steelers (6-2)
Steelers averaged 8.7/8.1 yards/pass attempt in Wilson’s first two starts.
Wilson is 126-79-1 as an NFL starter, 19-27 since 2021.
Steelers are 16-10 ATS last six games as a road underdog.
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: under 6-2
Steelers allowed 18 or fewer points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Pittsburgh is 13-7-1 in its last 21 games coming off a win.
Pittsburgh gained 409-426 yards the last two weeks.
Steelers are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.
Steelers are 16-7-1 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC North underdogs are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
Commanders (7-2)
Washington is 7-1 SU/ATS in its last eight games.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-2 as an NFL starter.
Commanders are 4-0 in games decided by less than 7 points.
Last four games, Commanders are +5 in turnovers.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Washington allowed 37-30 points in their two losses.
Washington converted 43 of last 86 third down plays.
Commanders are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Commanders are 5-1 ATS in last six games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last three games, Washington averaged 8.0/7.8/9.5 yards/pass attempt.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Pittsburgh won five of last six series games.
Steelers won 38-16/23-6 in last two visits to Washington.
Under is 5-1 in last six meetings.
Vikings (-4) @ Jaguars
Vikings (6-2)
Minnesota lost two of last three games, after a 5-0 start.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Last three games, Vikings were outscored 42-24 in first half.
Vikings are 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 6-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-3
QB Darnold is 27-37 as an NFL starter, 6-2 with Vikings.
Minnesota is 6-1-2 ATS in last nine games as road favorite.
Minnesota has 17 takeaways in eight games (+4 turnovers).
Vikings are 11-5-2 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC North favorites are 14-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Vikings are 3-0 SU/ATS in outdoor games this season.
Jaguars (2-7)
Jaguars lost last two games, by 3-5 points.
Under Pederson, Jaguars are 11-12 ATS coming off a loss.
Jaguars have nine turnovers in last five games (minus-5)
Team total: over 3-0 last three
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five
Jaguars are 5-3 ATS last 8 games as a home underdog.
Last seven games, Jaguars gave up 27 TD’s on 71 drives.
QB Lawrence is 23-38 as an NFL starter.
Five of their last six games went over the total.
Jaguars are 11-31 ATS in last 41 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC South underdogs are 5-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
Minnesota is 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in last five series games.
Vikings won 25-16/30-12 in last two visits to Jacksonville.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Falcons (-3.5) @ Saints
Falcons (6-3)
Atlanta won five of its last six games SU.
Falcons were held to 10-17-14 points in their losses.
Four of Falcons’ last six games went over the total.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1-1 last six
Atlanta is 3-0 SU/ATS on road this season.
Falcons are 6-4 ATS in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 10-14-1 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
QB Cousins is 82-74-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.
NFC South home teams are 2-9 ATS in non-divisional games.
Saints (2-7)
New Orleans lost its last six games; they fired their coach Monday.
Saints are 1-6 against spread in last seven games.
Last four games, New Orleans was outscored 84-22 in second half.
Team total: over 5-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-0 last six
Saints are 1-3 SU at home TY, losing by 3-14-13 points.
Saints are 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a home underdog.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-17-1 ATS coming off a loss (1-5 TY).
Saints are 9-11 ATS in last 20 NFC South home games.
QB Carr is 74-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Saints (+2.5) lost 26-24 at Atlanta in Week 4
Koo kicked a 58-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
Falcons’ two TD’s were scored on defense/special teams.
Falcons are 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven visits to New Orleans.
Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.
49ers (-3.5) @ Buccaneers
49ers (4-4)
49ers have losses by 1-3-6-10 points, wins by 13-17-12-6 points.
49ers are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS in last five post-bye games.
49ers scored 32-30-36-30 points in wins, 17-24-23-18 in losses.
Team total: under 4-4
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1-1
49ers are 7-4-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
49ers are 1-4 when they run ball for less than 180 yards.
QB Purdy is 25-9 as an NFL starter.
San Francisco is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
Over is 6-2 in their games this season.
NFC West favorites are 4-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
Buccaneers (4-5)
Short week for Tampa Bay after its overtime loss Monday.
Buccaneers are 2-4 in last six games, despite scoring 32.5 ppg.
Bucs scored 23 TD’s on their last 61 drives.
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: over 7-2
Bucs are 2-6 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
QB Mayfield is 46-53 as an NFL starter, 14-14 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s last six games went over the total.
Bucs are 7-3-1 ATS in last eleven games coming off a loss.
Bucs turned ball over 8 times in last four games (minus-3).
San Francisco is 7-3 in last ten series games..
49ers won/covered two of last three visits to Tampa Bay.
Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
Bills (-4) @ Colts
Bills (7-2)
Bills won their last four games (3-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (6-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 88-33 in second half.
Last five games, Bills are +6 in turnovers (8-2).
Team total: over 7-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-4
Buffalo is 17-12 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 27-20-1 ATS in last 48 games coming off a win.
QB Allen is 75-37 as NFL starter.
Buffalo trailed at halftime in four of last six games.
Last four Buffalo games went over the total.
AFC East favorites are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts (4-5)
Indy lost last two games, by 3-8 points (5-1-1 ATS last seven)
All eight Colts games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Underdogs are 6-2-1 ATS in Colt games this season.
Team total: under 4-3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 6-3
Colts were outgained 415-227 LW; their one TD was scored on defense.
Colts are 6-4 ATS last 10 games as a home underdog.
Indy is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
QB Flacco is 114-90 as an NFL starter, 1-2 with Colts.
Last four Colt games stayed under the total.
AFC South underdogs are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Dallas won/covered last three series games.
Cowboys are 2-3 SU/ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.
