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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:31:14 GMT -5
Las Vegas Bowl
Utah (-7) vs Northwestern
Utah (8-4)
— Utah is 2-3 in its last five games, after a 6-1 start.
— Utes are 7-0 when they allow 17 or less points, 1-4 if they allow more than 17.
— Utah allowed 32+ points in four of last six games.
— Utah is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games as a favorite (4-2 TY).
— 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 84 starts back on offensive line; high expectations
— soph QB Barnes is completing 58.5% of passes (12 TD/9 INT)
— last 4+ years, Utes are 42-17 SU.
— Utah is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 non-league games.
— Five of their last seven games went over.
— Utah lost last four bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
— Pac-12 favorites are 13-6 ATS out of conference.
Northwestern (7-5)
— Northwestern had off-field issues in off-season, has a new coach.
— Ex-coach Fitzgerald was 111-101 there, played there; big change
— Interim coach did so well, he is now the full-time coach.
— Wildcats won last three games to become bowl eligible.
— 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 27 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 11 games at Cincinnati last year.
— Northwestern covered its last six games (4-2 SU)
— Wildcats covered their last five tries as an underdog.
— Northwestern is 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— This is Northwestern’s first bowl since 2020.
— Wildcats won their last four bowls (two as an underdog)
— Northwestern (+7) upset Utah 31-20 in 2018 Holiday Bowl.
— Favorite covered last four Las Vegas Bowls.
— since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS in this bowl.
— Pac-12 teams are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games vs Big 14 opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 21, 2023 9:31:50 GMT -5
Hawai’i Bowl
Coastal Carolina vs San Jose State (-10)
Coastal Carolina (7-5)
— Coastal’s 4-year starting QB has bolted to NC State.
— Coastal lost last two games, 28-21/56-14.
— Chanticleers are 0-5 giving up 27+ points, 7-0 giving up less than 27.
— Coastal is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Chanticleers are 11-4 ATS last 15 games as an underdog.
— 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 39 starts back on offensive line.
— backup QB has completed 62.9% of passes (4 TD’s, one INT)
— Coastal is 11-9 ATS in its last 20 non-league games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— Coastal has played in bowls the last three years, their first three bowls.
— Coastal was 1-2 in those bowls, with average total of 80.3.
— Sun Belt underdogs are 9-10 ATS out of conference.
San Jose State (7-5)
— Spartans won their last six games, after a 1-5 start.
— San Jose allowed 35+ points in four of five losses.
— Spartans are bowl eligible for third time in four years.
— San Jose is 6-0 when they score 30+, 1-5 when they don’t.
— 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 86 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has started 35 games, 23 at Hawai’i.
— Spartans are 4-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
— under Brennan, San Jose is 12-13 ATS in non-conference tilts.
— San Jose ran ball for 217+ yards in five of last six games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— San Jose made bowls two of last three years, but lost both.
— Mountain West favorites are 4-4 ATS out of conference.
— Underdogs won the last five Hawai’i Bowls SU.
— Mountain West teams are 4-2 ATS in last six Hawai’i Bowls.
— since 2016, Mountain West teams are 13-5-2 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:38:28 GMT -5
December 26
Quick Lane Bowl (@ Detroit)
Bowling Green vs Minnesota (-3.5)
Bowling Green (7-5)
— Bowling Green won five of its last six games.
— Last eight games, Bowling Green has a +13 turnover ratio.
— Falcons have played only two games decided by less than 10 points.
— Falcons won four of their last five games away from home.
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 75 starts back on offensive line, are expected to improve.
— junior QB Bazelak started 29 games at Missouri/Indiana.
— Falcons are 16-10-1 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
— BG is 3-3 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
— over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Bowling Green lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS)
— This is Falcons’ first winning season since 2015.
— Last year, Bowling Green (-6.5) lost this bowl 30-27 to Pitt.
— MAC non-conference underdogs are 16-14 ATS.
Minnesota (5-7)
— Gophers are somehow in a bowl, despite their 5-7 record.
