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Post by Makers on Oct 6, 2021 4:36:32 GMT -5
Bettor Wins $126K on 10-Leg NFL Parlay After Placing $500 WagerTalk about sweating out the last leg of a parlay. One gambler wagered $500 on a 10-team parlay in Week 4 of the NFL season. The payout was more than $126,000 and came down to the Los Angeles Chargers giving up three points in Monday's game against the Las Vegas Raiders. Said gambler let it ride instead of cashing out for more than $45,000:
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Post by Makers on Oct 6, 2021 5:26:06 GMT -5
MLB: Red Sox beat Yankees 6-2 in AL wild-card game on Tuesday night. The Red Sox did it after closing as + 120 home underdogs (Yankees were bet from -115 to as high as -135). The game, which looks like an Under for nearly the whole game, Pushed on the closing total of 8 runs when Giancarlo Stanton hit a "meaningless" solo HR in the top of ninth inning. That was a little bit of a bad Push for Under bettors who bet the closing line, though not for those that bet early as the total opened 8.5 at most books (and 9 at a few such as the Westgate and Wynn in Las Vegas).
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Post by Makers on Oct 10, 2021 5:13:54 GMT -5
Saturday’s recaps
MLB: Dodgers (-126 road favorites) routed Giants 9-2 late Saturday to even their National League Division Series at 1-1. The game went Over the betting total of 7.5 runs as the Dodgers went Over by themselves. Earlier in the other NLDS, the Braves (+ 105 road underdogs) shut out Brewers 3-0 to also even their series at 1-1. Tha games stayed Under 7 runs). Faves and dogs split 1-1 Saturday. Faves lead 5-3 through the LDS Game 2s. Road teams went 2-0 Saturday, but home teams still lead 5-3, though now top seeds go on the road. Over/Unders split 1-1 Saturday. Unders lead 5-3.
CFB: Texas A/M upset No. 1 Alabama 41-38 on 28-yard FG as time expired. The Aggies closed as 19-point home underdogs and + 720 on the money line. The game flew Over the betting total of 50.5 points. No. 2 Georgia (-15.5) covered in a 34-10 win at No. 18 Auburn. No. 3 Iowa (-2.5) covered in 23-20 win vs. No. 4 Penn State. No. 6 Oklahoma (-4) somehow covered in 55-38 Red River Shootout vs. Texas in the Cotton Bowl after trailing 28-7; OU was trying to set up the winning FG, but scored TD instead in the closing seconds. Boise State ( 6.5) upset No. 10 BYU 26-17.
Boxing: Tyson Fury knocked out Deontay Wilder in the 11th round of a classic fight for the WBC world heavyweight boxing championship late Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Fury closed as a consensus -290 favorite. The fight went Over (aka "will go") 7.5 rounds.
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Post by Makers on Oct 20, 2021 7:27:00 GMT -5
MLB: Astros (+ 115 road underdogs) beat Red Sox 9-2 late Tuesday to even the American League Championship Series at 2-2. The game went Over the betting total of 10 runs with the final run in the Astros' seven-run 9th inning -- a “Bad Beat” for Under bettors. Earlier, the Dodgers (-180 home faves) rallied to beat the Braves 6-5 to pull within 2-1 in the NLCS. The game went Over 7.5 runs. Faves/dogs and home/road both split 1-1 on Tuesday while Overs went 2-0. Faves lead 4-3 in this round, home teams lead 5-2 and Overs improved to 6-1. In LDS and LCS rounds, faves lead 16-8, home teams also lead 16-8 and Overs lead 15-9 NBA: Warriors (+ 3.5) upset the Lakers 121-114 as road underdogs late Tuesday on the opening night of the NBA regular season. The game Over betting total of 226 points. Earlier, the defending champion Bucks (-1.5) routed the Nets 127-104 as short home favorites after getting their rings. The game stayed Under the total of 233.5 points. Faves/dogs and home/road split 1-1 SU and ATS, and Over/Unders were also 1-1. NHL: Favorites went 6-5 Tuesday with only the Devils, Red Wings and Islanders covering the -1.5 puck line. Biggest upsets were by the Sharks (+ 140 in 5-0 road win at Canadiens) and Sabres (+ 132 in 5-2 home win vs. Canucks). Unders went 6-4-1 with the push in Kraken-Devils (6) game
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Post by Makers on Oct 22, 2021 4:09:37 GMT -5
Caesars Sportsbook reported a $500,000 bet on the Broncos +4
Once the Browns announced that Case Keenum would start in place of Mayfield, the line dropped to Broncos +2.
We don’t know whether this bettor had some kind of inside information about Mayfield’s injury, just suspected that Mayfield’s injured shoulder would have an impact on the game, or simply thought Broncos +4 was a good bet regardless of Mayfield’s status.
