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Post by Makers on Feb 5, 2022 6:12:14 GMT -5
12 p.m. ET: Illinois at IndianaIllinois (16-5 SU, 10-11 ATS) is ranked 18th in the country and has won three straight, most recently crushing Wisconsin 80-67 and covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Indiana (16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS) is unranked but has won two straight, including a 68-55 win over Maryland their last time out, covering as 2-point road favorites. This line opened with Indiana listed as a short 1-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're rushing to the window to back trendy dog Illinois. However, this line has moved further toward Indiana (-1 to -1.5), signaling sharp money laying the points with the Hoosiers. Indiana has value as an unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Ken Pom has Indiana winning by one point (68-67). Indiana is 13-1 at home this season. The Hoosiers are -120 on the moneyline. 12 p.m. ET: Oklahoma at Oklahoma StateBoth of these Big 12 in-state rivals have struggled mightily as of late. Oklahoma (13-9 SU, 10-12 ATS) is just 1-6 over their last seven games. The Sooners just fell to TCU 72-63, losing outright as 6-point home favorites. Similarly, Oklahoma State (10-11 SU, 7-14 ATS) has lost four straight games and just lost to Kansas State 71-68, failing to cover as 2.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Oklahoma State listed as a 3-point home favorite. We've seen this line fall from 3 to 2.5, signaling respected money grabbing the points with the Sooners. Ken Pom has Oklahoma State winning by two-points (66-64), which means the hook could be crucial in this one. Ken Pom has Oklahoma ranked 39th and Oklahoma State 62nd. Oklahoma has a big advantage in terms of shooting (49% vs 43%). 4 p.m. ET: Baylor at KansasBaylor (19-3 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) is ranked 8th and coming off a 81-77 win over West Virginia, failing to cover as 13-point home favorites. Similarly, Kansas (18-3 SU, 9-12 ATS) is ranked 10th and just beat Iowa State 70-61, easily covering as 1.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Kansas listed as a 2-point home favorite. T he public is split, yet we've seen this line tick up from 2 to 2.5, signaling wiseguy money laying the points with the Jayhawks at home. Ken Pom has Kansas winning by one point (76-75). Kansas is -135 on the moneyline. Kansas is 10-1 at home this season. 6 p.m. ET: LSU at VanderbiltBoth of these SEC rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. LSU (16-6 SU, 14-8 ATS) is ranked 25th but has lost two straight. The Tigers just fell to Mississippi 76-72, losing outright as 12.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt (11-10 SU, 10-11 ATS) just lost to Kentucky 77-70 but covered as 14.5-point road dogs. This line opened with LSU listed as a 3.5-point road favorite. Respected money has laid the chalk with the road favorite, driving LSU up from -3.5 to -4. Ken Pom has LSU winning by five-points (65-60). He has LSU ranked 15th and Vanderbilt 89th. LSU has the advantage in shooting (44% vs 42%) and rebounding (39 RPG vs 34 RPG).
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Post by Makers on Feb 6, 2022 6:21:15 GMT -5
2 p.m. ET: Loyola Chicago at Missouri State
Bettors are in for a treat as the top two teams in the Missouri Valley Conference face off in this one. Loyola Chicago (17-4 SU, 7-12-1 ATS) is coming off a 78-74 win over Illinois State, pushing as 14-point home favorites. Similarly, Missouri State (17-7 SU, 14-10 ATS) just took down Southern Illinois 69-64, easily covering as 2-point road favorites. This line opened with Missouri State listed as a short 1-point home favorite. The public is split down the middle, yet we've seen respected money pour in on Loyola Chicago, flipping the Ramblers from a 1-point dog to a 1.5-point favorite. This is a revenge game for Loyola Chicago, who lost to Missouri State 79-69 on January 22nd, losing outright as 8-point home favorites. Ken Pom has Missouri State winning by two points (70-68). He has Loyola Chicago ranked 34th and Missouri State 54th.
4 p.m. ET: Akron at Miami Ohio
These Mid-American foes are playing for the second time in three days. Akron (14-6 SU, 9-9 ATS) is 5-1 over their last six games and just beat Miami Ohio 66-55, covering as 7.5-point home favorites. Miami Ohio (9-12 SU, 5-13 ATS) has now lost four straight. This line opened with Akron listed as a short 1-point road favorite. Sharps have laid the points with Akron, steaming the Zips from -1 to -2.5. Akron has the advantage when it comes to shooting (45% vs 44%) and points allowing (63 PPG vs 72 PPG). Akron is 7-3 in conference. Miami Ohio is 3-7. Ken Pom has Akron winning by one point (69-68). He has Akron ranked 149th and Miami Ohio 236th. Akron is -145 on the moneyline.