— Minnesota lost its last four games, giving up 35.3 ppg.
— Gophers are 2-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
— In his career, Fleck is 5-2 SU in bowls.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 49 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started five games last year.
— This year, Minnesota is 3-5 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— under Fleck, Minnesota is 22-20-1 ATS as a favorite.
— under is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Gophers won their last six bowls, were underdog in three of them.
— Minnesota won this bowl in 2015/2018.
— Big 14 non-conference favorites are 11-14 ATS this year.
— Two years ago, Bowling Green (+31) upset Minnesota, 14-10.
— Underdogs are 6-3 ATS in last nine Quick Lane Bowls.
— since 2013, MAC teams are 2-4 ATS in this bowl.
— Last two years, MAC teams are 8-7 ATS vs Big 14 opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:39:00 GMT -5
First Responder Bowl (@ Dallas)
Texas State (-4) vs Rice
Texas State (7-5)
— This is Texas State’s first-ever bowl; they’ll be excited.
— Texas State lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
— Bobcats are 6-0 when they score 35+ points, 1-5 when they don’t.
— Bobcats (+27) stunned Baylor 42-31 in September.
— 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB started 3 games at Auburn, also played at LSU
— Bobcats are 2-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Texas State is 2-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Texas State is 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
— TSU’s coach was 12-2 LY at I-AA Incarnate Word.
— Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 9-6 ATS this year.
Rice (6-6)
— Rice won its two games, to become bowl eligible
— Owls are 5-0 when they allow 21 or less points.
— Rice gave up 30+ points in all its losses this season.
— under Bloomgren, Rice is 28-19 ATS as an underdog (5-1 TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 94 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB has completed 63.6% of his passes, thrown 15 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— This year, Rice is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Rice is minus-5 in turnovers this year (minus-13 last year)
— Last three Rice games stayed under the total.
— Rice got to a bowl LY, its first bowl since 2014.
— Owls are 3-2 SU in their last five bowls.
— AAC underdogs are 10-18 ATS in non-league games.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— since 2013, favorites are 5-3-1 ATS in this bowl.
— since 2020, Sun Belt teams are 14-6 ATS vs AAC opponents (6-3 TY)
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:39:27 GMT -5
Guaranteed Rate Bowl (@ Phoenix)
Kansas vs UNLV
Kansas (8-4)
— Jayhawks split their last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
— Five of their last six games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Kansas gave up 31+ points in three of four losses.
— Jayhawks are 7-1 when they give up 30 or less points.
— Last three games, Jayhawks ran ball for 251 yards/game.
— 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line; four starters are back
— junior QB has started 13 games.
— under Leipold, Kansas is 6-4 ATS as a favorite.
— In his career, Leipold is 2-2 ATS in bowl games.
— Kansas is 5-1 ATS in last six non-league games.
— three of last four Kansas games stayed under the total.
— Kansas was 6-7 LY, going to their first bowl since 2008.
— Jayhawks won three of their last four bowl games.
— Big X non-conference favorites are 10-13 ATS.
UNLV (9-4)
— Rebels are in their first bowl game since 2013.
— UNLV’s last bowl win was in 2000.
— UNLV lost its last two games, giving up 37-44 points.
— Rebels gave up 35-31-37-44 points in their four losses.
— Last three games, UNLV gave up 292.7 rushing yards/game.
— Rebels are 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 55 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 63% of passes (14 TD’s, 8 INT)
— UNLV is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
— Over is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
— Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 16-9 ATS.
— Coach Odom is 0-2 as a head coach in bowls.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— Average total in this bowl the last four times, 33.5.
— Favorites covered four of last five Guaranteed Rate Bowls.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:40:17 GMT -5
December 27
Military Bowl (@ Annapolis, MD)
Virginia Tech (-8.5) vs Tulane
Virginia Tech (6-6)
— Tech won four of last six games, after a 2-4 start.
— Hokies scored 30+ points in wins, 17 or less in 5 of 6 losses.