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Post by Makers on Oct 22, 2021 5:41:17 GMT -5
One bettor at DraftKings Sportsbook will likely be a loud and proud member of the Dawg Pound from this point forward because the Cleveland Browns won as the last leg of a four-team parlay worth over $1.3 million. The Browns moneyline at -130 was the swing game to see if this parlay that cost $30,000 would be worth seven figures. Cleveland came through.
Two NBA underdogs and a live moneyline bet on Appalachian State came together to create this huge opportunity on Thursday Night Football. The Denver Nuggets, Sacramento Kings and Mountaineers all won on Wednesday to set up Thursday night's sweat.
The bet was placed on Wednesday night at 8:38 p.m. ET, so the bettor in question was already well aware that Case Keenum was getting the start for the Browns and the line had already dropped enough for Cleveland to be -130 to win the game outright.
This was a big bet and one that paid off, as the Browns got a career performance from D'Ernest Johnson and a gritty defensive effort to secure a big win to move to 4-3. It was certainly a big win for the lucky bettor as well.
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Post by Makers on Oct 25, 2021 5:51:57 GMT -5
It was a mixed bag for NFL Week 7 bettors, as favorites went 6-4 straight up on Sunday but dogs and favorites split 5-5 ATS. One notable takeaway was big double-digit favorites going 2-1 ATS, with covers by the Cardinals (-20, beat Texans 31-5) and Bucs (-12, beat Bears 38-3). Bettors are often wary of laying big numbers, but double-digit favorites are now 8-3 ATS (73%) on the season. Also, the Colts also beat the 49ers 30-18 on Sunday Night Football, winning outright as 3.5-point road dogs. With the cover, primetime dogs improve to 13-7 ATS (65%). Unders went 6-5 on Sunday to improve to 58-47 (55%) on the season.
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Post by Makers on Oct 26, 2021 5:09:26 GMT -5
For a third straight week, several U.S. sportsbooks suffered a losing Sunday. :) "I don't recall three weeks quite like this in my 25 years in the industry," Jason McCormick, vice president of race and sports for Station Casinos in Las Vegas, said Sunday night.
The largest reported bets on Sunday games at Caesars Sportsbook: $520,000 on Rams -15 (loss)
$520,000 on Bears +13 (loss)
$520,000 on Cardinals -17 (win)
$520,000 on Ravens -6 (loss)
$520,000 on Colts +3.5 (win)
$220,000 on Titans money-line +210 (win +$462,000)
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Post by Makers on Oct 26, 2021 6:00:36 GMT -5
Famous Texas gambler “Mattress Mack,” known for his bold multi-million-dollar wagers on his hometown sports team, could win $36 million on the World Series.
Furniture tycoon Jim McIngvale placed $3.3 million dollars in bets on the Houston Astros who take on the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday. He reportedly placed the bet in Indiana.
According to William Hill, the spoils could be the largest payout in sports betting history.
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Post by Makers on Oct 28, 2021 5:36:58 GMT -5
NBA: Unders went 7-3 on Wednesday to improve to 39-25 (61%) on the season. If the total is 220 or more, the under is 31-14 (69%). This early season under trend is notable for two reasons. First, we historically see lower scoring games at the beginning of a new season because defenses are ahead of offenses and teams are adjusting to new players, coaches, environments, etc. It takes some time for offenses to gel and players to get their shots down. Secondly, and maybe most importantly, is the NBA's decision to crack down on "abnormal" basketball movements to draw fouls. So far, fouls are way down and free throws are at an all-time low (just 19.5 per game). Simply put, guys aren't getting to the line like they used to. This is leading to less scoring, fewer overs and more unders. The market is sure to adjust in the coming days and weeks, but early on the foul crackdown has helped bettors cash a lot of under tickets.
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Post by Makers on Oct 29, 2021 6:36:41 GMT -5
Thursday’s recaps
NFL: Packers held off the Cardinals 24-21 on Thursday Night Football to deal Arizona its first loss of the season to kick off NFL Week 8. The Packers did it as 6.5-point underdogs and + 230 on the money line. The game stayed Under 51); primetime Overs drop to 12-9-1 (after 6-0 start) as #TNF had 6th straight Under.
CFB: No. 24 Coastal Carolina (17-point home favorite) beat Troy 35-28, but did NOT cover the spread. The game went Over the betting total of 50.5 points. Also on Thursday night, East Carolina (9.5-point home fave) covered in a 29-14 win vs. South Florida, That game stayed Under 56.