4 p.m. ET: Washington at Stanford
Washington (12-8 SU, 11-9 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just crushed California 84-63, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Stanford (13-8 SU, 9-11-1 ATS) has dropped two of their last three games and just fell to Washington State 66-60, failing to cover as 3-point home dogs. This line opened with Stanford listed as a 34point home favorite. The public is backing trendy dog Washington on a win streak. yet we've seen this line climb from 4 to 4.5. This signals sharp money buying low on Stanford and laying the points home favorite. Stanford has the edge in shooting (43% vs 41%) and rebounding (38 RPG vs 33 RPG). Stanford is 9-2 at home. Washington is 3-3 on the road. Ken Pom has Stanford winning by six points (71-65). He has Stanford ranked 94th and Washington 128th.
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Post by Makers on Feb 7, 2022 9:50:09 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech..These ACC foes are trending in opposite directions. They're also playing for the second time in three days. Pittsburgh (8-15 SU, 12-11 ATS) has dropped three straight while Virginia Tech (13-10 SU, 11-12 ATS) has won three straight. Virginia Tech beat Pittsburgh 76-71 on Saturday, although the Hokies failed to cover as 7-point road favorites. Now the rematch shifts to Virginia Tech's home court. The Hokies opened as a 12.5-point home favorite and respected money has laid the points, driving the line up to 13. Virginia Tech is shooting 48% from the field compared to Pittsburgh shooting 42%. Virginia Tech is 7-3 at home while Pittsburgh is 0-7 on the road. Ken Pom has Virginia Tech winning by 14 points (72-58), which still provides value as the current number. He has Virginia Tech ranked 47th and Pittsburgh 184th. 9 p.m. ET: Kansas at TexasThis Big 12 grudge match is the most heavily bet late game of the night. It also features two ranked teams. Kansas (19-3 SU, 10-12 ATS) is ranked 10th and just blew out Baylor 83-59, easily covering as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Texas (17-6 SU, 10-13 ATS) is ranked 23rd and just beat Iowa State 63-41, covering as 8.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Both Pros and Joes are backing the Jayhawks, flipping Kansas from a 1-point dog to a 1-point favorite. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is 31-23 ATS (57%) this season. Kansas holds the edge on offense (80 PPG vs 68 PPG), field goal shooting (49% vs 46%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 34 RPG). Kansas is 8-1 in conference play. Texas is 6-4. Ken Pom has Texas winning by one point (68-67). 9 p.m. ET: Southern Utah at MontanaBoth of these Big Sky rivals are battling for supremacy atop the conference standings. Southern Utah (15-6 SU, 7-13 ATS) has won four straight and just beat Eastern Washington 84-72, covering as 6.5-point home favorites. On the flip side Montana (15-8 SU, 11-9-1 ATS) has dropped two straight and just fell to Idaho State 86-63, losing outright as 9.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Montana listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. The public is grabbing trendy dog Southern Utah, who has won four straight. However, this line has remained frozen at 1.5 and even appears to be trending toward -2 at some shops, signaling wiseguys buying low on the home favorite. Montana is a perfect 11-0 at home this season. Southern Utah is 3-4 on the road. Ken Pom has Montana winning by one point (70-69). Montana is -120 on the moneyline.
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Post by Makers on Feb 8, 2022 7:17:13 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: LSU at Texas A&M
Both of these SEC rivals are struggling lately and looking to snap prolonged losing streaks. LSU (16-7 SU, 14-9 ATS) has lost three straight and just fell to Vanderbilt 75-66, losing outright as 3-point road favorites. Similarly, Texas A&M (15-8 SU, 11-10-1 ATS) has dropped six straight and just lost to Missouri 70-66, losing outright as 9.5-point home favorites. This line opened with LSU listed as a short 2-point road favorite. The public is backing LSU and looking to fade the Aggies, yet this line has fallen from 2 to 1.5. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the home dog Aggies plus the points. Texas A&M is 10-3 at home this season. LSU is 2-5 on the road. Ken Pom has LSU winning by three points (67-64).