— Tech is 5-1 ATS this season as a favorite.
— 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 53 starters back on offensive line.
— soph QB Drones completed 58.3% of passes (15 TDs, 3 INT’s)
— TY, Hokies are 5-5 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Under Fry, Tech is 2-6 ATS in non-ACC games.
— Over is 6-2 in Hokies’ last six games.
— Hokies lost their last four bowls, giving up 39 ppg.
— Tech’s last bowl win was in 2016.
— ACC non-conference favorites are 13-10 ATS.
Tulane (11-2)
— Tulane’s coach bolted for the $$$ to Houston.
— Tulane is 10-1 in its last ten games since 37-20 loss to Ole Miss.
— Tulane was held to 20-14 points in its two losses.
— This is only 2nd time this year Green Wave is an underdog.
— Green Wave is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog.
— Tulane has four wins by 7 or fewer points.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 130 starts back on offensive line.
— junior QB has 33 starts
— Under is 11-1 in Tulane’s last 12 games.
— Tulane is 3-1 SU/ATS in its last four bowls.
— Green Wave (+2) beat USC 46-45 in Cotton Bowl LY.
— AAC non-conference underdogs are 10-18 ATS.
— Favorites covered three of last four Military Bowls.
— since 2014, ACC teams are 4-2 SU in this bowl.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-1 SU/ATS vs AAC opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:41:15 GMT -5
Duke’s Mayo Bowl (@ Charlotte, NC)
West Virginia (-6.5) vs North Carolina
West Virginia (8-4)
— WVU won four of its last five games.
— WVU ran ball for 226+ yards in five of last six games.
— In their losses, Mountaineers allowed 38-41-48-59 points.
— WVU is 8-0 when it allows less than 38 points.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 133 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB started two games last year.
— WVU is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— WVU is 11-9 ATS last 20 games as a favorite (3-3 TY).
— over is 6-1 in WVU’s last seven games.
— since 2016, West Virginia is 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in bowl games
— Big X non-conference favorites are 10-13 ATS.
North Carolina (8-4)
— Tar Heels’ QB quit the team, to prepare for NFL Draft.
— Backup QB threw six passes this year, not ideal.
— UNC lost four of last six games, after a 6-0 start.
— UNC gave up 436+ TY in five of last six I-A games.
— Carolina gave up 31+ points in its last six I-A games.
— Tar Heels were underdog in only one game TY (L 31-20 at Clemson)
— Last five years, UNC is 7-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Last nine games, UNC is +8 in turnovers.
— 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line.
— over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games
— Carolina went bowling last four years, lost last three.
— Mack Brown is 15-11 SU in bowls, 5-5 at Carolina.
— ACC non-conference underdogs are 7-11 ATS.
— These teams haven’t met since 2008.
— Underdogs won/covered 4 of last 5 Mayo Bowls.
— ACC teams lost the last four Mayo Bowls.
— since 2019, AAC teams are 12-7 ATS vs Big X opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:42:04 GMT -5
Holiday Bowl (@ San Diego)
Louisville (-7.5) vs USC
Louisville (10-3)
— Louisville lost its last two games, after a 10-1 start.
— Cardinals gave up 38 points in both losses (Pitt/Kentucky)
— Louisville has five wins by 7 or fewer points.
— Louisville scored 31+ points in four of last five games.
— Cardinals are 3-6 ATS as a favorite TY.
— Cardinals are 4-5 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
— 150 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB started 12 games at Cal last year.
— In his career, Brohm is 32-36 ATS as a favorite.
— three of last four Louisville games went over the total.
— Coach Brohm is 4-1 SU in bowl games.
— ACC favorites are 13-10 ATS out of conference.
— Cardinals went bowling five of last seven years (2-3 SU).
— Louisville was in ACC title game for first time this year.
— Louisville QB Plummer threw for 406 yards LY in 41-35 loss at USC, while he was playing for the Cal Bears.