NBA: Faves/dogs split 3-3 SU but dogs went 5-1 ATS with upsets by the Wizards (+ 4 vs. Hawks), Knicks (+ 1.5 at Bulls) and Grizzlies (+ 6 at Warriors), plus Pistons (+ 11 at 76ers) and Spurs (+ 6.5 at Mavs) covering in SU losses. The Jazz (-9.5 at Rockets) were the only fave to cover. Unders went 4-2.
NHL: Underdogs went 5-3 Thursday with the Wild-Kraken game closing pick-'em. Upsets were by the Flames (-105 at Penguins), Sabres (+ 115 at Ducks), Flyers (+ 120 at Canucks), Canadiens (+ 110 at Sharks) and Jets (+ 100 at Kings). Road teams went 6-3, while Unders went 6-3
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Post by Makers on Nov 2, 2021 5:14:40 GMT -5
The Chiefs edged the Giants 20-17 on Monday Night Football, although underdogs continued their hot streak as New York covered the spread (+ 10.5). With the cover, dogs improve to 69-53 ATS (56.6%) on the season. Road dogs improve to 44-28 ATS (61.1%) and primetime dogs move to 17-7 ATS (70.8%). The under 53 also cashed last night. Unders are now 68-53 (56.2%) this season while non-conference unders are 23-13 (63.9%).
Monday also marked a momentous day in the legalization of sports betting in America as the state of Florida quietly and surprisingly legalized betting.
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Post by Makers on Nov 5, 2021 5:17:15 GMT -5
NBA Unders: They went 4-1 on Thursday night. Unders are now 77-46 (63%) on the season. This has been in large part due to the NBA's crackdown on "abnormal" basketball movements, which has led to massive reduction in fouls and free throws. Books have adjusted their totals downward, but unders still keep cashing.
NHL Favorites: They went 8-1 on Thursday night. Favorites are now 97-59 (62%) on the season. Home favorites -175 or more are 27-10 (73%). Big favorites -200 or more are 24-4 (86%). Home favorites off a win against an opponent off al loss are 22-5 (82%). Home teams have an advantage in hockey because they get the last change in terms of which lines are on the ice.
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Post by Makers on Nov 9, 2021 7:59:46 GMT -5
The Steelers edged the Bears 29-27 on Monday Night Football, although Chicago was able to cover the spread as a 7-point road dog. With the cover, dogs improve to 78-57 ATS (58%) on the season, with road dogs 51-30 ATS (63%) and primetime dogs 19-8 ATS (70%).
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Post by Makers on Nov 10, 2021 8:17:33 GMT -5
Championship Odds
No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (9-0, -110)
Georgia remained at the top of the list this week, to the surprise of absolutely nobody. Last week you could get Georgia at plus money to win the Natty. This week, you cannot.
Reality seems to have set in that Georgia could lose to Alabama (or somebody else) in Atlanta and still be in the top four. At this point, the title is Georgia’s to lose, but there aren’t going to be a lot of people that want to lay -110 on the Bulldogs, even if there is no debate about the best team in the country.
Remaining schedule: @ Tennessee, Charleston Southern, @ Georgia Tech, SEC Championship Game Dec. 4
No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1, + 360)
We almost had a monumental shake-up in the CFP rankings, but Alabama survived (barely) against LSU with a 20-14 win. Everybody besides Alabama and Georgia from last week’s top seven moved up a spot with Michigan State dropping down the board. The question is whether or not Alabama would be the first two-loss team to make the final four.
If that loss is Auburn in the Iron Bowl, then no. If that loss is a close game against Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, then it gets interesting. There is no way I’d bet Alabama at this point. A moneyline rollover of Georgia, semifinal game, championship game would likely be better at this point.
Alabama was + 280 last week.
Remaining schedule: New Mexico State, Arkansas, @ Auburn
No. 3 Oregon Ducks (8-1, 25/1)
The Ducks are third after moving up to the spot vacated by another team that wears green. Oregon beat Washington in a bad-weather game by 10. Interestingly, the Ducks were 50/1 when we checked in on our feathered friends last week.
The Pac-12 is pretty weak, but the two best teams are Oregon and Utah and they’ll play at least once this season on Nov. 20, but could see each other again in Las Vegas on Dec. 3. Shop around for the best price on the Ducks if you want, but the price has been cut in half from what we saw last week.
With a win over Wazzu this week in Eugene, the Ducks will guarantee a spot in the Pac-12 Championship Game, so expect this price to go down even more if that happens.
Remaining schedule: Washington State, @ Utah, Oregon State
No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes (8-1, + 450)
Another week, another ho-hum win for the Buckeyes. The game against Penn State was a much more dominant performance from Ohio State, but at this point, it’s all about surviving and advancing.
The Buckeyes control their own destiny for the CFP. Beat Purdue, Michigan State, Michigan and the West Division champ and the inaugural CFP champ will be in the final four for the third straight time and fifth time overall.
