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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:04:01 GMT -5
December 16
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Georgia Southern (-3.5) vs Ohio U
Georgia Southern (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last four games, giving up 39.3 ppg.
— Eagles beat Ball State of MAC 40-3 in September.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 115 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 22 games at Tulsa.
— Georgia Southern scored 34+ points in its six wins.
— Georgia Southern’s coach is former USC coach Clay Helton.
— under Helton, Eagles are 8-5 ATS as a favorite.
— Helton is 2-4 as a head coach in bowls.
— over is 4-1-1 in Eagles’ last six games.
— since 2015, Panthers are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in bowls
— Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 9-5 ATS this year.
Ohio U (9-3)
— Ohio won its last three games, giving up 14.7 ppg.
— Bobcats are 8-0 when they score 17+ points.
— Bobcats allowed 17 or less points in eight of their nine wins.
— Ohio is +10 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line; they’re expected to improve.
— soph QB has started 19 games.
— Bobcats are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as an underdog.
— Ohio U is 4-2 SU in on the road this year.
— Albin won his first bowl game 30-27 (-2.5) over Wyoming LY.
— under is 7-4 in their I-A games this season.
— Ohio U won/covered its last four bowl games.
— MAC non-conference underdogs are 16-14 ATS this year.
— Favorite won/covered all three Myrtle Beach Bowls.
— Average total in the three Myrtle Beach Bowls: 57.7.
— Since 2018, MAC teams are 15-9-1 ATS in games vs Sun Belt teams.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:04:52 GMT -5
New Orleans Bowl
Jacksonville State vs Louisiana
Jacksonville State (8-4)
— Jacksonville State is 8-4 in its first year as a I-A team.
— Jax State is 7-1 when it scores 20+ points.
— Gamecocks were held to 17 or less points in 3 of its 4 losses.
— Coach is Rich Rodriguez (has coached West Va, Michigan, Arizona)
— In his career, Rodriguez is 5-6 SU in bowl games.
— 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 43 starts back on offensive line
— senior QB has 22 starts.
— Gamecocks have +11 turnover ratio.
— Gamecocks are 3-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— JSU completed 50% or less of its passes in 5 of last 8 games.
— over is 3-1 in the Gamecocks’ last four games.
— Conference USA favorites are 4-4 ATS, out of conference.
— Last 3 years, Gamecocks were 24-11 SU, at I-AA level.
— This is obviously Jax State’s first bowl game.
Louisiana (6-6)
— Louisiana is 6-0 if they score 33+ points, 0-6 if they score less than 33.
— ULL is 6-0 if they run ball for 200+ yards, 0-6 if they don’t.
— Louisiana lost three of last four games, after a 5-3 start.
— Ragin’ Cajuns are 14-6-1 ATS in last 21 games as an underdog (3-1 TY).
— 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB is completing 70.9% of passes- 7 TD’s, 3 INTs.
— Cajuns gave up 31+ points in five of their six losses.
— Louisiana is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— ULL is 2-4 away from home this season.
— Louisiana’s last three games went over the total.
— Coach Desormeaux is 1-1 in bowl games.
— ULL went bowling the last five years, going 3-2 SU/1-4 ATS.
— Cajuns won this bowl 36-21 (-4) over Marshall two years ago.
— Sun Belt underdogs are 9-10 ATS, out of conference.
— Favorites won/covered seven of last eight New Orleans Bowls.
— Last 11 years, Sun Belt teams are 8-3 ATS in this bowl.
— Last three years, Sun Belt teams are 12-7 ATS vs C-USA teams.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:05:24 GMT -5
Cure Bowl
Miami OH vs Appalachian State (@ Orlando, FL)
Miami OH (11-2)
— Miami won its five games, giving up only 11 ppg.
— Red Hawks are 9-0 if they score 23+ points.
— Miami covered nine of its last 11 games.
— Miami was held to 3-17 points in its two losses (Miami FL/Toledo)
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 61 starts back on offensive line- lost 2 starters to transfer portal.