USC (7-5)
— USC’s top two QB’s quit team; they’ve got only one scholarship QB.
— USC lost five of last six games, giving up 42.4 ppg in last eight games.
— Soph backup QB Miller is 23-32/309 passing this season.
— USC is 0-5 ATS TY in games with spread of 10 or less points.
— In his career, Riley is 5-2 ATS as an underdog (1-2 TY)
— They’ve already fired the defensive coordinator
— 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
— 95 starts back on offensive line
— junior QB has started 21 games, was favored to win Heisman Trophy.
— USC is 1-8 against spread in its last nine games.
— over is 7-2 in their last eight games; that was with Williams at QB.
— USC is 1-4 SU in last five bowls (favored in 3 of 5 games)
— Pac-12 underdogs are 3-3 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— Did mention above that Plummer played against USC last year.
— Underdogs covered six of last eight Holiday Bowls.
— Pac-12 teams are 2-6 SU/0-8 ATS in last eight Holiday Bowls.
— since 2014, ACC teams are 11-4-1 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:42:39 GMT -5
Texas Bowl (@ Houston)
Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M (-2.5)
Oklahoma State (9-4)
— Okla State won 7 of last 9 games, after a 2-2 start.
— OSU allowed 33-34-45-49 points in its four losses.
— Okla State was 7-3 in Big X games (average total, 60.3).
— Cowboys are 5-0 scoring 30+ points, 4-4 scoring less than 30.
— Cowboys are minus-6 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 129 starts back on offensive line; improvement is expected.
— senior QB Bowman has 5,329 passing yards and 34 passing TD’s in his career.
— He came to OSU after playing at Texas Tech/Michigan.
— Cowboys are 4-2 ATS as an underdog this year
— OSU is 6-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— In his career, Gundy is 35-30-2 ATS as an underdog.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Cowboys are 3-2 in last five bowls, winning by 5-3-2 points.
— Big X underdogs are 4-3 ATS out of conference.
Texas A&M (7-5)
— A&M is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
— A&M fired its coach in November.
— A&M is 0-3 TY in games decided by 11 or less points.
— Aggies are 7-3 when scoring 27+ points (0-2 score less than 27).
— Aggies are 7-1 giving up 22 or less points (0-4 giving up 26+).
— 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 91 starts back on offensive line.
— 3rd-string soph QB is 27-42/410 passing (4 TD’s, no INTs)
— A&M is 2-3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— A&M is 5-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— A&M won its last three bowls, scoring 52-24-41 points.
— Before 2012, these teams were rivals in the Big X.
— Oklahoma State won four of last five series games (last meeting, 2019)
— Aggies (-4.5) beat OSU 24-21 in 2019 Texas Bowl.
— Underdogs covered four of last five Texas Bowls.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 24, 2023 8:51:17 GMT -5
So far. 13 doggies and 4 favs
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Post by Gooba on Dec 26, 2023 8:48:39 GMT -5
December 28
Wasabi Fenway Bowl
SMU (-10) at Boston College (@ Fenway Park, Boston)
SMU (11-2)
— SMU won its last nine games (5-3 ATS), scoring 43.8 ppg.
— Mustangs scored 26+ points in its wins this year.
— SMU’s losses are to Big X teams: 28-11 at Oklahoma, 34-17 at TCU.
— under Lashlee, Mustangs are 6-3 ATS as a favorite, 4-2 on road.
— last five years, SMU is 42-18 SU/30-29 ATS.
— 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 123 starts back on offensive line.
— soph QB Stone has competed 59.9% of passes, with 28 TD’s, 8 INT.
— five of SMU’s last seven games went over total.
— AAC non-conference favorites are 6-6 ATS this year.
— SMU was in the AAC title game this year, for first time.
— SMU lost its last three bowls, were favored in all three;
— Mustangs’ last bowl win was in 2012.
Boston College (6-6)
— Eagles lost their last three games, giving up 32.3 ppg.
— BC is 5-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 allowing 27+.