9 p.m. ET: Utah State at Wyoming
This late night Mountain West clash features two of the best in the conference facing off. Utah State (15-9 SU, 13-10 ATS) has won five straight games and just crushed UNLV 90-75, covering as 9-point home favorites. Wyoming (19-3 SU, 13-7-1 ATS) has also won four straight and just upset Fresno State 61-59, winning outright as 4.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Wyoming listed as a short 3-point home favorite. The public is happy to lay the points with Wyoming at home after their big win, yet we've seen this line fall from 3 to 2. Some shops are inching to 1.5. This signals respected money grabbing the points with road dog Utah State. Ken Pom has Wyoming winning by three points (74-71).
9 p.m. ET: Illinois at Purdue
Both of these Big Ten heavyweights and ranked and riding win streaks. Illinois (17-5 SU, 11-11 ATS) is ranked 13th and has won four straight, most recently beating Indiana 74-57 and covering as 2-point road favorites. On the flip side, Purdue (20-3 SU, 12-11 ATS) is ranked 3rd and has won five straight, most recently beating Michigan 82-76 but failing to cover as 9.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Purdue listed as a 6.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys seem to think the line is a bit high and have grabbed the hook with Illinois, dropping the line from 6.5 to 6. Ken Pom has Purdue winning by five points (78-73), which means Illinois still has some actionable value based on the analytics. This is a revenge spot for Illinois. These teams met back on January 17th and Purdue won in double-overtime 96-88 at Illinois.
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Post by Makers on Feb 9, 2022 6:18:37 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Wake Forest at NC State
These ACC rivals are trending in opposite directions. Wake Forest (19-5 SU, 14-9-1 ATS) is 6-1 over their last seven games and just edged Florida State 68-60, winning outright as 2-point road dogs. On the flip side, NC State (10-14 SU, 6-18 ATS) has dropped four games in a row and just lost to Notre Dame 69-57 as 1-point home favorites. This line opened with Wake Forest listed as a short 2-point road favorite. Respected money has laid the points, driving Wake Forest up from -2 to -3. Wake Forest has a big edge in shooting (49% vs 42%). Wake Forest is 9-4 in conference play. NC State is 3-10. Ken Pom has Wake Forest winning by four points (78-74). He has Wake Forest ranked 37th and NC State 119th.
7 p.m. ET: Xavier at Seton Hall
This Big East clash features two of the best teams in the conference facing off. Xavier (16-6 SU, 11-11 ATS) is ranked 25h but is coming off a 69-65 loss to DePaul, losing outright as 13.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Seton Hall (14-7 SU, 10-10-1 ATS) is unranked but has won two straight and just crushed Creighton 74-55, easily covering as 5-point home favorites. This line opened with Seton Hall listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and is rushing to the window to grab the points with trendy dog Xavier. However, this line has moved further toward Seton Hall (-3 to -4). This signals sharp money on the home favorite, who also has rare contrarian "fishy line" value as an unranked home favorite vs a ranked opponent. Ken Pom has Seton Hall winning by three points (73-70). Seton Hall is 9-3 at home this season.
9 p.m. ET: Minnesota at Nebraska
Both of these Big Ten rivals are looking to snap prolonged losing streaks. Minnesota (11-9 SU, 10-10 ATS) has lost four straight and just fell to Iowa 71-59, although they covered as 13-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Nebraska (6-17 SU, 12-11 ATS) has hit rock bottom and lost ten straight games, most recently falling to Northwestern 87-63 and failing to cover as 3.5-point home dogs. This line opened at a pick'em. Sharp money isn't outsmarting itself on this one. Pros are fading Nebraska, steaming Minnesota up to a 2-point road favorite. Minnesota has the edge defensively (68 PPG allowed by 79 PPG) and shooting (45% vs 43%). Nebraska is 0-12 in conference play. Ken Pom has Minnesota winning this game by three points (73-70). He has Minnesota ranked 98th and Nebraska 185th.