— senior QB has 29 career starts
— Miami is 3-2 ATS as an underdog TY.
— under Martin, Miami is 34-26-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Miami was 6-7 SU LY despite a +11 turnover ratio.
— Miami is 11-2 TY, with a +2 turnover ratio.
— under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Miami played in bowls three of last four years, going 1-2 SU.
— Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five bowls.
— MAC non-conference underdogs are 16-14 ATS this year.
Appalachian State (8-5)
— App State won five of its last six games, scoring 37.5 ppg.
— ASU is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— App State is 3-4 ATS as a favorite TY.
— ASU is 12-25-1 ATS in its last 38 games as a favorite.
— ASU is 8-1 scoring 26+ points, 0-4 scoring 24 or less.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 65 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB played JC ball; he’s thrown 33 TD’s, 9 INT this year.
— App State covered four of its last five games (+5 in turnovers).
— ASU gained 500+ TY in three of last six games.
— under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— ASU is 6-1 in bowl games (lost 59-38 to Western Kentucky LY).
— App State is 3-1 ATS as a favorite in bowl games.
— Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 9-5 ATS this year.
— Underdogs covered this bowl six of last seven years.
— Sun Belt teams are 4-4 SU in this bowl.
— Since 2018, MAC teams are 15-9-1 ATS in games vs Sun Belt teams.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:06:27 GMT -5
New Mexico Bowl
Fresno State vs New Mexico State
Fresno State (8-4)
— Fresno lost its last three games, after an 8-1 start.
— Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
— Fresno scored 27+ points in its seven I-A wins.
— In their losses, Bulldogs scored 19-18-17-18 points.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 11 games at UCF.
— in his career, Tedford is 29-26-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Fresno is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 games as an underdog.
— last five years, Bulldogs are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in bowl games.
— Mountain West underdogs are 17-9 ATS out of conference.
— Fresno won this bowl two years ago, 31-24 (-11) over New Mexico.
New Mexico State (10-4)
— Aggies won eight of last nine games, after a 2-3 start.
— Aggies are 17-10 SU under coach Kill (went 8-30 from 2018-21)
— State won 31-10 at Auburn in November.
— Aggies are 9-1 when they give up less than 33 points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 51 starts back on offensive line- four starters are back
— junior QB has 8 starts.
— Aggies are 4-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
— In his career, coach Kill is 35-24 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, coach Kill is 1-5 SU in bowl games.
— Nine of State’s last 12 games stayed under the total.
— Last year was Aggies’ first bowl since 2017.
— Aggies are 4-0-1 SU all-time in bowl games.
— Conference USA favorites are 4-4 ATS, out of conference.
— Aggies (+2.5) upset New Mexico 27-17 on this field in September.
— Fresno State won seven of last eight meetings (last one was 2019).
— Bulldogs were double digit favorite in 7 of the 8 games.
— New Mexico State covered six of last seven meetings.
— under is 7-1 in last eight series games.
— Last seven years, underdogs are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Average total in this bowl the last six years, 54.5.
— Mountain West team won this bowl the last five years (4-1 ATS)
— This year, Mountain West teams are 4-1 SU vs C-USA squads.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:06:58 GMT -5
Los Angeles Bowl
Boise State @ UCLA
Boise State (8-5)
— Boise fired its coach November 12, has now won four in a row.
— Boise is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Broncos won last four games, running for 263 yards/game.
— Broncos are minus-1 in turnovers this season.
— Last six years, Boise was +31 in turnovers.
— Broncos allowed 31+ points in four of their five losses.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 80 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB has started 10 games.
— since 2014, Boise is 10-5 ATS as an underdog (1-2 TY)
— over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— since 2017, Boise is 2-1 in bowls (had two cancelled)
— Mountain West underdogs are 16-9 ATS out of conference.
UCLA (7-5)
— UCLA lost three of last four games, scoring 10-7-7 points in losses.
— UCLA is 7-0 scoring 25+ points, 0-5 if they score less.
— No one ran for more than 133 yards against the Bruins TY.