— Eagles are 5-3 SU this year in one-score games.
— Last three games, BC averaged only 293.7 yards/game.
— 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 137 starts back on offensive line; much improved.
— soph QB has completed 57.1% of passes (15 TD’s, 13 INT)
— under Hafley, BC is 15-16 ATS as an underdog (3-4 TY).
— over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
— ACC non-conference underdogs are 9-10 ATS this season.
— BC hasn’t played in a bowl since 2019 (one in ’21 was cancelled).
— Eagles lost last two bowls; their last bowl win was in 2016.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— This is the 2nd Fenway Bowl; favorite won/covered the first one.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 11-1 SU/ATS vs AAC opponents.
— Boston in December; weather could be a factor.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 26, 2023 8:49:42 GMT -5
Pinstripe Bowl (@ Bronx)
Miami vs Rutgers (-1)
Miami FL (7-5)
— Miami is 1-3 in last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— ‘canes are 7-2 when they score 28+, 0-3 if they don’t.
— Last three years, Miami is 19-17 SU, 14-21 ATS.
— Last two games, Miami gained 486-532 TY.
— 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense
— 120 starts back on offensive line.
— starting QB Van Dyke bolted to Wisconsin.
— backup QB Williams is 44-71/470 passing (3 TDs, one INT)
— Miami is 2-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Miami is 3-0 ATS this year, in non-conference games.
— TY, ACC teams are 26-18 SU/22-22 ATS out of conference.
— over is 3-2 in their last five games.
— Miami hasn’t been to a bowl since 2020
— ‘canes lost their last four bowls; last bowl win? 2016.
Rutgers (6-6)
— Rutgers lost its last four games, all by 19+ points.
— Knights scored 11.5 ppg in those four losses.
— Rutgers is 0-5 when it scores less than 24 points.
— Rutgers threw for more than 180 yards in only one game TY.
— Knights are 0-6 when they allow more than 319 TY.
— 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 101 starters back on offensive line; new OL coach comes from NFL.
— soph QB started 6 games last year.
— Scarlet Knights are 4-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Rutgers is 9-3 ATS in last 12 non-conference games.
— over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Big 14 teams are 22-11 SU/14-19 ATS out of conference.
— Rutgers is 1-3 in its last four bowls; last bowl win was in 2014.
— This is only second bowl since 2014 for the Scarlet Knights.
— These teams haven’t met since 2003.
— since 2020, Big 14 teams are 14-8 ATS vs ACC opponents.
— Big 14 teams beat ACC squads in last six Pinstripe Bowls.
— Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
— Miami lost this bowl 35-3 five years ago.
— December in New York; weather could be an issue.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 26, 2023 8:50:39 GMT -5
Pop-Tarts Bowl (@ Orlando, FL)
NC State vs Kansas State (-2.5)
NC State (9-3)
— NC State won its last five games, after a 4-3 start.
— Last five games, Wolfpack is +9 in turnovers.
— NC State was held to 24-10-3 points in its losses.
— State is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— senior QB Armstrong started 30 games at Virginia.
— This year, State is 6-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— This year, Wolfpack is 5-2 ATS as an underdog.
— six of their last nine games stayed under total.
— ACC underdogs are 9-11 ATS out of conference.
— NC State lost its last three bowls; their last bowl win: 2017.
Kansas State (8-4)
— K-State’s QB bolted to USC.
— Backup QB is 23-35/301 passing (3 TD’s, no INT)
— K-State split last four games, after a 6-2 start.
— Last seven games, K-State has a +13 turnover ratio.
— Wildcats are 7-0 when they allow less the 29 points.
— K-State is 8-1 scoring 31+ points (27-21-30-35 in losses)
— 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 109 starts back on offensive line; all five starters are back
— Backup QB has run ball 44 times for 217 yards.
— K-State is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— under Klieman, K-State is 19-11 ATS as a favorite.
— under Klieman, K-State is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games.