The scarlet & gray were + 500 last week. There still isn’t a whole lot of equity, as the Buckeyes look like a team that could have issues with one of both of those teams from up north.
Remaining schedule: Purdue, Michigan State, @ Michigan
No. 5 Cincinnati Bearcats (9-0, 50/1)
It could be danger time for the CFP Committee. We’ve yet to have a Group of Five team in the final four, but Oregon could be vulnerable in Salt Lake City and the same can be said for Ohio State in Ann Arbor. Cincinnati appears unlikely to lose in the regular season and would be able to face a ranked team in the AAC Championship.
Cincinnati’s prospects look good and 50/1 is starting to look kind of attractive. While nobody expects the Bearcats to beat Georgia, that line would be small enough for a hedging opportunity, with the Bulldogs likely around a 14-point underdog, which equates to roughly a -600 or -650 favorite. At 50/1, you have some hedging margin if your bankroll is liquid enough to do it.
You just wouldn’t have any hedging margin left if Cincinnati pulled the stunner. This was + 3000 last week.
Remaining schedule: @ USF, SMU, @ East Carolina
No. 6 Michigan Wolverines (8-1, 60/1)
Michigan’s odds have not moved, despite moving up a spot. It is interesting that Michigan is above Michigan State, even though the Spartans have a head-to-head win. Last week, a lot of people talked about Oregon being ahead of Ohio State by virtue of a head-to-head win.
Michigan did lose to a better team, so maybe that’s the thought process. Either way, much like last week, Michigan at 60/1 does carry a certain amount of value given that a win over Ohio State should punch a ticket to the final four. Of course, Michigan does have a toss-up game in Happy Valley this week. The Wolverines, like Cincinnati, would be about a two-touchdown dog to Georgia.
Remaining schedule: @ Penn State, @ Maryland, Ohio State
No. 7 Michigan State Spartans (8-1, 70/1)
Recency bias is often part of the equation with these things, but a lot will be forgotten if Sparty can beat Ohio State in Columbus in two weeks. That is Michigan State’s lone path back to contention. Last week’s loss to Purdue might be enough to keep Sparty out, even with an Ohio State win, but a conference championship is said to be a big part of the equation.
Is the fact that Michigan State would be such a huge underdog to Georgia and such a relatively small draw enough for the Committee to look past the Spartans no matter what? Maybe. Even with a balloon number like 70/1, you can’t really take Sparty here. The line was 40/1 before the Purdue game.
Remaining schedule: Maryland, @ Ohio State, Penn State
No. 8 Oklahoma Sooners (9-0, 14/1)
There is always one team in the rankings that will draw a smirk and a shake of the head. It is Oklahoma. The Sooners were on a bye last week, but it couldn’t have gone better for them. Baylor’s loss hurts to a degree, but Michigan State lost, Wake Forest is no longer a concern and teams like Alabama, Oregon, Ohio State and Cincinnati weren’t very impressive.
Given how Oklahoma’s four College Football Playoff appearances have gone, you can see that the Committee wants to keep them away from this year’s event. Between the remaining schedule and what has happened above the Sooners to this point, an undefeated Oklahoma team would absolutely be in the final four.
It’s just that the Sooners have exactly zero margin for error, despite being one of three championship contenders with zero losses.
Remaining schedule: @ Baylor, Iowa State, @ Oklahoma State
No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1, 100/1)
Just to keep up appearances covering the top nine, Notre Dame gets a mention here, but the Fighting Irish have played exactly one team that is still ranked and lost that game. Virginia, Georgia Tech and Stanford won’t be enough to sway any minds. It isn’t Notre Dame’s fault that the ACC is so bad this season, but it will be enough to keep the Irish from sniffing the CFP.
Remaining schedule: @ Virginia, Georgia Tech, @ Stanford
No. 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys (8-1, 100/1)
Oklahoma State has a better chance than Notre Dame. The Cowboys could still win a major conference and have the chance at a top-10 win with Bedlam at the end of the year. It would take a lot of things falling exactly Oklahoma State’s way, but stranger things have happened, I suppose.
Not strange enough to bet this number, but strange enough for chaos to be the theme of the final few weeks of the regular season.
If nothing else, Oklahoma State has gone from 130/1 to 100/1.
Remaining schedule: TCU, @ Texas Tech, Oklahoma
No. 11 Texas A&M No. 12 Wake Forest No. 13 Baylor No. 14 BYU No. 15 Ole Miss No. 16 NC State No. 17 Auburn No. 18 Wisconsin No. 19 Purdue No. 20 Iowa No. 21 Pitt No. 22 San Diego State No. 23 UTSA***********BRY!!!!! No. 24 Utah No. 25 Arkansas
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