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Post by Makers on Feb 10, 2022 6:37:39 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Iowa at Maryland
Both of these Big Ten rivals are looking to get back on track. Iowa (15-7 SU, 12-10 ATS) is just 2-3 over their last five games but is coming off a 71-59 win over Minnesota, failing to cover as 13-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Maryland (11-12 SU, 9-14 ATS) has dropped three straight and just got rolled by Ohio State 82-67, failing to cover as 9.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Iowa listed as a 4-point road favorite. The public is happy to lay the points with Iowa, who has a far better record. However, this line has remained frozen at 4 and is even hinting at a fall to 3.5 at some shops based on the juice price, signaling respected money grabbing the points with the home dog Terps. Maryland is 7-7 at home. Iowa is 2-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Iowa winning by three points (76-73), which provides actionable value to Maryland at the current 4
7 p.m. ET: North Dakota State at Western Illinois
This Summit League matchup features two teams jockeying for position atop the conference standings. North Dakota State (17-8 SU, 9-14-1 ATS) has won three straight games and just edged South Dakota 76-74, although they failed to cover as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Western Illinois (14-10 SU, 11-11 ATS) has rotated wins and losses their last four games and just fell to Kansas City 91-82, losing as a road pick'em. This line opened with Western Illinois listed as a 1-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the point, driving Western Illinois up from -1 to -1.5. Some shops are hinting at a move to 2. Western Illinois has the edge on offense (80 PPG vs 74 PPG). Western Illinois is 7-4 at home. North Dakota State is 6-6 on the road. Ken Pom has Western Illinois winning by three points (75-72).
8 p.m. ET: Grand Canyon at Utah Valley
This WAC showdown might be getting overlooked by the public. But not by sharps. Grand Canyon (16-5 SU, 10-10 ATS) has won two straight and just edged Cal Baptist 56-50, failing to cover as 8-point home favorites. On the flip side, Utah Valley (15-7 SU, 11-10 ATS) is 4-1 over their last five games and just beat Sam Houston 57-54, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Utah Valley listed as a short 1-point home favorite. We've seen this line creep up from 1 to 1.5, signaling wiseguy action laying the chalk with the home favorite. Utah Valley holds the edge in shooting (47% vs 43%). Utah Valley is 8-1 at home this season. Grand Canyon is 4-4 on the road. Ken Pom has Utah Valley winning by two points (64-62).
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Post by Makers on Feb 12, 2022 6:41:06 GMT -5
6 p.m. ET: Ohio State at Michigan
Ohio State (14-6 SU, 10-10 ATS) is ranked 16th but has lost two of their last three games, most recently falling to Rutgers 66-64 and losing outright as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Michigan (13-9 SU, 9-13 ATS) is unranked but has won three of their last four and just upset Purdue 82-58, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Michigan listed as a short 2-point home favorite. The public is happy to grab the points with trendy dog Ohio State, yet we've seen this line move further toward Michigan (-2 to -2.5). This signals pro money laying the points with the Wolverines, who also have value as a "fishy" unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Michigan is 8-2 at home this season. Ohio State is 3-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Michigan winning by two points (74-72). Michigan is -135 on the moneyline.
7 p.m. ET: Notre Dame at Clemson
These ACC foes are trending in opposite directions. Notre Dame (17-7 SU, 12-12 ATS) has won three straight games and just took down Louisville 63-57, failing to cover as 6.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Clemson (12-12 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) has lost three straight and just got crushed by Duke 82-64, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs. This line opened with Clemson listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and is rushing to the window to back Notre Dame. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen Clemson move from -1.5 to -2.5. This indicates sharp money buying low on Clemson at home. Ken Pom has Clemson winning by three points (70-67).
7 p.m. ET: Charleston at UNC Wilmington
This CAA matchup features two of the best in the conference facing off. Charleston (13-9 SU, 11-11 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just edged Elon 66-64, failing to cover as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, UNC Wilmington (16-7 SU, 14-6-1 ATS) sits atop the conference but is looking to get back on track after dropping two of their last three games, most recently falling to Hofstra 73-71 but covering as 6-point road dogs. This line opened with UNC Wilmington listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. We've seen oddsmakers juice up UNC Wilmington -1.5 to -115 or -120, signaling liability on their side and a possible rise up to 2. Wilmington is 9-1 at home this season. Charleston is 5-5 on the road. Ken Pom has UNC Wilmington winning by two points (75-73).
