Post by Gooba on Nov 27, 2024 12:52:27 GMT -5
Thursday’s games
Bears @ Lions (-10)
Bears lost last five games, three of then by 3 or fewer points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator two weeks ago.
Chicago is 15-33 on third down since then, an improvement.
Last four games, Bears were outscored 43-26 in second half.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3
Under Eberflus, Bears are 7-13-1 ATS on road underdog.
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC North road games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 12-14-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bears are 0-4 despite being +4 in turnovers.
Chicago is 0-6 if they score less than 24 points.
Lions (10-1)
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
However, Lions have lost the last seven years on Thanksgiving Day.
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half.
Detroit is 4-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
Opponents have converted only 24 of last 83 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-3 last eight
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3
Under Campbell, Lions are 13-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS in last nine NFC North home games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 21-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 80-55-1 as an NFL starter, 36-25-1 with Detroit.
Last two games, Lions didn’t allow a TD, on 18 drives.
Lions won three of last four meetings.
Bears are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Detroit.
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.
Giants @ Cowboys (-10.5)
Giants have QB issues; check status whether DeVito/Lock starts.
Giants are 0-6 SU/ATS in last six starts.
Giants are 2-3 SU/ATS on road, losing by 3-8-3 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-0 last five
Last six games, Giants were outscored 84-19 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 11-8 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB DeVito is 3-4 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
Under is 8-3 in their games this season.
Three of Giants nine losses were by more than 10 points.
Cowboys (3-7)
Dallas snapped 5-game skid with win at Washington LW.
Cowboys are 1-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last six games, Cowboys gave up 22 TD’s on 67 drives.
Dallas is 21-16 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six
2nd straight short week for Cowboys; third game in 12 days.
Dallas is 0-5 SU/ATS at home this season.
Backup QB Rush is 6-3 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys converted 10 of last 40 third down plays.
Over is 4-1 in Dallas home games.
Dallas was held under 100 RY in eight of last ten games.
Cowboys (-5.5) won 20-15 in New Jersey in Week 4.
Cowboys are 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight against the Giants.
Giants are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Dallas.
Over is 5-0 in Giants’ last five visits to Dallas.
Dolphins @ Packers (-3.5)
Dolphins won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Miami is 0-5 when it gives up 20+ points, 5-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 33-60 on 3rd down last five games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 36-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2 last five
Under McDaniel, Miami is 6-7 ATS as a road underdog (2-2 TY).
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half, but went 3-3.
Dolphins are 28-19 ATS in last 47 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC East dogs are 5-8 ATS in non-division games away from home.
Packers (8-3)
Packers won six of last seven games (1-4 ATS in last five).
Green Bay is 4-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Team total: under 3-2 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 8-2 last ten
GB is 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 20-15-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 7-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Green Bay is 6-8 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
Last six games, Packers were outscored 54-9 in last 2:00 of half.
Dolphins playing in Green Bay in late November could be dicey.
Packers won three in row, five of last six series games.
Dolphins lost two of last three visits to Green Bay.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.