— over is 3-1 in their last four games
— Big X non-conference favorites are 11-14 ATS
— Wildcats went to a bowl games three of last four years.
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— ACC teams are 7-3 SU in last 10 Pop Tarts Bowls.
— Favorites covered this bowl six of last seven years.
— Last two years, Big X teams are 7-1-1 ATS vs ACC opponents.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 26, 2023 8:51:54 GMT -5
Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
Arizona (-2.5) vs Oklahoma
Arizona (9-3)
— From 2018-22, Wildcats were 15-38 SU; they’re 9-3 this year.
— Arizona won its last six games, scoring 38.8 ppg.
— Last two games, Wildcats threw ball for 852 yards.
— Wildcats are 8-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
— last four years, Arizona is minus-32 in turnovers (even TY).
— 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
— 63 starts back on offensive line.
— frosh QB has completed 73.6% of passes (23 TD’s, 5 INTs)
— Arizona is 5-0 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Arizona is 3-2 ATS as a favorite this year.
— over is 3-0 in last three Arizona games.
— Pac-12 non-conference favorites are 14-7 ATS.
— Arizona hasn’t played in a bowl game since 2017.
— Wildcats are 3-2 in last five bowls (average total, 76.2)
Oklahoma (10-2)
— QB Gabriel bolted to Oregon.
— Sooners have impressive numbers, but w/o the QB, who knows?
— Oklahoma scored 53 ppg in its last three games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 1-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Oklahoma is +11 in turnovers this season.
— 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense
— 147 starts back on OL; should be much better
— backup QB is 18-24/202 TY, with 2 TD’s, no INTs.
— Oklahoma allowed 20+ points in its last eight games.
— under Venables, Sooners are 6-1 ATS in non-conference games.
— Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Big X non-conference underdogs are 4-3 ATS this season.
— Oklahoma is 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in last five bowls (average total, 78.2)
— These teams haven’t met in this century.
— since 2018, Big X teams are 14-8 ATS vs Pac-12 opponents.
— Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Alamo Bowls.
— Oklahoma won this game 47-32 two years ago.
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Post by Gooba on Dec 27, 2023 11:41:24 GMT -5
December 29
Gator Bowl (@ Jacksonville)
Clemson (-4) vs Kentucky
Clemson (8-4)
— Clemson won its last four games, after a 4-4 start.
— Tigers are 8-0 giving up 23 or less points, 0-4 if they allow 24+
— Clemson is 9-6 SU in last 15 games overall.
— Last four games, Tigers are +6 in turnovers.
— Clemson held 3 of last 5 opponents under 260 total yards.
— 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense
— 99 starts back on OL, with four returning starters.
— soph QB has completed 63% of passes, with 19 TD’s, 8 INTs
— Tigers are 5-4 ATS as a favorite this season.
— Clemson is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
— Tigers are 11-16 ATS in last 27 non-conference games.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine Clemson games.
— ACC non-conference favorites are 13-11 ATS
— Clemson lost three of its last four bowls SU.
Kentucky (7-5)
— Kentucky lost five of last seven games, after a 5-0 start.
— Wildcats are 7-1 giving up 31 or fewer points, 0-4 giving up 33+.
— Kentucky is 1-5 scoring less than 28 points.
— Kentucky was held under 300 TY in six of last seven games.
— 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
— 125 starts back on offensive line (four starters back)
— senior QB split two games vs Clemson while at NC State.
— Wildcats are 1-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
— in his career, Stoops is 30-33-2 ATS as an underdog
— Kentucky is 14-3 ATS in last 17 non-SEC games.
— Seven of last nine Kentucky games went over the total.
— Wildcats won four of their last five bowls (lost 21-0 LY).
— This year, SEC underdogs are 2-4 ATS out of conference.
— These teams haven’t met since 2009.
— Favorites are 6-3 ATS in last nine Gator Bowls.
— SEC teams are 6-2 SU in their last eight Gator Bowls.
— This year, ACC teams are 7-3 ATS vs SEC opponents.
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