— UCLA is 1-1 TY in games decided by less than 10 points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line; high expectations.
— UCLA has been juggling three QB’s; one already transferred.
— under Kelly, Bruins are 13-22 ATS as favorites (3-5 TY).
— under is 10-1 in their I-A games this season.
— UCLA lost its last three bowls, giving up 37-35-37 points.
— Bruins’ last bowl win was 40-35 over K-State in 2014 Alamo Bowl.
— This year, Pac-12 favorites are 13-6 ATS out of conference.
— Mountain West teams beat Pac-12 squads in first two LA Bowls.
— 2022-23, MW teams are 3-17 SU/7-13 ATS vs Pac-12 teams TY.
— From 2017-21, MW teams were 25-16 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:07:30 GMT -5
Independence Bowl (Shreveport, LA)
California vs Texas Tech
California (6-6)
— Cal won last three games, scoring 34 ppg, to become bowl eligible.
— This is Cal’s first bowl since 2019.
— Bears allowed 34+ points in their last five losses.
— Cal scored 32-40-49 points in three of their losses.
— In four of last five games, Cal allowed 309+ passing yards.
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 92 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB completed 62.4% of passes (13 TDs, 7 INT).
— since 2017, Golden Bears are 29-14 ATS as an underdog.
— since 2018, Cal is 8-8 ATS outside the Pac-12.
— over is 5-2 in Cal’s last seven games.
— Golden Bears are 2-3 SU/ATS in their last five bowls.
— This year, Pac-12 underdogs are 3-3 ATS out of conference.
Texas Tech (6-6)
— Tech won three of last four games, to become bowl eligible.
— Last three games, Red Raiders gave up 247 rushing yards/game.
— Tech is 2-6 if they score less than 35 points.
— Last seven games, Red Raiders are minus-9 in turnovers.
— 11 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 142 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB is completing 61.8% of passes (12 TD’s, 7 INTs)
— under McGuire, Tech is 6-7 ATS as a favorite (3-5 TY).
— under is 6-4 in their last 10 I-A games.
— Red Raiders are in a bowl for third straight year.
— Tech won last two bowls as an underdog; scored 34-34-42 in last three.
— This year, Big X favorites are 10-13 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2004.
— last seven years. underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in this bowl.
— since 2018, Big X teams are 13-8 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents (1-3 TY)
— Last seven years, average total in Independence Bowl was 59.3.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:08:24 GMT -5
December 18
Famous Toastery Bowl (Charlotte)
Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion
Western Kentucky (7-5)
— WKU won three of its last four games.
— WKU is 5-0 when it scores 30+ points, 2-5 when it doesn’t.
— WKU gained 400+ TY in six of last eight games.
— Hilltoppers are +7 in turnovers; last two years, were +10/+11.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 56 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 14 games LY, threw for 4,744 yards, 40 TD’s.
— WKU is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
— WKU is 3-4 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
— under Helton, WKU is 14-8 ATS as an underdog.
— Hilltoppers are 3-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— WKU has been to a bowl the last four years (3-1)
Old Dominion (6-6)
— ODU won last two games 20-17/25-24 to become bowl eligible.
— Monarchs are 6-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— ODU is 1-6 when it allows 27+ points, 5-0 when it allows less than 27.
— Old Dominion was favored in only 2 of 11 I-A games this season.
— 4 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 31 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB was previously a backup at I-AA Fordham.
— First five games, ODU was minus-6 turnovers; last seven games, they were +6
— under Rahne, ODU is 3-3-1 ATS as a favorite.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Old Dominion is 1-1 SU/0-2 ATS in bowl games (2017, 2021)
— Hilltoppers won six of last seven series games (5-2 ATS).
— Last meeting was a 43-20 WKU win at Old Dominion, two years ago.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
— Last three years, Sun Belt teams are 12-8 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 14, 2023 10:09:21 GMT -5
December 19
Frisco Bowl
Texas-San Antonio vs Marshall
Texas-San Antonio (8-4)
— UTSA won seven of its last seven games, after a 1-3 start.