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Post by Makers on Feb 13, 2022 7:30:15 GMT -5
6:30 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati BengalsSuper Bowl LVI will be played at SoFi Stadium, home of the Rams, although Los Angeles is designated as the road team for this game. The Rams (15-5 SU, 10-10 ATS) are coming off a 20-17 win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship game, although Los Angeles failed to cover as 3.5-point home favorites. Prior to that, Los Angeles dominated Arizona in the Wild Card round 34-11, easily covering as 3.5-point home favorites, and then took down the Bucs 30-27 in the Divisional Round, winning outright as 2.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Bengals (13-7 SU, 13-7 ATS) just upset the Chiefs 27-24 in the AFC Championship game, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. Previously, Cincinnati defeated the Raiders 26-19 in the Wild Card round, covering as 6-point home favorites, and then upset the Titans 19-16 in the Divisional Round, winning outright as 4-point road dogs. The Super Bowl line opened with the Rams listed as 3.5-point favorites. Early money laid the points with the Rams, driving the line up from Los Angeles -3.5 to -4.5. Since that time, we've seen substantial buyback on Cincinnati at the inflated +4.5, causing the line to fall back down to 4. Essentially, early money leaned Los Angeles while late money has been siding with Cincinnati.The Bengals match several profitable betting systems. Super Bowl dogs are 6-4 straight up and ATS over the last decade and 13-6 ATS over the last 19 matchups. Super Bowl dogs getting three points or more are 8-2 ATS since 2008. The Bengals have won their last two postseason games as a dog. Joe Burrow is 12-7 ATS (63%) in his career as a dog. The Bengals are 6-3 ATS as a dog this season, including 5-0 ATS when getting three points or more. Cincinnati is also in an ideal teaser spot ( 4 to 10), which goes through the key number of 7. We’ve also seen wiseguys target the Under, dropping the total from 49.5 to 48.5 early on. The total remained frozen at 48.5 for more than a week. Over the past 24-hours, we've seen some over buyback with many shops juicing the over 48.5 to -115, signaling a possible game-day rise to 49. Super Bowl Unders are 3-0 the past three seasons. When the total is 48 or higher in the Super Bowl, the under is 6-2 since 2008. The under is 8-4 this postseason. When the total falls, the Under is 57% over the past decade in the postseason. The Bengals are 3-0 to the Under this postseason. The Rams are 2-1 to the Under. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the NFL in tempo and plays per game. Ron Torbert, the lead ref, has historically favored road teams (62-44 ATS, 58%) and slightly to the under (55-52, 51%). Super Bowl MVP at BetMGM
Stafford +145 Burrow +225 Kupp +600 Donald +1200 Chase +1800 OBJ +2500 Akers, Miller +3000 Mixon +3500 Higgins +5000 McPherson +6600
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Post by Makers on Feb 13, 2022 7:35:33 GMT -5
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Post by Makers on Feb 14, 2022 7:39:34 GMT -5
5 p.m. ET: Saint Louis at St. BonaventureThese Atlantic 10 rivals are facing off for the second time in four days. St. Bonaventure (14-7 SU, 7-14 ATS) just defeated Saint Louis (17-7 SU, 14-9 ATS) by the score of 68-61, winning outright as 5.5-point road dogs. Now the matchup shifts to St. Bonaventure's home court. This line opened with the Bonnies listes as a short 1.5-point home favorite. Sharp money is riding the hot hand, steaming St. Bonaventure up from -1.5 to -2. St. Bonaventure is 8-2 at home. Saint Louis is 4-3 on the road. St. Bonaventure has buy low value as a bad ATS team (7-14) against a sell-high good ATS team (14-9). Ken Pom has St. Bonaventure winning this game by one point (71-70). Respected money also seems to be targeting this under, dropping the total from 139.5 to 138.5. The under is 5-0 the last five matchups between these teams. The Bonnies are 3-0 to the under their last three games. 7 p.m. ET: Virginia at Virginia TechBoth of these ACC foes are riding impressive win streaks. Virginia (16-9 SU, 13-12 ATS) has won four straight and just beat Georgia Tech 63-53, covering as 9.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Virginia Tech (15-10 SU, 13-12 ATS) has won five straight games and just dismissed Syracuse 71-59, covering as 8-point home favorites. This line opened with Virginia Tech listed as a 5.5-point home favorite. Sharp money has grabbed the points with road dog Virginia, dropping the line from 5.5 to 4.5. Virginia has value as a road conference dog with a line move in their favor. Virginia is 10-5 in conference play. Virginia Tech is 7-7. These teams met back on January 12 and Virginia won 54-52, covering as 1-point home favorites. Ken Pom has Virginia Tech winning this game by six points (64-58). We've seen some slight over money show up, raising the total slightly from 120 to 120.5. The over is 6-3 the last nine Virginia Tech home games. Virginia is 6-1 to the over their last seven road games. Virginia is 5-1 to the over their last six games overall.
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Post by Makers on Feb 15, 2022 6:16:45 GMT -5
8 p.m. ET: Villanova at ProvidenceThis Big East grudge match features the top two teams in the conference facing off. Villanova (19-6 SU, 13-11-1 ATS) is ranked 10th, has won three straight and just edged Seton Hall 73-67, failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. Similarly, Providence (21-2 SU, 14-9 ATS) is ranked 8th, has won eight straight and just took down DePaul 76-73, failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. This line opened with Villanova listed as a 4.5-point road favorite. Sharp money has grabbed the home dog Friars plus the points, dropping the line from 4.5 to 4 at some shops. Providence is a perfect 14-0 at home this season. Ken Pom has Villanova winning by three points (66-63), which means Providence at the current number holds actionable value. 9 p.m. ET: Wisconsin at IndianaBoth of these Big Ten rivals are looking to bounce back from losses. Wisconsin (19-5 SU, 13-11 ATS) is ranked 15th but just fell to Rutgers 73-65, losing outright as 8-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Indiana (16-8 SU, 13-11 ATS) is unranked and has lost three straight, most recently falling to Michigan State 76-61, failing to cover as 4-point road dogs. This line opened with Indiana listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're rushing to grab the points with trendy dog Wisconsin. However, we've seen this line move further to Indiana (-2.5 to -3 or even -3.5 at some shops), signaling sharp money fading the trendy dog and backing the contrarian home favorite. Indiana has fishy buy-low value as an unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Indiana holds the edge in shooting (46% vs 42%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 35 RPG). Indiana is 13-2 at home this season. Ken Pom has Indiana winning by three points (67-64). We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 130 to 132. 9 p.m. ET: Kentucky at Tennessee Benny?????This SEC clash between ranked teams is the most heavily bet late game of the night. Kentucky (21-4 SU, 12-13 ATS) is ranked 4th overall, has won six straight and just waxed Florida 78-57, easily covering as 10-point home favorites. On the flip side, Tennessee (18-6 SU, 14-10 ATS) is ranked 16th, has won four straight and just beat Vanderbilt 73-64, failing to cover as 10.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Tennessee listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Right off the bat, the opening line speaks volumes. If Kentucky is the far superior team, why aren't they favored? The public is all over Kentucky getting a point as the higher ranked team. However, this line has remained frozen at 1 and even briefly touched 1.5 at some books. This signals liability on the side of Tennessee at home. Tennessee is a perfect 13-0 at home this season. This is also a revenge spot for the Vols, who lost to Kentucky 107-79 on January 15. Ken Pom has Kentucky winning by one point (71-70).
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Post by Makers on Feb 16, 2022 6:15:49 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Miami at Louisville
These ACC rivals are trending in opposite directions. Miami (18-7 SU, 13-12 ATS) has won two straight and just beat Wake Forest 76-72, winning outright as 7-point road dogs. On the other hand, Louisville (11-13 SU, 7-15-2 ATS) has lost six straight games and just fell to Notre Dame 63-57, covering as 6.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Miami listed as a short 1.5-point road favorite. Sharps aren't outsmarting themselves on this one. They're backing the better team who has played better as of late, steaming Miami up from -1.5 to -2. Miami holds the edge on offense (75 PPG vs 69 PPG) and in shooting (47% vs 42%). Miami is 10-4 in conference play. Louisville is 5-9. Ken Pom has Miami winning by two points (73-71). He has Miami ranked 66th and Louisville 129th.
7:30 p.m. ET: George Washington at Duquesne
The public isn't much interested in this Atlantic 10 clash of cellar dwellers. But pros have taken notice. George Washington (9-14 SU, 11-11-1 ATS) is 5-4 over their last nine games but just fell to Dayton 80-54, failing to cover as 15.5-point road dogs. On the flip side, Duquesne (6-17 SU, 8-15 ATS) is mired in a 10-game losing streak and just fell to Davidson 72-61, covering as 14-point road dogs. This line opened with Duquesne listed as a 4.5-point home favorite. Wiseguys seem to think this line is a bit high and have gotten down on road dog George Washington plus the hook, dropping the line from 4.5 to 4. George Washington is 5-6 in conference play. Duquesne is 1-10. Duquesne is just 3-8 at home this season. Ken Pom has Duquesne winning by just two points (69-67), which means George Washington offers actionable value at the current number. He has George Washington ranked higher as well (236th vs 260th).