— Roadrunners lost AAC title game 29-16 at Tulane.
— Roadrunners scored 34+ points in seven of their eight wins.
— UTSA is 1-4 when they score less than 34 points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 42 games.
— UTSA is 3-2 ATS as a double digit favorite TY.
— under Traylor, UTSA is 18-16-1 ATS as a favorite.
— UTSA is minus-3 in turnovers TY (+22 from 2020-22)
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Roadrunners went 0-3 in bowls the last three years.
— UTSA (+3) lost this bowl 38-24 two years ago.
Marshall (6-6)
— Marshall lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
— In its last four losses, Marshall was outscored 113-24.
— Thundering Herd scored 31+ points in four of six wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started seven games last year.
— Marshall is 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Last five games, Marshall is minus-10 in turnovers.
— Thundering Herd is 0-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
— under is 4-2 in Marshall’s last six games.
— Last five years, Marshall went 2-3 in bowl games.
— These teams haven’t met since 2018.
— Marshall won two of three meetings (under 3-0)
— Last seven years, favorites are 4-3 ATS in this bowl.
— Winning side scored 35+ points in seven of eight Frisco Bowls.
— Last three years, Sun Belt teams are 12-8 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 19, 2023 21:03:42 GMT -5
December 21
Boca Raton Bowl
Syracuse (-3) vs South Florida
Syracuse (6-6)
— Syracuse lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
— Orangemen already fired their coach.
— Syracuse is 6-0 when it scores 28+ points, 0-6 when it doesn’t.
— Syracuse gained 399+ TY in its wins, 286 or less in its losses.
— under Babers, Syracuse is 12-10 ATS as a home favorite, 1-1 TY.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 47 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 21 games.
— Syracuse is 2-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Orangemen are 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— four of last five Syracuse games went over the total.
— Syracuse won four of its last five bowls (were favored in 1 of 5 games).
— ACC favorites are 13-10 ATS out of conference this season.
South Florida (6-6)
— USF gave up 41+ points in five of its six losses.
— Bulls are 5-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— new HC Golesh was OC at Tennessee last two years.
— USF gave up 465+ TY in five of its last six losses.
— Bulls threw for 319+ yards in three of last four games.
— 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 40 starts back on offensive line.
— freshman QB has completed 64.1% of passes (23 TD’s, 11 INT)
— Five of USF’s six losses were by 14+ points.
— Bulls have a minus-7 turnover ratio this year.
— over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— USF hasn’t been to a bowl since 2018.
— Bulls are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in their last five bowls
— AAC underdogs are 10-18 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2016.
— Underdogs covered this bowl three of last four years.
— since 2015, AAC teams are 3-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Average total in the nine Boca Raton Bowls: 66.4.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 10-1 ATS vs AAC opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 19, 2023 21:04:35 GMT -5
December 22
Gasparilla Bowl
Georgia Tech vs Central Florida (-4.5) (@ Tampa, FL)
Georgia Tech (6-6)
— Tech is 5-0 when it allows less than 31 points, 1-6 when they give up 31+.
— GT was 5-7 last year, despite being +11 in turnovers.
— GT is 6-6 this year, they’re +3 in turnovers.
— Tech ran for 200+ yards in five of last six games.
— Last six games, Tech gave up 237 rushing yards/game.
— 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 66 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB completed 61.9% of passes (26 TD’s, 15 INTs)
— Tech is 6-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Tech is 4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— over is 8-3 in their I-A games this season.
— Georgia Tech hasn’t had a winning season since 2018.
— Yellow Jackets haven’t gone bowling since 2018; last bowl win? 2016.
— ACC underdogs are 7-11 ATS out of inference this year.
UCF (6-6)
— UCF won three of its last four games, after an 0-5 skid.
— UCF is 6-1 when it gives up less than 31 points.
— Knights 442+ yards in six of last eight games.
— Last four games, UCF was +6 in turnovers.
— UCF is 2-3 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 126 starts back on offensive line- good depth
— senior QB Plumlee has 22 starts between UCF/Ole Miss.