9 p.m. ET: Baylor at Texas Tech
This Big 12 showdown between ranked heavyweights will likely be the most heavily bet game of the night. Baylor (21-4 SU, 14-10-1 ATS) is ranked 7th and just crushed Texas 8-63, easily covering as 5.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Texas Tech (19-6 SU, 17-8 ATS) is ranked 11th and just beat TCU 82-69, covering as 10.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas Tech listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Despite the public backing Baylor as a trendy dog, we've seen this line move further toward Texas Tech (-1 to -2), signaling smart money laying the short chalk with the Red Raiders. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is 57% ATS this season. Texas Tech is a perfect 15-0 at home this season. This is also a revenge spot for Texas Tech, who lost to Baylor 65-62 on January 11th. Ken Pom has Texas Tech winning by one point (67-66). Texas Tech is -130 on the moneyline.
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Post by Makers on Feb 17, 2022 7:33:37 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Wichita State at Cincinnati
These AAC rivals are trending in opposite directions. Wichita State (13-9 SU, 9-13 ATS) has won three of their last four games and just took down South Florida 73-69, failing to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Cincinnati (16-9 SU, 9-14-1 ATS) has lost three of their last four and just fell to Memphis 81-74, failing to cover as 3.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a short 2-point home favorite. The public is happy to grab the points with trendy dog Wichita State, yet we've seen this line stay the same or creep further toward Cincinnati (-2 to -2.5). This signals pro money buying low on the Bearcats laying short chalk at home. Cincinnati is 11-4 at home this season. Wichita State is 2-3 on the road. Ken Pom has Cincinnati winning by three points (66-63).
8 p.m. ET: Oral Roberts at North Dakota State
This Summit League clash might be getting overlooked by the public. But sharps have taken notice. Oral Roberts (17-8 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) is 10-2 over their last 12 games and just beat Kansas City 91-86, failing to cover as 8.5-point home favorites. Similarly, North Dakota State (19-8 SU, 11-14-1 ATS) is 8-1 over their last 9 games and just beat St Thomas-Minnesota 75-64, covering as 7-point road favorites. This line opened with North Dakota State listed as a 2.5-point home favorite. Respected money has grabbed the points with Oral Roberts, dropping the line down from 2.5 to 1. Essentially, sharp Oral Roberts money is moving the line toward a pick'em. Oral Roberts holds the edge offensively (84 PPG vs 74 PPG), shooting (46% vs 45%) and rebounding (41 RPG vs 38 RPG). Ken Pom has North Dakota State winning by 1 point (75-74). However, he has Oral Roberts ranked higher (133rd vs 168th). This is a revenge spot for Oral Roberts, who lost to North Dakota State 72-71 back on January 22nd.
10 p.m. ET: San Diego at Portland
This late night WCC showdown features two teams with identical records. However, they've been going in opposite directions over the past few games. San Diego (14-12 SU, 12-11-1 ATS) is just 1-3 over their last 4 games, although they just beat Pacific 60-54, pushing as 6-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Portland has won three straight and just crushed NW Christian 84-39. This line opened with Portland listed as a short 1-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the chalk with Portland, steaming the home team up from -1 to -2. Some shops are flirting with a further move up to 2.5. Portland has the superior offense (73 PPG vs 67 PPG) and holds the edge in assists (14 APG vs 10 APG). Portland is 8-4 at home this season. San Diego is 4-7 on the road. Ken Pom has Portland winning by two points (67-65). This is also a revenge spot for Portland, who lost to San Diego 68-63 on January 13th.