— Knights are 1-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Underdogs covered nine of their last ten games.
— in his career, Malzahn is 3-6 SU in bowl games.
— UCF’s last four games stayed under the total.
— Central Florida is 2-3 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.
— UCF won this bowl two of last three years.
— Big X favorites are 10-13 ATS out of conference.
— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven Gasparilla Bowls.
— since 2019, Big X teams are 9-4 ATS vs ACC teams.
— Average total in last seven Gasparilla Bowls: 44.4.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:25:21 GMT -5
December 23
Birmingham Bowl
Troy (-7.5) vs Duke
Troy (11-2)
— Troy won its last ten games (8-1 ATS last nine).
— Trojans HC quit, moved on to Tulane.
— Trojans were held to 13-14 points in their two losses.
— under Sumrall, Trojans were 6-5 ATS as a favorite (1-2 TY).
— 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 88 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 28 career starts coming into this year.
— Last four games, Troy scored 40 points/game.
— Last seven games. Trojans are +9 in turnovers.
— Troy’s last four games went over the total.
— Troy won/covered its last five bowls, dating back to 2010.
— Sun Belt favorites are 9-6 ATS out of conference.
Duke (7-5)
— QB bolted to Notre Dame, coach bolted to Texas A&M.
— Duke is 3-5 in last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
— Duke allowed 21 or less points in its wins, 31.8 ppg in losses.
— Duke is 1-3 TY in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Blue Devils are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog (2-3 TY)
— 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 122 starts back on offensive line, with 4 starters back
— freshman backup QB threw 137 passes TY (8 TD, 3 INT)
— Blue Devils are 2-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
— over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— Duke won/covered its last four bowls; last bowl loss was in 2014.
— ACC underdogs are 7-10 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2014.
— Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine Birmingham Bowls.
— average total in this bowl the last six years: 64.0.
— since 2019, Sun Belt teams are 12-7 ATS vs ACC opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:27:36 GMT -5
Camellia Bowl
Arkansas State (-1) vs Northern Illinois (@ Montgomery, AL)
Arkansas State (6-6)
— Red Wolves won 77-31 (Texas State), lost 72-0 (Ohio State).
— Arkansas State is 1-1 in games decided by less than 10 points.
— ASU is 5-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
— 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 29 starts back on offensive line; they added 4 transfers.
— freshman QB completed 58.8% of passes (15 TD’s, 6 INTs)
— ASU allowed 436+ TY in five of last seven games.
— Last four games, Red Wolves are +6 in turnovers.
— Butch Jones is 4-2 SU in bowl games.
— This is Arkansas State’s first bowl since 2019.
— Red Wolves are 2-3 SU in their last five bowls.
Northern Illinois (6-6)
— Huskies won five of last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
— NIU is 4-1 giving up 14 or fewer points, 2-5 giving up 20+ points.
— NIU is +7 in turnovers in its wins, minus-9 in its losses.
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 117 starts back on offensive line; they’re supposed to be good.
— senior QB made 16 starts before this year.
— NIU is 4-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Under Hammock, NIU is 9-7 ATS in non-league games
— four of their last six games stayed under the total.
— NIU went to one bowl the last four years.
— Huskies lost their last seven bowls (1-4 ATS last five)
— MAC teams are 17-18 ATS this year, out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2011.
— Favorites covered this bowl three of last four years.
— since 2015, Sun Belt teams are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— average total in this bowl the last five years: 49.2
— MAC squads are 13-9-1 ATS in last 23 games vs Sun Belt opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:28:55 GMT -5
Armed Forces Bowl
James Madison (-3) vs Air Force (@ Fort Worth, TX)
James Madison (11-1)
— JMU’s only loss was 26-23 at home to App State Nov 18.
— Dukes have fun wins by 8 or fewer points.
— Dukes are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— JMU’s coach has bolted to Indiana.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line- lot of experience.
— junior QB has completed 68.9% of his passes, thrown 32 TD’s, 9 INT’s.
— JMU is 22-10 ATS in last 32 games as a favorite.