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Post by Makers on Feb 18, 2022 6:17:33 GMT -5
7 p.m. ET: Princeton at Brown
This Ivy League matchup features a pair of teams riding two-game win streaks. Princeton (17-5 SU, 9-10-1 ATS) just crushed Dartmouth 85-40, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Brown (12-13 SU, 12-11 ATS) just upset Cornell 81-80, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Princeton listed as a 1-point road favorite. Pros aren't outsmarting themselves. They're laying the short chalk with Princeton, who has a far better won-loss record, steaming the Tigers up from -1 to -1.5 or even -2 at some shops. Princeton holds a big edge on offense (81 PPG vs 71 PPG) and in the shooting department (48% vs 43%). Princeton is 7-2 in conference play. Brown is 4-6. Ken Pom has Princeton winning by one point (73-72). He has Princeton ranked much higher (130th vs 188th). Princeton is -125 on the moneyline. Princeton edged Brown 76-74 back on January 15th
7 p.m. ET: Cornell at Dartmouth
These Ivy League rivals are trending in opposite directions. Cornell (13-8 SU, 14-6 ATS) is 4-2 over their last six games, although they're coming off a 81-80 loss to Brown as 1.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Dartmouth (5-15 SU, 10-7-2 ATS) is 2-14 over their last 16 games and just got rolled by Princeton 85-40, failing to cover as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with Dartmouth listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. Respected money jumped on the hook with Cornell, dropping the line from 1.5 to 1. Cornell has a distinct advantage offensively (81 PPG vs 67 PPG), shooting (47% vs 41%) and in rebounding (39 RPG vs 33 RPG). Ken Pom has Dartmouth winning by one point (72-71) despite having Dartmouth ranked much higher (193rd vs 244th). These teams met up on January 2nd and Cornell won 79-71 at home.
9 p.m. ET: Wright State at Oakland
This late night Horizon League clash features two of the better teams in the conference facing off. Wright State (15-12 SU, 10-16 ATS) has dropped two straight and just fell to Northern Kentucky 75-71, losing outright as 6-point home favorites. On the flip side, Oakland (18-8 SU, 13-11 ATS) has won two straight and just dominated Detroit 75-59, covering as 7.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Oakland listed as a 4-point home favorite. We've seen this line creep up to 4.5 at some shops, signaling wiseguy action laying the points with the home team. Oakland is 8-0 at home this season. Wright State is 6-6 on the road. Ken Pom has Oakland winning by seven points (78-71), which provides actionable value on Oakland at the current number. He has Oakland ranked 140th and Wright State 200th. This is a revenge spot for Oakland, who lost to Wright State 75-64 on February 5th.
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Post by Makers on Feb 19, 2022 6:03:50 GMT -5
12:30 p.m. ET: Texas Tech at Texas
This early Big 12 matchup features a pair of ranked in-state rivals fighting for supremacy atop the conference standings. Texas Tech (20-6 SU, 18-8 ATS) is ranked 11th and just took down Baylor 83-73, covering as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Texas (19-7 SU, 12-14 ATS) is ranked 20th and just beat Oklahoma 80-78, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. This line opened with Texas listed as low as a 1.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and they're grabbing the points with trendy dog Texas Tech. However, despite this lopsided betting the line has inched further to Texas (-1.5 to -3), signaling sharp reverse line movement on the home team. Texas is 15-1 at home this season. Texas Tech is 2-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Texas winning by two points (63-61). This is a revenge spot for Texas, who lost to Texas Tech 77-64 just two short weeks ago.
3:30 p.m. ET: Saint Louis at Davidson
These Atlantic 10 opponents are jostling for the top spot in the conference. Saint Louis (18-8 SU, 15-10 ATS) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 90-64 beatdown of LaSalle, easily covering as 13.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, Davidson (21-4 SU, 13-10 ATS) is 5-2 over their last seven games and just edged Duquesne 72-61, failing to cover as 14-point home favorites. This line opened with Davidson listed as a short 2-point home favorite. Most books are juicing up the Davidson -2, signaling liability in their favor and a possible move to 2.5. Davidson holds the edge in shooting (49% vs 47%). Davidson is 10-1 at home this season. Saint Louis is 4-4 on the road. Ken Pom has Davidson winning by two points (75-73). Davidson is -130 on the moneyline.
8 p.m. ET: New Mexico State at Grand Canyon
This primetime WAC grudge match is getting largely overlooked. But not by the sharps. New Mexico State (21-4 SU, 12-10 ATS) is 6-1 over their last seven games and just beat Dixie State 75-64, failing to cover as 16-point home favorites. Similarly, Grand Canyon (18-6 SU, 12-11 ATS) is 4- over their last five games and just beat California Baptist 65-60, covering as 2.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Grand Canyon listed as a 1-point home favorite. The juice is heavy on Grand Canyon (-1 at -115), signaling pro money leaning in their favor and a possible rise to 1.5. Grand Canyon is 12-1 at home this season. Ken Pom has Grand Canyon winning by three points (67-64). This is also a revenge spot for Grand Canyon, who lost to New Mexico State 71-61 back on January 29th.
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