— In September, JMU won 45-38 at Utah State of Mountain West
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— This is James Madison’s first bowl.
— Sun Belt favorites are 9-6 ATS out of conference.
Air Force (8-4)
— Air Force lost its last four games, after an 8-0 start.
— Last four games, Falcons scored 15.5 ppg.
— Last four games, AF was minus-8 in turnovers.
— Seven of Air Force’s eight I-A wins are by 10+ points.
— 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 62 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has thrown 62 passes, run ball 133 times.
— since 2015, Air Force is 16-8-1 ATS as an underdog (0-1 TY)
— since 2016, Flyboys are 20-11-1 ATS in non-league games.
— four of their last six games stayed under the total.
— Air Force won its last four bowl games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
— Falcons (+3.5) won this bowl 30-15 last year.
— Mountain West underdogs are 16-9 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— since 2017, service academies are 4-0 SU in this game.
— last seven years, underdogs are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— since 2016, Mountain West teams are 13-5-2 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:29:25 GMT -5
Idaho Potato Bowl
Georgia State vs Utah State (-1) (@ Boise, ID)
Georgia State (6-6)
— Panthers lost last five games, after a 6-1 start.
— Georgia State allowed 42+ points in 4 of last 5 losses.
— Panthers scored 30+ points in five of their six wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has 23 starts.
— Georgia State is 8-5-1 ATS in its last 14 non-league games.
— Panthers are 5-4-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Their last three games stayed under the total.
— Panthers won three of last four bowls, scoring 39-51 in last two.
— Sun Belt teams are 18-14 ATS out of conference.
Utah State (6-6)
— Aggies won last game 44-41 to become bowl eligible.
— Utah State won three of its last four games.
— Utah State is 23-16 SU in three years under Anderson.
— USU is 6-2 when it scores 32+ points, 0-4 if it doesn’t.
— Last two games, Aggies gave up 352/337 yards rushing.
— 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 32 starts back on offensive line; inexperienced.
— junior QB has 8 career starts.
— TY, Aggies are 3-6 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Utah State is 8-10 ATS in last 18 non-league games.
— last six games, Aggies are minus-7 in turnovers.
— over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Utah State is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.
— Mountain West teams are 20-13 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Potato Bowls.
— since 2016, Mountain West teams are 13-5-2 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:30:15 GMT -5
Mobile Bowl
Eastern Michigan @ South Alabama (-16) (@ Mobile, AL)
Eastern Michigan (6-6)
— EMU won last two games, 30-27/24-11, to become bowl eligible.
— Eagles are 5-0 scoring 24+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 24.
— EMU is 1-5 SU/4-2 ATS on the road this year.
— 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 58 starts back on offensive line; only two starters are back.
— soph QB Smith is completing 57.4% of passes, with 9 TD’s, 7 INT’s.
— EMU is 28-8 ATS last 36 games as a road underdog (4-2 TY).
— under Creighton, EMU is 30-13-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— Eagles are 4-9 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
— three of their last four games went over.
— Eagles are 22-16 SU last three years (32-61 from 2013-20).
— EMU won bowl game 41-27 LY, snapping 4-game bowl losing skid.
— MAC road underdogs are 15-12 ATS out of conference.
South Alabama (6-6)
— USA is 4-1 when it scores 33+ points, 2-5 when it doesn’t.
— Five of six Jaguar wins were by 18+ points.
— USA is 1-4 in games decided by 13 or less points.
— 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 69 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB had 13 career starts coming into this year.
— Jaguars lost SU twice as a double digit favorite TY (3-3 ATS).
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— Four of Jaguars’ last five games stayed under the total.
— under Wommack, Jaguars are 6-8 ATS in non-conference games.
— South Alabama is 0-3 in bowl games (’14, ’16, last year)
— Sun Belt home favorites are 5-4 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— Favorites covered this bowl the last three years.
— MAC squads are 13-9-1 ATS in last 23 games vs Sun Belt opponents.
— This bowl is played in South Alabama’s stadium.
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